SBR's Ncaaf W6, NFL W5, & MLB discussion thread

Louisvillekid1 · 10-01-12, 04:48 PM

Originally posted by colts

In MLB: Atl, Wash, Chc, Cin (value), Tor, Bal. Leaning Dal (NFL) -3 (everyone on Bears).

GL pal...

Care to share any angles on these plays?

Noles1992 · 10-01-12, 04:55 PM

Btw, Kid who do you like tonight?, I have da Boys. but seeing a lot of love for the Bears

Blackroc78 · 10-01-12, 04:57 PM

Originally posted by CanuckG

Lines to look at...

Jets +9 and Titans +5

Buffalo +15 Navy +10

birdshit! What do u call a bunch of white people in a bowl? Crackers

Louisvillekid1 · 10-01-12, 04:58 PM

Originally posted by Noles1992

Btw, Kid who do you like tonight?, I have da Boys. but seeing a lot of love for the Bears

Nolesy,

I wouldn't feel comfortable betting this game adding 10 pts to the spread in any direction... Maybe I'm missing something but I can't see how anyone could see an edge in this game... Clearest NO PLAY of the season for me....

In-case you missed a few of the earlier post, Im on the Indians for a Hundo tonight....

Providing some reasoning on page 1...

pal, should be a fun game to watch...

CanuckG · 10-01-12, 04:59 PM

Originally posted by Blackroc78

birdshit! What do u call a bunch of white people in a bowl? Crackers

Hey Jerome its ok not everyone can win

Louisvillekid1 · 10-01-12, 04:59 PM

Originally posted by Noles1992

Btw, Kid who do you like tonight?, I have da Boys. but seeing a lot of love for the Bears

Furthermore,

Last week when line came out at 44/43 I was leaning over and then line got pounded to 41.5, like I said earlier I have no feel for this one...

Noles1992 · 10-01-12, 05:00 PM

OK got it, going to pull for the Tribe and Yanks!

Louisvillekid1 · 10-01-12, 05:01 PM

Originally posted by Noles1992

OK got it, going to pull for the Tribe and Yanks!

Im with ya,

Lol I just looked and I actually got the over on BTP ... unreal!

Noles1992 · 10-01-12, 05:04 PM

Well hell . I guess we will hope for a 30-17 type game then.

colts · 10-01-12, 05:35 PM

Originally posted by Louisvillekid1

GL pal...

Care to share any angles on these plays?

Seems like the good teams are still playing to win, ATL (Pitt seems to have packed it in) and WAS will get a fight from PHI, but I like Lannan at home. Cubs are better at home against a bad team on the road. Tor at home against a bad twinkie team. Cin is on the road against a good team, but I like the +148 (arroyo is decent, J Garcia does not impress me at all). Dal is just a lean. Here are some trends that favor chicago (take with a grain of salt):

Chicago: 6-0 ATS in road games after having won 2 out of their last 3
Dallas: 1-8 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins

GL to all.

Louisvillekid1 · 10-01-12, 05:54 PM

white sox just got pounded late

Louisvillekid1 · 10-01-12, 07:07 PM

Originally posted by Noles1992

OK got it, going to pull for the Tribe and Yanks!

9-0...

CanuckG · 10-01-12, 07:09 PM

Yankees cranking the HR's

Louisvillekid1 · 10-01-12, 07:21 PM

Tribe can't get a fukkin hit

NYSportsGuy210 · 10-01-12, 10:43 PM

I hit Bears +3.5, Bears -Cowgirls Over 21 in second half and Yankees RL tonight. Might lose SF Giants RL though.

I'll take 3-1 tonight.

Noles1992 · 10-01-12, 11:03 PM

Thanks Kid,,Yanks easy.Tribe looked like they cant wait til seasons over. Chisox busted out the hitting , but a little to late for the playoff run. get em tmrw. Congrats to all the winners!

Blackroc78 · 10-02-12, 12:10 PM

Originally posted by CanuckG

Hey Jerome its ok not everyone can win

I thought you said you hated black people, why are you discussing football? Stick to HOCKEY AND NASCAR YOU RAT!

What do you call 300 white men chasing a black man?
The PGA tour.

Louisvillekid1 · 10-02-12, 12:16 PM

Can't find anything tonight, tailing Canuck on kc n oak

Noles1992 · 10-02-12, 01:14 PM

yeah do not know what to make of todays bases card, maybe the Cards or Cards TT. But did go a bit with Orioles Team total over 3 they seem to hit Shields if I remember correct. GL!

Pete0 · 10-02-12, 02:03 PM

Good thread OP.

Will post what I find when im done crunching numbers.

Louisvillekid1 · 10-03-12, 02:22 PM

Ticket#:75451136
Oct 06 12:00 PM

INTERNET / -1

Oct 03 10:54 AM

CFB

STRAIGHT BET
[391] BUFFALO U +14½-110

110 / 100

Here's first Offical play, Also need Mich St -5.5 to close out a 3 team 10 point Tease....

Temple Will also be a play but got so much other pending action I need to close out b4...

Louisvillekid1 · 10-03-12, 02:24 PM

Originally posted by Louisvillekid1

Just some first glance thoughts on NCAAF W6,

Buffalo +15.5 @ Ohio seems too high and could be a play... I'm predicting line closes @ 14.

UConn +9.5 @ Rutgers Is too much in a game which will feature to very solid defenses... Missed out on the +10, but +9.5 will still beat the closer.

Penn St -3 vs NW, I think Penn St rushing defense will slow down NW's attack and present a more physical football game than the wildcats have seen up too this point.

Mich St -15 @ Indiana, this spartan teams needs to take some pain out on somebody after the IRISH and Ohio St loses... This has blowout city written all over it...

Temple +5.5 vs USF, they probably win outright... Overreaction line, after USF hung tough with FSU... USF goes from the biggest sellout in history up the east coast where temple could put them to sleep

Florida +2.5 vs LSU, Two weeks to prepare for this battle in the swamp and they are getting points, sign me up...

NC St/FSU, 14 is an awful lot of points to give a more than capable offense in the Wolfpack , should be a shoot out, lean over...

Georgia/USC , Should be a slugfest and very low scoring, 17-16 type , lean under ... waiting on total to come out...

These are not official plays just early thoughts, going to look at these more...

Movement update:

Buffalo 14 (beat it by 1.5)
UConn 7.5 (beat it by 2)
PSU 3 (same)
Mich St 16 (beat it by 0.5)
Temple 4 (beat it by 1.5)
Florida 2.5 (same)
NC ST 15 (Only line moving other way)

CanuckG · 10-03-12, 02:25 PM

Played Buffalo at 15.5

CupWanted · 10-03-12, 02:53 PM

College:
I like Florida. Prefer ML at +120 if it doesn't move to 3.
Also like WVU +7. Ash isn't that good and the Horns haven't played anybody. Even if WVU can't stop the horns I could easily see a backdoor cover.

Pros:
Leaning towards a small play on the Rams. They're vastly improved and I'm still not ready to buy the cards.
Like the square play of Falcons -2.5 at the Skins. Skins D just can't generate any rush without Orakpo or Carriker and their Secondary is questionable at best.
Also like the Saints -3 to get off the schnide. They're too good to lose every week and I have no faith in the Chargers. They've been fortunate to play an easy schedule thus far.

Louisvillekid1 · 10-03-12, 05:35 PM

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2 Oct 03 MLB [975] BOS +260 [Action] 50.00 USD / 130.00 USD
Risking 105.00 USD To Win 230.00 USD
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Noles1992 · 10-03-12, 06:01 PM

Cards have thrown a garbage line up out for tonight, just like the Braves last night both know they will be paying a 1 game wildcard, took the reds for a unit.

Adron Chambers LF
Shane Robinson CF
Skip Schumaker RF
Matt Carpenter 3B
Tony Cruz C
Bryan Anderson 1B
Ryan Jackson 2B
Pete Kozma SS
(Shelby Miller P)

2daBank · 10-03-12, 09:55 PM

Originally posted by NYSportsGuy210

I found two plays I like on next week's NFL card: Panthers (-3) at home vs. Seattle and Broncos (+7.5) at New England. Also Chargers at Saints OVER 54.

ive been looking at the sea/car gm and i lean your way as i think the way to attack seachickens d is with a power run gm and panthers can and should do just that with cam and all those backs (no one has to tell me where sea run d ranks right now as i know it looks good on paper but lot of circumstantial evidence, as in played teams that are poor rushing teams and/or have no desire to run) ..biggest problem for me is panthers run d has been fukkin terrible which is surprising as i would have thought the return of beason and the help they drafted on d would pay off but obviously has not as of yet, pretty big problem against Lynch! but again these numbers may be somewhat deceiving as they have faced teams where their 1st priority going into gm was stopping pass, that shouldnt be a issue here but still that quite a bit of speculating on both sides..

i would tease pats down or stay away, you did get good number tho...still dont think the familiarity there with this den group to take their show on the road and have a ton of success, bellicheat will pound rock and welker will keep long drives alive leaving peyton on the sideline for a good portion of the gm...

over only thing i would touch in new orleans ...

Noles1992 · 10-03-12, 10:36 PM

Originally posted by Noles1992

Cards have thrown a garbage line up out for tonight, just like the Braves last night both know they will be paying a 1 game wildcard, took the reds for a unit.

Adron Chambers LF
Shane Robinson CF
Skip Schumaker RF
Matt Carpenter 3B
Tony Cruz C
Bryan Anderson 1B
Ryan Jackson 2B
Pete Kozma SS
(Shelby Miller P)

Well that didnt work out well! Good job on the Tbay under Kid!

Noles1992 · 10-03-12, 10:39 PM

Just saw that the Ga./SC. under is 54 took it myself for 2 units.. As Louisville pointed out it is usually a slug fest, though they both have better offenses this year, I thing Ga. losing one of there top recievers should keep this under.

NYSportsGuy210 · 10-04-12, 01:57 AM

I think Florida State game flies OVER against NC State and LSU beats the Gators. Eagles lose to the Steelers too....lean there is the UNDER in points.

Noles1992 · 10-04-12, 03:54 PM

GL Ny! I already played USC-13 for 3 units Earlier in the week, now also playing UCF O46 for 2 units. they have gone way over in the last 2 years alot doing with the ECU qb who is no longer with them. I see UCF putting up 30+ tonight. GL to all!

just changed to 1 unit as it looks like rain coming thru c.fla

NYSportsGuy210 · 10-05-12, 03:11 AM

I hit Arkansas St. (-1.5) and Rams vs. Cardinals UNDER tonight. I like Braves RL tomorrow night.

El Nino · 10-05-12, 04:39 AM

My two biggest plays this weekend will probably be UCLA -2.5 for NCAAF and Bears -5 for NFL.

Mantle7 · 10-05-12, 04:58 AM

Nino, who do you like tomorrow? Atlanta or St.L? I like to run all my big bets by you. haha

Bigh2001 · 10-05-12, 06:15 AM

Careful with the panthers. Its looking like beason and top corner chris gamble are both out with injuries. Wouldnt touch them right now and think they are on the verge of imploding.

Originally posted by 2daBank

ive been looking at the sea/car gm and i lean your way as i think the way to attack seachickens d is with a power run gm and panthers can and should do just that with cam and all those backs (no one has to tell me where sea run d ranks right now as i know it looks good on paper but lot of circumstantial evidence, as in played teams that are poor rushing teams and/or have no desire to run) ..biggest problem for me is panthers run d has been fukkin terrible which is surprising as i would have thought the return of beason and the help they drafted on d would pay off but obviously has not as of yet, pretty big problem against Lynch! but again these numbers may be somewhat deceiving as they have faced teams where their 1st priority going into gm was stopping pass, that shouldnt be a issue here but still that quite a bit of speculating on both sides..

i would tease pats down or stay away, you did get good number tho...still dont think the familiarity there with this den group to take their show on the road and have a ton of success, bellicheat will pound rock and welker will keep long drives alive leaving peyton on the sideline for a good portion of the gm...

over only thing i would touch in new orleans ...