Is this +EV "sucker bet" a Must Play?

[k13]

Book has a "special" three-team ml parlay every week on the NFL, usually public/popular teams all rolled in for 1pm/4pm/8pm games. Of course if you just rolled over the games yourself you would usually get a higher payout anyway. lol Anyway...

They have Patriots/Packers/Eagles ml parlay = +300,

Taking the best lines available at pinnacle only gives you around +260, someone correct me if I'm wrong.

Would you play this?

[LT Profits]

Yes, -185/-327/-126 works out to +261. But the Eagles will lose.

[Duff85]

Yeah if they want to give away ev like that - i'm going to accept. They aren't smarter than the market as a whole. This is from someone who backs a lot of underdogs.

[dj_destroyer]

If you were able to roll the profits, you could make almost 40% more than the +300 parlay. But since the games often overlap, this may be a decent look.

[k13]

Yes, -185/-327/-126 works out to +261. But the Eagles will lose.

I actually like the Eagles if they stay favorites but you could always hedge the late game.

[k13]

OK, I played it, at least I'll Mush the Patriots or Packers. That's a given.

[oddtodd]

If you were able to roll the profits, you could make almost 40% more than the +300 parlay. But since the games often overlap, this may be a decent look.

Explain. How would you make more than +300 if you "rolled the profits" what does that mean. Wouldnt that just get the exact same odds as a parlay which LT noted would pay +261?

[Louisvillekid1]

Pats scare me the most on that play...

[k13]

Pats scare me the most on that play...

Agree.

[sneakerhead]

Pats scare me the most on that play...

They will be the least of my worries, maybe Eagles.

[rumnblack]

If you can beat the true odds play it, simple as that.

[NYSportsGuy210]

Parlay ML the Bengals, the 49ers & the Saints.

[k13]

Parlay ML the Bengals, the 49ers & the Saints.

Don't like that at all.

If NE ML goes up later tomorrow, I might add a little more to this parlay.

[p19101]

If you were able to roll the profits, you could make almost 40% more than the +300 parlay. But since the games often overlap, this may be a decent look.

[CanuckG]

Eagles win.

[k13]

Pinnacle right now = -205, -345, -135 = +234


The +300 bet is at William Hill for the lucky ones.

[PAULYPOKER]

Books used their DAOS play yesterday.........

[Goat Milk]

looks like a winner

[Vinnie Paz]

Damn will hill puttin out #s like that?

Ima have to open me an account, i believe they have 100% signup bonus as well

[k13]

This is actually still alive...should I hedge a little?

I like the Eagles but greed kills.

[Allure]

This is actually still alive...should I hedge a little?

I like the Eagles but greed kills.

Eagles will win

U know that

[sneakerhead]

ill hedge, cant trust Vick and the Eagles. Would hate to lose a parlay in this manner.

[GunShard]

The public won Week 4.

All the ML bets with -7 or greater won this week.

[NYSportsGuy210]

Don't like that at all.

If NE ML goes up later tomorrow, I might add a little more to this parlay.

I meant Packers (not the Saints) duh. Just saw this.

[k13]

I hedged.

[dj_destroyer]

Public dominated today.

[k13]

Line moves did well too.

[paco]

Goodluck k13

[k13]

Refs tried real hard there at the end.

[k13]

Public dominated today.

7-5 for this weeks games

Not sure if that is "domination".

[vaas187]

Yes, -185/-327/-126 works out to +261. But the Eagles will lose.

[k13]

If you were able to roll the profits, you could make almost 40% more than the +300 parlay. But since the games often overlap, this may be a decent look.

Best post in this thread.

[Maniac]

Have started seeing offers like this on a daily basis for different sports with a few Euro books lately, and have bet the odd one if I happen to like the teams they post and depending on the price - havent been blindly betting it though, but sounds like I may as well.

[k13]

Have started seeing offers like this on a daily basis for different sports with a few Euro books lately, and have bet the odd one if I happen to like the teams they post and depending on the price - havent been blindly betting it though, but sounds like I may as well.

What other books did you see these kind of offers?

[Duff85]

Have started seeing offers like this on a daily basis for different sports with a few Euro books lately, and have bet the odd one if I happen to like the teams they post and depending on the price - havent been blindly betting it though, but sounds like I may as well.

Always check them against the no vig line.