Home Dogs +3/+4 Teased +6

[gauchojake]

Through week 3 home dogs of 3-4 if teased to 9, 9.5, or 10 are 10-1.

Teams that fit this criteria this week as of today using dsi lines

NYJ
BUF
STL
JAC

And before any yahoo hits me with a "Wong Teaser" reference, I understand what basic strategy teasers are and the value of teasing through 2 key numbers. I'm looking at a different angle and will track results in this thread.

[gauchojake]

Mods feel free to move to NFL forum.

[Smoke]

Good stuff Jake

[2daBank]

ive been teasing a good amount of these home doggies and sprinkling ml, been working real well so far....i like to split them into 2 teamers with 1 fav tho..the 1st one i played this week was atl/stl....

[face]

teasing non-public home dogs, is that the criteria? bol, also gonna try this

[adila1401]

Careful with the Jets, they could be in for a hurting this week

[acl123]

Gauchy sharp as a blade

[dodger33]

Spread does not matter in the NFL. Pick the winner and 90%+ of the time they will cover. Don't believe me, go do the math for this year and last

[gauchojake]

Dodger, your right. Interestingly, these teams this year also had the same record ats and ml 10-1.

I think I'm looking at these numbers from a teaser perspective because sooner or later the books will adjust to the ML and ATS numbers since that's what most people bet. Will they adjust 6 pts for teasers? That's what I want to find out.

There's a good teaser thread that I have to revisit and will post the link here.

Face - I didn't take into account any public perception although I would guess that none of these were public dogs.

[2daBank]

Spread does not matter in the NFL. Pick the winner and 90%+ of the time they will cover. Don't believe me, go do the math for this year and last

it mattered in my dal/mia teaser last week (for both teams)....i think it more like high 70s low 80s percent (that going back more than this and last yr tho so if you say it 90 last 2 years ill take your word for it) but you have a point, when i tease dogs i almost always sprinkle some on the ml as well...

[ssmann]

solid post

[gauchojake]

3 home teams closed at between +3 - +4 and all lost

STL was the only team that closed off these numbers and won at a price that would have justified a BS teaser.

5 teams that closed in a BS teaser range went 5-0

Gonna look at these numbers closer to the close.