Will Obama be next President?
YES -1100
NO +700
__________
Will Obama get shot in the next 4 yrs?
YES -185
NO +165
____________
# of atttempts to shoot him in next 4 yrs?
2.5 un -155
2.5 ov +135
________
Will Obama get assassinated in next 4 yrs?
YES -150
NO +130
YES -1100
NO +700
__________
Will Obama get shot in the next 4 yrs?
YES -185
NO +165
____________
# of atttempts to shoot him in next 4 yrs?
2.5 un -155
2.5 ov +135
________
Will Obama get assassinated in next 4 yrs?
YES -150
NO +130

You're an idiot. Sucker bet? That is sucker bookmaking. Your odds imply a 63.64% chance that someone will either infiltrate or outsmart the Secret Service protection of a standing President of the United States. It also explicitly excludes all other means of attempted assassination in the "shot" prop. The assassination line, if correlated, also suggests a 91.66% chance that a gunshot attempt would end in fatality. Even if he were shot, I would still make money off of you if he didn't die, and if he were assassinated by any other means I still make money. The only way I lose if he's shot and killed. jj's bet is as square as they come. The market already has odds better than that for an Obama loss. No wonder you lose money betting sports.