I don't think Obama will win the election...

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  • TPowell
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-21-08
    • 18842

    #36
    lol teaser change your avatar NOW!!! When is the last time Barrack Obama was beaten by Syracuse in football????
    Comment
    • teaserpleaser
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 08-14-08
      • 26015

      #37
      ... serious I had a ML parlay with TCU, UTah, cal and added Louisville just because i thought no way in hell Louisville loses to syracuse twice. who on syracuse could play for louisville
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      • MonkeyF0cker
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 06-12-07
        • 12144

        #38
        Originally posted by yisman
        no way. The numbers don't compare.
        Which numbers are those? You mean a poll asking people if they are racist? Need some common sense? By all means, show us those "numbers."
        Comment
        • TPowell
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 02-21-08
          • 18842

          #39
          the sad thing is if Louisville had won, they would have been literally a game away from the outright lead in the Big East
          Comment
          • EBSB52
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 10-30-08
            • 606

            #40
            Originally posted by compaqDikk
            everyone thought that david archeltte would slaugther Cook. we were wrong

            prediction is we have a cunt running things in 2010 ^^^^^^^------------------
            American idol...... American presidency..... same thing

            I think polling is a bit more comprehensive with presidential races. let me go on record by saying Obama is a lock.
            Comment
            • EBSB52
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 10-30-08
              • 606

              #41
              Originally posted by TPowell
              I dont see any way McCain wins this election sadly, too many first time voters that are voting Obama because of the color of his skin. Sad world we live in


              Right, nothing to do with the 3 stooges, Reagan, Bush, Bush giving their future to corporate America for it to decide how they live, no, nothing like that.
              Comment
              • EBSB52
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 10-30-08
                • 606

                #42
                Originally posted by rm18
                It is not a landslide McCain probably gets 200, but there are too many states he needs which are not competitive
                Nah, I say over 370 for Obama, which leave what 168 for diaper boy?
                Comment
                • EBSB52
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 10-30-08
                  • 606

                  #43
                  Originally posted by TPowell
                  When Obama wins Kentucky I will call this a landslide. When Clinton carried Kentucky thats when a landslide occurred
                  Clinton should carry southern states, Obama should not.

                  Your assertion would be like saying if Gordon drives turn #3 at X racetrack then he will win regardless of who finishes the race first, a race is comprised of 100's of turns depending upon the track.
                  Comment
                  • TPowell
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 02-21-08
                    • 18842

                    #44
                    alright lets get something straight, black voters wouldn't be RUNNING to the polls if Biden, Edwards, or Clinton were running for the democrats. Race will be a big weapon for Obama. Kind of an ingenius strategy actually, JFK wannabe will be our next President
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                    • TPowell
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 02-21-08
                      • 18842

                      #45
                      how many democrats have EVER won Kentucky???
                      Comment
                      • EBSB52
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 10-30-08
                        • 606

                        #46
                        Originally posted by TPowell
                        alright lets get something straight, black voters wouldn't be RUNNING to the polls if Biden, Edwards, or Clinton were running for the democrats. Race will be a big weapon for Obama. Kind of an ingenius strategy actually, JFK wannabe will be our next President
                        Obamas color is bringing people out, but so is the trainwreck called the Republican Party. It's impossible to measure how much of each has what effect.
                        Comment
                        • EBSB52
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 10-30-08
                          • 606

                          #47
                          Originally posted by TPowell
                          how many democrats have EVER won Kentucky???
                          Who cares? A landslide is determined basd upon usually the # of 370 electoral votes. If a Dem wins Kentucky and loses the race to 270, he loses. This fixation on Kentucky is weird at best.
                          Comment
                          • TPowell
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 02-21-08
                            • 18842

                            #48
                            thats not true, I'll bet my life that more blacks turn out this year than in 2004, all because one man running happens to be black
                            Comment
                            • TPowell
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 02-21-08
                              • 18842

                              #49
                              Originally posted by EBSB52
                              Who cares? A landslide is determined basd upon usually the # of 370 electoral votes. If a Dem wins Kentucky and loses the race to 270, he loses. This fixation on Kentucky is weird at best.
                              I think its reasonable to imply that if a democrat won Kentucky, he would win even more southern states. Any southern states would be basically death to the republicans
                              Comment
                              • EBSB52
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 10-30-08
                                • 606

                                #50
                                Originally posted by TPowell
                                thats not true, I'll bet my life that more blacks turn out this year than in 2004, all because one man running happens to be black
                                And you might be right, might be wrong. In science, you isolate all variables except for 1, which is called the independent variable, then you run the test several times, etc...

                                Anyway, it is impossible to say if they are turning out for which or both or how much apportionment of the 2 variables that are very present:

                                - Obama is black

                                - Republicans have ****ed this country up since Reagan

                                Those 2 variables are very present and true, how many people have shown up for the first, how many the second? Bet your life all you want, truth is that it will never be quantifiable.
                                Comment
                                • TPowell
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 02-21-08
                                  • 18842

                                  #51
                                  of course you can't absolutely prove it, but around here the saying is "if it smells like a dog, barks like a dog, its more than likely a dog
                                  Comment
                                  • EBSB52
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 10-30-08
                                    • 606

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by TPowell
                                    I think its reasonable to imply that if a democrat won Kentucky, he would win even more southern states. Any southern states would be basically death to the republicans
                                    Probably, Kentucky would be the last or next to the last to yield electoral votes to a Dem, so it is a rough but meaningless barometer.

                                    There are a lot of states like Iowa that are almost always R and are now D. North Dakota is another one. The R's are just stinky right now, they need to work on themselves or get used to the sideline.

                                    It's laughable to me when I hear guys wondering why the R's are getting outsed at all levels, are these people stoned? Is it hard to see the dirty work of the Repubs?
                                    Comment
                                    • EBSB52
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 10-30-08
                                      • 606

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by TPowell
                                      of course you can't absolutely prove it, but around here the saying is "if it smells like a dog, barks like a dog, its more than likely a dog
                                      It's really meaningless, Obama probably didn't campaign there much, just as a guess. You should focus on areas that you have a real chance to win and places that have a fair # of E votes. WHat is Kentucky, 5 or 6 E votes?
                                      Comment
                                      • WileOut
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-04-07
                                        • 3844

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by TPowell
                                        how many democrats have EVER won Kentucky???
                                        The governor of Kentucky is a democrat. Thats right, the idiot who is trying to seize all the gambling sites is a democrat. Corruption knows no political boundry.
                                        Comment
                                        • capitalist pig
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-25-07
                                          • 4998

                                          #55
                                          Im a pretty far right wing type guy, and I honestly dont see McCain winning (barring a total upset), I once stated that IMO the great white vote would rise and beat Obama, but now I dont see that happening. Im proud to say America has come much farther than I had originaly thought was possible in so far as racism issues go. So all I can say is "Go America".

                                          later
                                          Comment
                                          • reno cool
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 07-02-08
                                            • 3567

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by bigboydan
                                            I already have enough funds wagered on the election, Durito. However, if your giving me 50,000 to 1. I'll be more than happy to accept that wager. Here is my $1.00
                                            I guess you consider 50,000-1 close to true odds. Proof that you don't believe McCain has much of a chance.

                                            And to those who are complaining people voting for Obama because he's black. ----good for them, its more valid a reason than most.
                                            bird bird da bird's da word
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                                            • TPowell
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 02-21-08
                                              • 18842

                                              #57
                                              I was just saying that you knew it was a landslide when Clinton won Kentucky, kind of a kick in the nuts to Republicans.
                                              Comment
                                              • EBSB52
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 10-30-08
                                                • 606

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by TPowell
                                                I was just saying that you knew it was a landslide when Clinton won Kentucky, kind of a kick in the nuts to Republicans.
                                                I see your point from a political stance, but the Republicans have been their own worst enemy, so losing a given state is merely emblematic of the bigger issues. The R's need to quit looking at teh D's and start looking inside for a change, they could lose teh government for 2 decades or more if the D's fix things.
                                                Comment
                                                • MoneySportsGuy
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-09-07
                                                  • 4891

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by Tsoprano
                                                  Its not foolish until the results are win. Many Republican comebacks.
                                                  Right on about that. 2004 and 2000 everybody thought Kerry had it locked up. Same with Gore. We all saw how that turned out. There is hope for Republicans they just have to show up and vote, which they will.

                                                  Question will be how many Democrats say they want Obama and they would vote, but will they actually turn out?

                                                  I remember doing political election research in 2004 and they had a crazy stat about statistics on Republicans and Democrats actually voting, have to see if I can find that.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ryanXL977
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 02-24-08
                                                    • 20615

                                                    #60
                                                    nobody thought kerry had it locked up. this isnt 2000 or 2004
                                                    this is a ****ing trainwreck
                                                    this isnt the same
                                                    Comment
                                                    • frostno98
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 09-11-07
                                                      • 9769

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by MoneySportsGuy
                                                      Right on about that. 2004 and 2000 everybody thought Kerry had it locked up. Same with Gore. We all saw how that turned out. There is hope for Republicans they just have to show up and vote, which they will.

                                                      Question will be how many Democrats say they want Obama and they would vote, but will they actually turn out?

                                                      I remember doing political election research in 2004 and they had a crazy stat about statistics on Republicans and Democrats actually voting, have to see if I can find that.
                                                      The 2000 Election was a tie at best with all national polls showing bush with a 2-3 points lead, so no way the Dems thought they had that one. Until this year, where Obama has an 8-10 point lead at all the major polls.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • MoneySportsGuy
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-09-07
                                                        • 4891

                                                        #62
                                                        frostno,

                                                        Maybe I need to clarify my original statement. What I was referring to about Kerry and Gore is alot of people thought it would be an easy win for both Al Gore and John Kerry, which it did not turn out to be.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • EBSB52
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 10-30-08
                                                          • 606

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by Tsoprano
                                                          .
                                                          Yea, it was a nailbiter. Hope ya loaded up with all that + money. Books don't often pay 10:1 bets.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • seaborneq
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 09-08-06
                                                            • 22556

                                                            #64
                                                            I guess you only speak for less than 45% percent of the people. Almost 55% voted differently.
                                                            Comment
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