2 NCAAF lines that I see alot of value for Saturday 9/22

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  • Louisvillekid1
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-17-07
    • 52143

    #1
    2 NCAAF lines that I see alot of value for Saturday 9/22
    East Carolina @ North Carolina -16

    Tar Heels built a ton of confidence and found something in that furious rally against Louisville last week, and I look for them to have a strong week of practice and run this score waay up... Would play this @ -21... Look for line to close atleast -17

    Pound it!

    Oregon St +10
    @ UCLA

    Line is set too high in this spot. UCLA flying high and this is exactly the type of game where they are now "supposed to win" and they struggle. Oregon St coming into this matchup with an extra week of prep time and with their confidence sky high after that win against Wisconsin (even though it looks like the Badgers are down this year)

    Boys Jump both these now, because I expect them both to move against us...

    All Thoughts are welcome, lets get' it!

  • texhooper
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-05-09
    • 10001

    #2
    i like north carolina, and bear in mind, fedora is no stranger to ecu either. now that he has a higher caliber of athlete ecu is in trouble.
    Comment
    • Louisvillekid1
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-17-07
      • 52143

      #3
      One NFL Line to jump on as well...

      Cincinnati @ Washington O47.5

      This total will close around 48.5-51

      Already locked in on these 3 plays, nothing else stands out to me so far...
      Comment
      • mik5058
        SBR Hustler
        • 06-03-10
        • 74

        #4
        I like Oregon State. Both lines moved against you from the openers so that's a good sign.
        Comment
        • Louisvillekid1
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-17-07
          • 52143

          #5
          Originally posted by mik5058
          I like Oregon State. Both lines moved against you from the openers so that's a good sign.
          There going to continue to move...
          Comment
          • GWOZOZO
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 12-17-11
            • 562

            #6
            Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
            East Carolina @ North Carolina -16

            Tar Heels built a ton of confidence and found something in that furious rally against Louisville last week, and I look for them to have a strong week of practice and run this score waay up... Would play this @ -21... Look for line to close atleast -17

            Pound it!

            Oregon St +10
            @ UCLA

            Line is set too high in this spot. UCLA flying high and this is exactly the type of game where they are now "supposed to win" and they struggle. Oregon St coming into this matchup with an extra week of prep time and with their confidence sky high after that win against Wisconsin (even though it looks like the Badgers are down this year)

            Boys Jump both these now, because I expect them both to move against us...

            All Thoughts are welcome, lets get' it!

            At UCLA. Not sure about Oregon St+10. As you said, O St.'s big victory came against a team we now know are not who we thought they were.
            Comment
            • Louisvillekid1
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-17-07
              • 52143

              #7
              UNC already went to 16.5 at my book and Wash/cincy Over went to 48....



              EDIT: UNC now is at 17
              Comment
              • cutchemist42
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 04-08-12
                • 737

                #8
                Joining you on Oregon St, didn't notice it until you pointed it out.
                Comment
                • jas19illini
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 10-27-10
                  • 682

                  #9
                  Syracuse getting points against minny jumped out at me big time. I like syracuse's qb situation and defense much more than minny. What am I missing?
                  Comment
                  • gojetsgomoxies
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-04-12
                    • 4222

                    #10
                    Originally posted by jas19illini
                    Syracuse getting points against minny jumped out at me big time. I like syracuse's qb situation and defense much more than minny. What am I missing?
                    devil's advocate answer but sagarin and teamrankings have minnesota ahead of syracuse. only 2 i looked at. minnesota at home off nice win... can't recall how cuse has done this year and i assume gray is at qb for minnesota

                    don't like either of these teams favaored against many bcs teams
                    Comment
                    • jas19illini
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 10-27-10
                      • 682

                      #11
                      Originally posted by gojetsgomoxies
                      devil's advocate answer but sagarin and teamrankings have minnesota ahead of syracuse. only 2 i looked at. minnesota at home off nice win... can't recall how cuse has done this year and i assume gray is at qb for minnesota

                      don't like either of these teams favaored against many bcs teams
                      Gray was injured last game, don't know his current status though. Cuse played respectably against USC and prob should've beaten northwestern.
                      Comment
                      • Brock Landers
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 06-30-08
                        • 45367

                        #12
                        Originally posted by jas19illini
                        Syracuse getting points against minny jumped out at me big time. I like syracuse's qb situation and defense much more than minny. What am I missing?
                        you're missing that Syracuse is a pile of shit
                        Comment
                        • gojetsgomoxies
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-04-12
                          • 4222

                          #13
                          Originally posted by jas19illini
                          Gray was injured last game, don't know his current status though. Cuse played respectably against USC and prob should've beaten northwestern.
                          too many dead brain cells. how could i forget usc ar syracuse? they did well... i'd say these teams are pick'em neutral site. think line reflects gray playing
                          Comment
                          • mik5058
                            SBR Hustler
                            • 06-03-10
                            • 74

                            #14
                            Originally posted by gojetsgomoxies
                            too many dead brain cells. how could i forget usc ar syracuse? they did well... i'd say these teams are pick'em neutral site. think line reflects gray playing
                            Gray has a high ankle sprain, but it could have been worse. The senior appeared to be seriously injured in week three, but an MRI on his left leg found no broken bones and no structural damage to his knee. The Gophers will prepare for Syracuse without Gray involved with practice this week, however. Sophomore Max Shortell stepped in for Gray and led the team to victory - he is your likely starter in week four
                            Comment
                            • mik5058
                              SBR Hustler
                              • 06-03-10
                              • 74

                              #15
                              that was supposed to be a response to jas but gojets you also mentioned gray
                              Comment
                              • Noles1992
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-15-11
                                • 4142

                                #16
                                Louisville -13 against FIU? What do you think? FIU has not been impressed me at all this season.
                                Comment
                                • gojetsgomoxies
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 09-04-12
                                  • 4222

                                  #17
                                  what am i missing on NC vs. EC? i looked at 4 or 5 well known power ratings and they all show EC as extremely good value. i do remember EC was one of my terrible picks (vs. south carolina) earlier this season. seemed like my pick was dead about 45 minutes (real minutes not game clock) into the game.
                                  Comment
                                  • jaeguyoon
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 09-27-11
                                    • 992

                                    #18
                                    wow the over on the washington game went to 48.5 in my book.
                                    Comment
                                    • firedawg
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 10-08-08
                                      • 39230

                                      #19
                                      I don't trust unc
                                      Comment
                                      • Louisvillekid1
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 10-17-07
                                        • 52143

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Noles1992
                                        Louisville -13 against FIU? What do you think? FIU has not been impressed me at all this season.
                                        No play for me, they should cover but this team too young to lay the wood on the road...
                                        Comment
                                        • Louisvillekid1
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 10-17-07
                                          • 52143

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by jaeguyoon
                                          wow the over on the washington game went to 48.5 in my book.
                                          Oregon ST down to 8 @ most shops now, Wash/Cincy over at 49 as well... UNC stay steady at 16.5/17

                                          Were going to crush these closing #'s
                                          Comment
                                          • Noles1992
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-15-11
                                            • 4142

                                            #22
                                            Gotcha, I didnt hit too hard anyways, FIU could cover late like they did last week. Thanks!


                                            Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                            No play for me, they should cover but this team too young to lay the wood on the road...
                                            Comment
                                            • flocko76
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-01-10
                                              • 1447

                                              #23
                                              i like the tar heels as well as tcu against virginia.
                                              Comment
                                              • paranoyd androyd
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 10-01-11
                                                • 6459

                                                #24
                                                would love to play unc here, just don't know if i can do it yet.
                                                Comment
                                                • jaeguyoon
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 09-27-11
                                                  • 992

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                                  Oregon ST down to 8 @ most shops now, Wash/Cincy over at 49 as well... UNC stay steady at 16.5/17

                                                  Were going to crush these closing #'s
                                                  Comment
                                                  • agharah1
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 09-07-10
                                                    • 2304

                                                    #26
                                                    Louisville has to cover 13. If I recall, FIU got their doors blown off by Duke and then needed OT to beat Akron at home. Maybe I'm just assuming that since Louisville is definitely going to win that they'll cover, too but oh well. Last year FIU won by 7 at the 'Ville but FIU had TY Hilton and Louisville didn't have Teddy Bridgewater as the starter in that game.

                                                    In any case, I'm still sitting tight after jumping all over Arizona State -4 vs. Utah, now its up to -7.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • cutchemist42
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 04-08-12
                                                      • 737

                                                      #27
                                                      Fresno St ML and Wyoming ML have some value off first look.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Louisvillekid1
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 10-17-07
                                                        • 52143

                                                        #28
                                                        UNC hanging @ 17, Oregon St still dropping down to 7.5 and the NFL over is 49/50 ....

                                                        So curious on where this Oregon St line will close...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jas19illini
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 10-27-10
                                                          • 682

                                                          #29
                                                          Looks like I was right about that Syracuse line. Down to a pick last I saw. I just think Minn is baaad.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Louisvillekid1
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 10-17-07
                                                            • 52143

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by jas19illini
                                                            Looks like I was right about that Syracuse line. Down to a pick last I saw. I just think Minn is baaad.
                                                            Minnesotas back up looked good last week... Gl pal
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Louisvillekid1
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 10-17-07
                                                              • 52143

                                                              #31
                                                              Adding 2 more plays...

                                                              Oakland +4
                                                              Carolina -2.5

                                                              Final Card...

                                                              Carolina -2.5
                                                              UNC -16
                                                              Oregon St. +10
                                                              Wash/Cincy O 47.5
                                                              Oakland +4


                                                              Besides the Carolina play crushing the other lines, Oakland probably closes @ 3...


                                                              Ticket#:74359246
                                                              Sep 22 03:30 PM
                                                              INTERNET / -1 Sep 17 04:45 PM CFB STRAIGHT BET
                                                              [326] NORTH CAROLINA -16-110
                                                              110 / 100
                                                              Ticket#:74359247
                                                              Sep 22 03:30 PM
                                                              INTERNET / -1 Sep 17 04:45 PM CFB STRAIGHT BET
                                                              [349] OREGON STATE +10-110
                                                              110 / 100
                                                              Ticket#:74359362
                                                              Sep 23 01:00 PM
                                                              INTERNET / -1 Sep 17 04:48 PM NFL STRAIGHT BET
                                                              [409] TOTAL o47½-110
                                                              (CINCINNATI vrs WASHINGTON)
                                                              110 / 100
                                                              Ticket#:74474356
                                                              Sep 20 08:20 PM
                                                              INTERNET / -1 Sep 20 09:09 AM NFL STRAIGHT BET
                                                              [304] CAROLINA -2½-110
                                                              110 / 100
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jjgold
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 07-20-05
                                                                • 388208

                                                                #32
                                                                Mich mainly
                                                                Oregon St is in a good spot but do not know how good they are
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Louisvillekid1
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 10-17-07
                                                                  • 52143

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by jjgold
                                                                  Mich mainly
                                                                  Oregon St is in a good spot but do not know how good they are
                                                                  I guess we'll find out , but I can't touch that Michigan game...
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Louisvillekid1
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 10-17-07
                                                                    • 52143

                                                                    #34
                                                                    two easy winners yesterday... .

                                                                    Adding Eagles/CArdinals 1st half under 21...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Louisvillekid1
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 10-17-07
                                                                      • 52143

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                                                      Adding 2 more plays...

                                                                      Oakland +4
                                                                      Carolina -2.5

                                                                      Final Card...

                                                                      Carolina -2.5
                                                                      UNC -16
                                                                      Oregon St. +10
                                                                      Wash/Cincy O 47.5
                                                                      Oakland +4


                                                                      Besides the Carolina play crushing the other lines, Oakland probably closes @ 3...


                                                                      Ticket#:74359246
                                                                      Sep 22 03:30 PM
                                                                      INTERNET / -1 Sep 17 04:45 PM CFB STRAIGHT BET
                                                                      [326] NORTH CAROLINA -16-110
                                                                      110 / 100
                                                                      Ticket#:74359247
                                                                      Sep 22 03:30 PM
                                                                      INTERNET / -1 Sep 17 04:45 PM CFB STRAIGHT BET
                                                                      [349] OREGON STATE +10-110
                                                                      110 / 100
                                                                      Ticket#:74359362
                                                                      Sep 23 01:00 PM
                                                                      INTERNET / -1 Sep 17 04:48 PM NFL STRAIGHT BET
                                                                      [409] TOTAL o47½-110
                                                                      (CINCINNATI vrs WASHINGTON)
                                                                      110 / 100
                                                                      Ticket#:74474356
                                                                      Sep 20 08:20 PM
                                                                      INTERNET / -1 Sep 20 09:09 AM NFL STRAIGHT BET
                                                                      [304] CAROLINA -2½-110
                                                                      110 / 100
                                                                      Raiders down to 3 as expected and skins over steady @ 50...

                                                                      Comment
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