NFL 2012-13 - Episode 2: The Phantom Penalty

[Spedizzo]

Starting Bankroll: $2,000
Bankroll at $1,985
1 Unit = $100
Week #1: -0.15U - NFL 2012-13 - Episode 1: A New Hope
Overall: -0.15U

Week 2 Plays:

Greenbay Packers ML -235 for 1U. (Screenshot posted, late play.)
Very close game to call, I just had to take the Packers at home. I can't see Aaron Rodgers and company losing 2 in a row at home, the first 2 games of the season.

Ignore the College Football play, I do not count those in this thread. I was unable to post earlier as I was busy and made the bet just in time... I am using this thread to keep track of my own plays... feel free to fade/follow/etc in the future. I am generally very successful in Football each season, but don't take my word for it.

Will update this thread in the next few days with Sunday's picks.

Good luck everyone.

[Spedizzo]

Well those were easier than expected...

Still looking at Sunday's card... some of them look so easy and square that you know its a trap... while others are blatant coin flips. This is going to be a rough week.

[Spedizzo]

Currently at +0.85U on the season, +1U on the week.

Early Games:
New York Giants (-350) ML to win 0.5U
Giants are at home coming off a loss... they are still the defending Superbowl Champions. The Bucs had a good game against a turn over filled team that could not run the ball... they will lose here.

New York Giants -7 to win 0.5U
Confident in them winning, spreads are always harder to call, but I will also lay a half unit on them covering. I am seeing at least a 2 touchdown-type win.

Philadelphia Eagles -2 (-105) to win 0.5U
Baltimore Ravens coming off a big win, expect public to pound this. However, Baltimore Ravens are weird when playing away, the Eagles are still always dangerous despite random and poor performances, and I think they will win convincingly.

Indianapolis Colts +3 to win 0.25U
Home crowd will be buzzing for Andrew Luck... dangerous game because of Adrian Peterson and a Vikings defense that sometimes shows up. Hopefully Andrew Luck will show why he was drafted #1 after a mediocre/poor start for the #1 pick, small play.

Carolina Panthers +3 (-115) to win 0.5U
Carolina Panthers at home, still possesses a dangerous offense, and there are many question marks surrounding the Saints. This is a very tricky game, and I just feel like this game reeks trap for those on the Saints.

Kansas City Chiefs +3 (-105) to win 0.25U
Kansas City Chiefs traditionally does poorly against the Bills, but they also have a lot of people they didn't have last year. While Kansas will be playing in Buffalo, I think they penetrate the swiss-cheese like defense of the Bills, and hold up tough defensively. Small play.

Oakland Raiders -1 to win 0.25U
Hard game to handicap because of the uncertainty over the ability of Miami's Quarterback. Oakland Raiders are coming off an emotional MNF loss, traveling across the country, but I think the experience of Palmer, the ability of McFadden, and a strong defensive stand will give them the W, small play.

4 Team 13 Point Teaser (-140) to win 1U
New York Giants +6
New England Patriots -0.5
Cincinnati Bengals +6
Houston Texans +6.5

A little nervous because I have a bit more than usual riding on the Giants winning... hoping they do, but anything can happen as we all know.

Will keep you guys updated throughout for halftime/afternoon games... GOOD LUCK!