NFL - Week 2

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    NFL - Week 2
    SUNDAY, 9/16
    Colts +105 ML (5 Dimes)

    MONDAY, 9/17
    Broncos +3.5 -124 (Heritage)

    YTD: 4-1, +2.90
  • sweep
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-09-10
    • 16755

    #2
    With ya on the colts, also like STL this weekend +pts
    Comment
    • LT Profits
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-27-06
      • 90963

      #3
      2 Sunday Additions

      SUNDAY, 9/16
      Colts +105 ML (5 Dimes)
      Chiefs +3.5 -123 (Heritage)
      Jaguars +7.5 -115 (Rebate Wager)

      MONDAY, 9/17
      Broncos +3.5 -124 (Heritage)
      Comment
      • p19101
        SBR MVP
        • 11-17-11
        • 1419

        #4
        Originally posted by LT Profits
        SUNDAY, 9/16
        Colts +105 ML (5 Dimes)
        Chiefs +3.5 -123 (Heritage)
        Jaguars +7.5 -115 (Rebate Wager)

        MONDAY, 9/17
        Broncos +3.5 -124 (Heritage)
        Like all of those bets.

        But I might opt for Broncos ML and Chiefs ML if I touch those games.
        Comment
        • PRIMO99
          SBR High Roller
          • 07-21-12
          • 110

          #5
          San francisco .......

          They win this game 93x out of 100....

          Im 'key'ing' this game at 0.5 with 6 games teased (all 2 gamers)vs the -320 which the line has moved to...
          They made 'captain rodgers' anxious, in his backyard !!
          Might i remind you that green bay has lost 1 in last 20 at home !! Not inc. Playoffs...
          Defensive technique and pressure detroit will endure harshly at primetime this sunday

          detroit , no mobility in pocket, fresh gore, manningham, and moss,
          they make statement to the world,
          san fran wins handidly,
          Comment
          • fitguy67
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 03-13-11
            • 5082

            #6
            Originally posted by PRIMO99
            They win this game 93x out of 100....
            Meaning there's value for you at any book odds -1328 or better

            (don't mind me, Primo...I'm just being silly...and a calculator was unfortunately nearby)
            Comment
            • LT Profits
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-27-06
              • 90963

              #7
              1 Sunday Add

              SUNDAY, 9/16
              Colts +105 ML (5 Dimes)
              Chiefs +3.5 -123 (Heritage)
              Jaguars +7.5 -115 (Rebate Wager)
              Redskins / Rams UNDER 44 -110 (5 Dimes)

              MONDAY, 9/17
              Broncos +3.5 -124 (Heritage)
              Comment
              • Big Bear
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 11-01-11
                • 43253

                #8
                Very interesting picks, not what I would have expected at all
                Comment
                • daimoshokage
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 02-07-11
                  • 8935

                  #9
                  Lock: 0-5

                  This idiot LT don't know shit about NFL.. or any other sports...
                  Comment
                  • LT Profits
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-27-06
                    • 90963

                    #10
                    Originally posted by daimoshokage
                    Lock: 0-5

                    This idiot LT don't know shit about NFL.. or any other sports...
                    Show me one losing record right now. 4-1 in NFL, 11-8 in CFB, +46.32 in MLB. Hmmmm?
                    Comment
                    • TC Woods
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-17-11
                      • 1780

                      #11
                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                      Show me one losing record right now. 4-1 in NFL, 11-8 in CFB, +46.32 in MLB. Hmmmm?
                      why do you respond to that fukken moron?
                      Comment
                      • dmiles1021
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-10-07
                        • 1412

                        #12
                        yeah that guy is an idiot LT, but I see you like Jax +7.5....that worries me I have Houston -1.5 at the end of a two team teaser (had Baltimore teased to -1) for a nice chunk of change....anyway JAX wins outright and I lose my teaser???
                        Comment
                        • LT Profits
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-27-06
                          • 90963

                          #13
                          Originally posted by dmiles1021
                          yeah that guy is an idiot LT, but I see you like Jax +7.5....that worries me I have Houston -1.5 at the end of a two team teaser (had Baltimore teased to -1) for a nice chunk of change....anyway JAX wins outright and I lose my teaser???
                          Not impossible for Texans to lose outright, but I don't think they will. Still, just that doubt would prevent me from teasing them.
                          Comment
                          • LT Profits
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-27-06
                            • 90963

                            #14
                            Another Sunday Addition

                            SUNDAY, 9/16
                            Colts +105 ML (5 Dimes)
                            Chiefs +3.5 -123 (Heritage)
                            Jaguars +7.5 -115 (Rebate Wager)
                            Texans / Jaguars UNDER 41 -110 (Bookmaker)
                            Redskins / Rams UNDER 44 -110 (5 Dimes)

                            MONDAY, 9/17
                            Broncos +3.5 -124 (Heritage)
                            Comment
                            • Rich Boy
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 02-01-09
                              • 9714

                              #15
                              LT only takes dogs and unders

                              Anyone can make money doing that shit.

                              Take every under with a little bit of line shopping and you cant lose...
                              Comment
                              • LT Profits
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-27-06
                                • 90963

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Rich Boy
                                LT only takes dogs and unders

                                Anyone can make money doing that shit.

                                Take every under with a little bit of line shopping and you cant lose...
                                Ah, if it were only that simple.
                                Comment
                                • fitguy67
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 03-13-11
                                  • 5082

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Rich Boy
                                  LT only takes dogs and unders

                                  Anyone can make money doing that shit.
                                  Take every under with a little bit of line shopping and you cant lose...
                                  Great thesis for a research project. Backtest it thoroughly for the last several seasons, and report back to us...errr...major complication: that "little bit of line shopping" is impossible to quantify as it's an acquired art...

                                  Guess you're down to "putting up or shutting up" (more formally known in academics as "action research")...do it & document it for an ENTIRE MLB season and report back to us (about 13 months from now) on just how easy/profitable it is...

                                  _____________

                                  "Any jackass can kick at a barn door...it takes a carpenter to build it."
                                  Comment
                                  • Rich Boy
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 02-01-09
                                    • 9714

                                    #18
                                    History doesnt lie guy, unders in every sport are money cant fkn lose
                                    Comment
                                    • fitguy67
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 03-13-11
                                      • 5082

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Rich Boy
                                      History doesnt lie guy, unders in every sport are money cant fkn lose
                                      ...agreed...as are dogs...the only problem is how to operationalize and capitalize on that general observation in the real world with real "numbers-of-games-in-the-day-to-follow/time-in-the-day-to-do-it/money-in-the-accounts-to-play-them-all" constraints...

                                      capiche?...it's not nearly as easy as it sounds...so, i repeat my challenge...

                                      if you think it's so easy...then, do it/document it/report your results...

                                      till then refrain from naive "it's so easy...all you have to do is______" musings...

                                      if you start a thread, i'll follow with interest

                                      ___________

                                      "It's so easy to make money in business...ALL YOU HAVE TO DO IS....buy low/sell hi...collect early/pay late...etc. etc."...easy to say, hard (not impossible...just HARD=the exact opposite of "easy") to operationalize
                                      Comment
                                      • Blackroc78
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-15-11
                                        • 1189

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Rich Boy
                                        LT only takes dogs and unders

                                        Anyone can make money doing that shit.

                                        Take every under with a little bit of line shopping and you cant lose...

                                        Comment
                                        • Timmay
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 09-09-08
                                          • 1301

                                          #21
                                          Prick likes over in the Wash game from what I remember.

                                          I usually like your picks LT. I'm kind of confused on this card, and just haven't done enough research to feel comfortable on any game.

                                          I think A.P. is still healthy, so I would lean more on Minny until Indy gets more comfortable w/their new team.
                                          I also feel the same way w/ATL. Anyways, best of luck.

                                          Keep them picks coming
                                          Comment
                                          • LT Profits
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 10-27-06
                                            • 90963

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Timmay
                                            Prick likes over in the Wash game from what I remember.

                                            I usually like your picks LT. I'm kind of confused on this card, and just haven't done enough research to feel comfortable on any game.

                                            I think A.P. is still healthy, so I would lean more on Minny until Indy gets more comfortable w/their new team.
                                            I also feel the same way w/ATL. Anyways, best of luck.

                                            Keep them picks coming
                                            Here is some analysis. http://www.sbrforum.com/nfl-football...eek-2-a-26579/
                                            Comment
                                            • bobbyk1133
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-05-10
                                              • 2245

                                              #23
                                              Are you worried about no Dwight Freeney or do you think Pagano's scheme can compensate? The man-to-man approach in the secondary is so completely different than what we've seen from IND's defense in quite some time. Indy certainly could be undervalued ...

                                              I like the Jags in week 1, but no Smith, Cox on D and missing 3 starters on O-line? Not sure they can get away with that against Texans.

                                              Really like KC and DEN picks...I'm surprised books allowed us the hook at an affordable price.
                                              Comment
                                              • Capnitrite
                                                SBR Hustler
                                                • 08-19-12
                                                • 73

                                                #24
                                                Winners?
                                                Comment
                                                • k13
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 07-16-10
                                                  • 18104

                                                  #25
                                                  Chiefs season will end if they don't win on Sunday.

                                                  Don't look good right now.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • bobbyk1133
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-05-10
                                                    • 2245

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by k13
                                                    Chiefs season will end if they don't win on Sunday.

                                                    Don't look good right now.
                                                    Agree I think KC is in a semi-must-win situation if they hope to be relevant this season. Their division is too tough to let games like this slide. Having Flowers and Hali back is HUGE. No Jones and Jackson hurts an already erratic offense too. KC wins this game as long as Cassel doesn't feel the need to be a hero...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • k13
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 07-16-10
                                                      • 18104

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by bobbyk1133
                                                      Agree I think KC is in a semi-must-win situation if they hope to be relevant this season. Their division is too tough to let games like this slide. Having Flowers and Hali back is HUGE. No Jones and Jackson hurts an already erratic offense too. KC wins this game as long as Cassel doesn't feel the need to be a hero...
                                                      If they lose they have @Saints, San Diego, Baltimore, @tampa, oakland, @SD, @Pit, looks ugly.

                                                      I think Bills win still somehow.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Vinnie Paz
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 03-27-12
                                                        • 12177

                                                        #28
                                                        Feeling the colts a lot too, getting +115, how are vikings even favoured??
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Goat Milk
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 03-24-10
                                                          • 25850

                                                          #29
                                                          you always bet the stupidest games
                                                          Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                          Comment
                                                          • LT Profits
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 10-27-06
                                                            • 90963

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                                            you always bet the stupidest games
                                                            Yep, that's why I usually finish + units. And what exactly are the stupid games?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • LT Profits
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 10-27-06
                                                              • 90963

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by k13
                                                              Chiefs season will end if they don't win on Sunday.

                                                              Don't look good right now.
                                                              Chiefs had 5 guys inactive on defense last week, there is a chance all 5 could play this week but the 2 most important ones will definitely play. Offense was actually OK vs. Atlanta, almost 400 yards. Was 20-17 at half before lack of defensive depth caught up vs. Falcons' hurry-up.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Timmay
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-09-08
                                                                • 1301

                                                                #32
                                                                You guys like Indy that much? I can't see how people can't see Minny being a 2 pt. favorite here.

                                                                Way more believable than Indy being like a 3 pt fave. I think the number is spot on.

                                                                Isn't A.P. playing? Vikings should win by 9-10???
                                                                Comment
                                                                • cankid
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 08-22-08
                                                                  • 7231

                                                                  #33
                                                                  the guy s winning and people are still pissed, go figure.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Vinnie Paz
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 03-27-12
                                                                    • 12177

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Why are colts +140 now??????
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • LT Profits
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 10-27-06
                                                                      • 90963

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Vinnie Paz
                                                                      Why are colts +140 now??????
                                                                      Wish I would have waited. Apparently a lot of people share the sentiment of some posters here.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      Search
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...