Line overreactions from Week 1
Packers were -7.5 vs Bears, opened -4.5 which moved to 5.5
Bears looked great against a bunch of scrubs, while Packers looked like crap against a better physical team.
Now you get a bargain on the Packers.
Seahawks were -1.5 vs Dallas, opened +4, which is now +3
Seahawks looked below average on the road as expected, well except for Bill Simmons who has them winning 12 games, Dallas beat the champs. So a 4+ point swing on perception.
The average person cannot pass up Dallas here just like they could not pass up fading Arizona.
Niners were -3.5 vs Detroit, opened -7, down to -6/-6.5
Lions looked like
against the Rams. Niners looking like Champs in Lambeau.
Letdown game written all over it. If you like the Lions, you are getting 3 extra points.
Washington vs St. Louis was a pk'em, opened -3 Wash.
Redskins blew their loads against the Saints, Rams looked somewhat competent.
Average person already thinks the -3 is LOW yet its inflated by 3 points to begin with.
RG3 can only go down from Week 1.
We'll monitor a few more as the week goes on.
Bears looked great against a bunch of scrubs, while Packers looked like crap against a better physical team.
Now you get a bargain on the Packers.
Seahawks were -1.5 vs Dallas, opened +4, which is now +3
Seahawks looked below average on the road as expected, well except for Bill Simmons who has them winning 12 games, Dallas beat the champs. So a 4+ point swing on perception.
The average person cannot pass up Dallas here just like they could not pass up fading Arizona.
Niners were -3.5 vs Detroit, opened -7, down to -6/-6.5
Lions looked like
against the Rams. Niners looking like Champs in Lambeau. Letdown game written all over it. If you like the Lions, you are getting 3 extra points.
Washington vs St. Louis was a pk'em, opened -3 Wash.
Redskins blew their loads against the Saints, Rams looked somewhat competent.
Average person already thinks the -3 is LOW yet its inflated by 3 points to begin with.
RG3 can only go down from Week 1.
We'll monitor a few more as the week goes on.