2012-13 NFL picks

BigDofBA · 01-12-13, 09:04 PM

Ehhh. I'm seriously contemplating taking GB live -3 +100.

BigDofBA · 01-12-13, 09:38 PM

I'll probably just pass on this game. It looks like it will be back and forth all night. GL on the Niners.

No coincidences · 01-12-13, 09:43 PM

SF ML live -115 (4.6U to win 4)

No coincidences · 01-12-13, 09:43 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

I'll probably just pass on this game. It looks like it will be back and forth all night. GL on the Niners.

Thanks Big D.

No coincidences · 01-12-13, 11:51 PM

3-0, +13.6U tonight
103-81, +40.42U thread

PAULYPOKER · 01-13-13, 12:44 AM

Originally posted by PAULYPOKER

^9ers will win.............

Lang is hot in the NFL so his mushing powers are extinct from this one......................

Bang!!!

No coincidences · 01-13-13, 12:54 PM

ATL -135 (5.4U to win 4)

sbrhgary · 01-13-13, 01:03 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

ATL -135 (5.4U to win 4)

GL. I just switched from Hawks to Falcons.

BigDofBA · 01-13-13, 01:52 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

ATL -135 (5.4U to win 4)

If Atlanta gets up 17-0. You could probable put down a small amount on Seattle ML live just as insurance.

Of course if you do that, Atlanta wins 42-7 but if you don't Seattle probably comes back.

Either way, you're in great shape. Nice picks.

PAULYPOKER · 01-13-13, 01:59 PM

BigDofBA · 01-13-13, 04:02 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

If Atlanta gets up 17-0. You could probable put down a small amount on Seattle ML live just as insurance.

Of course if you do that, Atlanta wins 42-7 but if you don't Seattle probably comes back.

Please tell me you put a little down....

Unreal Melt down.

No coincidences · 01-13-13, 04:12 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

If Atlanta gets up 17-0. You could probable put down a small amount on Seattle ML live just as insurance.

Of course if you do that, Atlanta wins 42-7 but if you don't Seattle probably comes back.

Either way, you're in great shape. Nice picks.

I've been with family all afternoon, and trust me, that thought crossed my mind.

No coincidences · 01-13-13, 04:14 PM

Hell of a game. Wow.

BigDofBA · 01-13-13, 04:15 PM

Was Atlanta trying to give Seattle chances to win? What was up with an onside kick with 6 seconds left? That allowed the Seahawks to throw it in the end zone.

At first I thought it was a bad squib kick but the replay showed otherwise.

No coincidences · 01-13-13, 04:15 PM

NE/HOU under 51.5 (2.2U to win 2)

No coincidences · 01-13-13, 04:16 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

Was Atlanta trying to give Seattle chances to win? What was up with an onside kick with 6 seconds left? That allowed the Seahawks to throw it in the end zone.

At first I thought it was a bad squib kick but the replay showed otherwise.

I have no idea. I really don't.

7secondsOrLess · 01-13-13, 04:17 PM

cashed atl ml but wtf was mike smith thinking not running the clock down before the fg wat if sea had a chance to kick a fg with the few seconds left wtf

No coincidences · 01-13-13, 04:18 PM

Originally posted by 7secondsOrLess

cashed atl ml but wtf was mike smith thinking not running the clock down before the fg wat if sea had a chance to kick a fg with the few seconds left wtf

He screwed up so many things down the stretch I've lost track. Just a total meltdown.

BigDofBA · 01-13-13, 04:23 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

He screwed up so many things down the stretch I've lost track. Just a total meltdown.

Exactly. I was wondering why they called a time out with 13 seconds left instead of letting the clock run down.

THen the kick? LOL. Atlanta will get rolled by the niners. Will we have a Harbaugh Superbowl? It seems like it would have a lot of compelling story lines.

No coincidences · 01-13-13, 04:33 PM

HOU +17/under 58.5 tease (2.5U to win 2)
HOU +10 (1.1U to win 1)

No coincidences · 01-13-13, 04:38 PM

Adding 2 units to the under 51.5.

PAULYPOKER · 01-13-13, 05:06 PM

Fukkin Coin reading them lines like a Professor,

I'm proud of you man!

italianbandit · 01-13-13, 05:17 PM

Coins, Happy New Year. What do think will happen to Niners/ Falcon's line. Can't see much volume behind ATL. 3.5 now...

No coincidences · 01-13-13, 05:19 PM

Originally posted by italianbandit

Coins, Happy New Year. What do think will happen to Niners/ Falcon's line. Can't see much volume behind ATL. 3.5 now...

Happy New Year to you as well.

It's going to be the squarest play in history, but I'm probably going to hammer the Niners. I don't think SF backers will ever see a -3, though, and it's always risky to lay more than a full FG on the road -- no matter how great the Niners looked this week.

NE -9.5 live (-109) at SIA (1.09U to win 1)

I'm buying out of the Texans +10 and just hoping I can hit the teaser.

suicidekings · 01-13-13, 05:34 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Happy New Year to you as well.

It's going to be the squarest play in history, but I'm probably going to hammer the Niners. I don't think SF backers will ever see a -3, though, and it's always risky to lay more than a full FG on the road -- no matter how great the Niners looked this week.

Opening it where they did (SF -1 (-120)), and then letting it move all the way to -3.5 on collared limits makes me think we'll see the same result regardless of line. SF dominates or ATL hangs tough and wins.

The biggest takeaway I got from this game today was that the Atlanta secondary can be had by aggressive throws downfield. Kaepernick can make every play Wilson can, as well, if not better.

No coincidences · 01-13-13, 05:37 PM

Originally posted by suicidekings

Opening it where they did (SF -1 (-120)), and then letting it move all the way to -3.5 on collared limits makes me think we'll see the same result regardless of line. SF dominates or ATL hangs tough and wins.

The biggest takeaway I got from this game today was that the Atlanta secondary can be had by aggressive throws downfield. Kaepernick can make every play Wilson can, as well, if not better.

I know this is thinking based on what we just watched, but I have no idea how Atlanta's going to stay within a FG here. I'll obviously have to do some research before I make a pick, but I think they're just going to be out-classed by SF.

No coincidences · 01-13-13, 05:49 PM

Houston is a joke.

suicidekings · 01-13-13, 05:51 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I know this is thinking based on what we just watched, but I have no idea how Atlanta's going to stay within a FG here. I'll obviously have to do some research before I make a pick, but I think they're just going to be out-classed by SF.

I'm definitely leaning to a blowout from SF. Just saying getting on an expensive -2.5/-3 isn't worth it here. Take them -6.5 at +money and watch the Niners punch their ticket to the Superbowl with authority.

No coincidences · 01-13-13, 05:52 PM

Has a game ever gone under in New England?

I swear, every time I watch a NE home contest, there are like 17 points in the last three minutes of the first half.

No coincidences · 01-13-13, 06:09 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Has a game ever gone under in New England?

I swear, every time I watch a NE home contest, there are like 17 points in the last three minutes of the first half.

17 points in the last 3:38 -- just like I said.

No coincidences · 01-13-13, 06:29 PM

24 points in the last 7 minutes of this game.

You have to be fvcking kidding me.

I get an under 51.5 when Pinny closes at 50.5 (+102) on the over -- with 51 being a key number, mind you -- and it's still going to lose.

PAULYPOKER · 01-13-13, 06:36 PM

Books don't care about key numbers when it comes to totals,

simply because very small %age of money action compared to ATS,

this is the very reason why Totals are very hard to read............

No coincidences · 01-13-13, 06:45 PM

Neither one of these stupid fvcking teams has stopped a 3rd-and-long at all today.

paco · 01-13-13, 06:47 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

HOU +17/under 58.5 tease (2.5U to win 2)
HOU +10 (1.1U to win 1)

houston and Shaub is a bum

brizo42 · 01-13-13, 06:49 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

24 points in the last 7 minutes of this game.

You have to be fvcking kidding me.

I get an under 51.5 when Pinny closes at 50.5 (+102) on the over -- with 51 being a key number, mind you -- and it's still going to lose.

Just bad luck. You make this same play 100 times and it will hit 55+ times, no worries.