Originally posted by JayLA
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pats have the texans next week...classic overlook of a divisional opponent.Comment -
jax/buf un 45.5...1x...throw out the pats gm and bills d has been much better the last month, the run d dramatically improved and they getting after the qb at a better rate...sure henne much better than gabbert and jags offense has looked better bet there a reason henne a backup and it cause he has times where his accuracy isnt exactly spot on and they still not converting 3rd downs at a very high rate, i have no doubt jags can hit a big play or 2 but think they offense will struggle overall to sustain drives..on the other side i think it be the exact opposite and hopefully where the clock gets milked quite a it, i expect buf to be able to move the chains but will stall themselves out plenty of times..think we see lot of punts and plenty of fgs in a gm i think 23 be enough to win...Comment -
phi/dal ov 43..1x..no idea what gonna happen with this line but rather take at 43 than watch it go up as feel pretty good here...we all know what a fukkin joke phi defense is, since getting dc fired on bye they have proceeded to give up 30, 28, 38, 31, and 30..guys running free all over this secondary like these dumb overpaid fukks dont even understand their assignments..will the release of babin really light a fire under them? prob cant hurt but doubt it changes much..dal d is banged up and phi offense didnt look half bad vs a decent panthers unit,,certainly dont think it a stretch to give dal 28+ here and think phi can add 17-20 of their own so this number just feels short to me, maybe im missing something, i mean i know they both suck in the red zone but big plays should make up for that and i doubt dal drops the several pick 6s foles got away with last week... honestly cant believe they didnt flex this gm out of the sunday night spot but whatever gotta have action on it to even care...Comment -
Theres this trend I heard somewhere... home dogs of 7 pts or more are cashing at a ridiculous rate.Originally posted by Dexter
Betdsi isnt moving to +8 or +9 like the other books. If it does move to 9, ill make a play on principle alone.......
Brady against this secondary tho............*shiver*Comment -
The move don't mean shit, other books will drop it back down later on closer to gm time, just teaser protection,,, dsi/bm seems to have more balls than most w tease numbers,, of coarse they charge -110Originally posted by JayLAComment -
- Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints
- Chris Ivory - Total Rushing Yards: Under 44.5
dont think there will be any crazy ass runs from this guy this week. Im betting on it.
- Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints
- Michael Turner - Total Rushing Yards: Under 52.5
throw out the 100 yard dallas game where he had a 50 yard TD run this dude is averaging 38 Rushing yards over his past SIX games!!! 52.5 crazy high number for this sumo slow RB who loses a lot of snaps to jacquizz especially in passing situations(which there shud be a lot of tonight..)Comment -
youre absolutely right. 2 points don't mean shit.Originally posted by 2daBank
only 1 point spread mattered last week lolComment -
bank.. what do you think about that pats/phins total? looks wayyyy too high to me. 51??!
I know new england is averaging a million points a game recently, but playing buffalo n indy @ home then getting 21 pts in a minute against the jets I think this total is way over inflated.
Need your thoughts before I lock this inComment -
doesnt seem to matter if number inflated, fukkers go over every freaking week...i thought it was high last week, of coarse maybe it was but jets handing over 21 points in 30 seconds changed that in a hurryOriginally posted by jinxpro13
...honestly havnt gotten to this gm in depth as of yet, teased pats just cause taking them to win seemed like no brainer...when i have some more time tonight i will see if i can come up with a number i feel good about...i wouldnt be in any hurry if i was you as the over streak they are on i doubt the number ever drops under 51..
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well yea spread typically only comes into play i think around 20% of the time but that not exactly what i meant, i was just saying those other books that have a juiced up 9 on this gm dont have it there for any reason but teaser protection, usually those numbers come back down on gmday..Originally posted by JayLAComment -
looks like got a good number on the 1st half under this week as im seeing 27.5 juiced to the under now... was considering buying off half of it as worked out i have 2 units on it with the parlay but think ill just ride it out w 28...Comment -
bank2 gl my brother real nice read your post's are 1 classComment -
adding: ATL MLOriginally posted by jinxpro13
prop parlay.. always seem to get 1 wrong..need a fukkin sweep tonight
matt ryan under 26.5 completions
drew brees under 26.5 completions
roddy white under 6.5 receptions
first half points under 27.5
fumbles lost under 1.5
QB sacks made under 4.5
gl to allComment -
did you take under 2da?Comment -
1st half un 28 earlier in the week...my post always get lost in mix of my ramblingOriginally posted by Dexter
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Gotta luv the thu nite 1st half under, lol,, shit usually hits and bang for the buck...lol,.. WhewComment -
count it! hahahComment -
big sweat, sweatin my
off
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just awesome under hitComment -
falcons have zero momentum now.. cant believe saints might win this game after how it startedComment -
and why does atl refuse to run the ball now?Comment -
U really surprised? This gm always close at end...it like pit/Balt cept softer.Originally posted by SharkComment -
Originally posted by jinxpro13
FU*K YOU MICHAEL TURNER.
one wrong on the parlay.. what else is new?Comment -
Originally posted by 2daBanknyj-4.5...1x..feel little sick laying this number with these shitbags but how the hell does zona move the ball here? 2 rookie tackles and now center out for yr , protecting a project rookie qb who if i didnt know any better appears to be color blind, facing a rex ryan defense that gives rookies problems anyways...zona been getting run on lately so all sanchez should have to do is manage the gm, hopefully these clowns bounce back off the turkey day embarrassment and take it out on a team that really down right now....Originally posted by 2daBanklooks like you are correct that they should play sunday jinxy,,honestly when i wrote that bout bears i was just assuming they were out and hence no chance, didnt even really cap it (little pissed cause i have marshal on fantasy teams, lol doesnt matter im already in playoffs in both) ....im looking at now and i do think sea will have success rushing the ball on chi as physical runs teams have been doing to them.. i watched a lot of the mia gm (my brother was on phins so it was on one of the tvs), you right wilson was very good, i really like the kid and sea in general...most importantly is you know my philosophy when it comes to bears, fade away when they face teams that can get after the qb and sea does that bout as well as anyone.. sea last 2 road gms they played good fb, lost on last second to det and ran into a mia team that run d had been embarrassed a few weeks in a row, not to mention that a long trip...
i guess id worry bout sea frame of mind as losing those guys has to be in the back of their head, however they find a way to pull this gm out they lose those guys for rest of reg season but there still a few winnable gms on schedule even w/o those corners (even tho wont be easy, i still say it really gay the getting 4 gms for some addys, i love addys, lol), but this gm becomes huge for them so i think we get max effort..best i can get is +4 but think im gonna go ahead and play it as i agree it the right side...
sea+4 1xComment -
Originally posted by 2daBanktotal droppin in buf gm, looks to be windy and rainyOriginally posted by 2daBank... kinda surprised the dal total not going up maybe it will later since it the sunday night gm..
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"Playing with house money" cuz of TNF 1H under...even if it was close we still cashed, that's all that matters..
can't wait for this weekend to tail some of your total magic, banker...let's get itt!Comment -
dude was running like he knew you had his under in that parlay,,lol...Originally posted by jinxpro13Comment -
eying the under in indy/det gm, i did the work whenever the hell i woke up last night/this morning sometime and i made the number 47-49 so obviously think un 51 is decent, that said this not exactly gonna be a walk in a park as these teams throw a lot! id imagine this over getting pounded and i see BOL has a 51.5 (if i cold get that id pull trigger), guess it one of those where ill wait and it drops ill pass but at same time dont want that to happen.. colts defensive injury report looks a lot better this week than it has for a good part of the year, freeny and mathis both healthy enough not to be on it and they getting a corner back..det d isnt terrible and really their worst performances come against teams with strong power run gms which clearly indy is not (although they are in top 10 in rushing attempts per gm which a little surprising, but dont even avg 4 ypc which not as surprising)....i think it would serve both teams well to run more in this gm but more than likely we see a ton of passing and while not ideal for a under both dlines should be able to pin their ears back and get after the qbs.. on the season det has done good job of protecting stafford but lately teams have been getting to him more and freeny and mathis on a fast track i expect to bring the pressure.. neither offense is incredibly efficient, they both in the top 6 in yards gained but neither in the top 10 in scoring so while yes they pass a lot and move the ball all the yards dont lead to the points you would expect (both in the bottom half of the league in yards per point)..indy been a 50/50 red zone team all season and det red zone d is good enough to keep them in that range, on other side det actually cashes in their red zone trips at a pretty high clip but tend to have mistakes stall out a lot of drives before they get that far (no surprise det is one of the most penalized teams in the league as they a undisciplined poorly coached group), indy being the darlings of the nfl i wouldnt expect much to change in the penalty department... in the end i think 5 tds and a handful of fgs is about what we see in this one ...i guess far as a side id actually lean det as 27-20 was score i wrote down but not interested in betting these fukk ups vs a team nfl wants in the playoffs (not huge conspiracy guy but the amount indy has benefited from penalties is hard to ignore), line makes sense to me but even tho i see it as a hair short i imagine it big enough to entice a ton of indy love and i hate popular dogs...
sorry if this comes off scattered just trying to get my thoughts together on this one so prob a little disjointed..Comment -
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seems to be gone,lol...i wouldnt play it at anything under 44 so be careful just jumping on whatever they reopen it at. bad weather has a way of working both ways and with 2 shit teams could very well lead to a bunch of turnovers and points, obviously i like the wind, the rest all more reason for the less informed to drive it down to a shitty number..honestly if weather is really bad and number plummets i may play both sides if i can get nice enough middle..i capped it expecting some nice wind and maybe some rain, if that has changed and we talking bout really bad weather ppl will wake up Sunday see it a mess and drive way the hell down...Originally posted by JayLAComment -
Indy/det un 51..1.5x.. Greek dropping, pinny juicing under slightly, so decided might as well play now. .. Not gonna rewrite my disjointed thoughts so read above
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why does tulsa get this game @ home today? b/c they won the game 2 weeks ago?Comment -
i guess...i really have no idea..glad it worked out tho..lolOriginally posted by DexterComment -
looks like got on right side of bunch of numbers this week which i guess is nice, better than having the worse number anyway...cept bungals down to pick, have no idea who the hell or why anyone hitting sd but guess we have to see how it goes..Comment -
card so far....
bungals-1.5..1.5x..only gm got a shitty number i guess but really what difference between -1.5 and -1 and pk? not much, of coarse now they win by 1..lol
cin/sd un47 1x
sea+4 1x
jax/buf un45.5 1x
jets-4.5 1x
indy/det un51 1.5x
phi/dal ov 43 1x
also have a open ml parlay that has pats/sf and cincy mls left to close out..figured id take another stab today with pats/sf after aints couldnt cover the tease,,fukkers, lol..Comment
