Late Square Movement

fiveteamer · 10-23-08, 10:21 AM

predicting any sort of line movement is nearly impossible.

DeluxeLiner · 10-23-08, 10:30 AM

I am basing it on this information:

1. Sharps tend to bet early with big money which can cause reverse line movement.
2. Squares and recreational betters tend to bet late closer to the start of the actual game thus greatly increasing the amount of money and altering the line or the price of the line

The Bills are getting like 80% of the bets and I am hoping to get a better price closer to game time.

Same goes for the frontrunner Panthers who are also getting a lot of love from the public especially since everyone knows about the west to east coast angle.

fiveteamer · 10-23-08, 10:37 AM

I would like that to happen with Tenn. I'd like to get an extra pt or at least a half, would be great to tease the Colts.

element1286 · 10-23-08, 11:51 AM

Originally posted by DeluxeLiner

I am going to make a play on Miami and now Arizona but I think I am going to hold off until the last minute because I think a lot of square Bills and Panthers money is going to come in last minute. Has anyone made any observations regarding last minute square movement?

Haven't looked into it, but nothing wrong with holding out trying to get a better number.