Correlation between result of total and dog cover

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  • Ominous
    SBR Hustler
    • 10-04-08
    • 87

    #1
    Correlation between result of total and dog cover
    How strong is this effect?

    Lets say that Im offered the following parlays:
    KC+12,5 & U38,5 for the price +240 as well as NYJ -12,5 & O38,5 for the price as well +240.

    Is there any value to be had here or is the price to bad (Reference price would be +300 since its basically two parlayed ATS bets)?

    I am also wondering how stong this effect is for capping possible Wong teasers. How many % would you guess that the value of the following Wong bet changes as a function of total.

    Miami +10,5 over buffalo for the price -400.
    (True line +1 @+100 -1@-108 from pinnacle)
    Projected value without taking total into account is +3,8%.

    The actual total of this game is 42. Does this new information significantly change the value of the bet?
    How would u expcet the value to be changed if the total had been 37 or 47?
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