Dexter - 2012/2013 - NFL Plays

[2daBank]

Thursday 11/8:

(3u) Jaguars +3.5

if there was ever a good spot to play these shitbags this is it....gl dex

[Dexter]

(1u) Bears -120
(2u) Under Bears/Texans 41.5

[Dexter]

Monday 11/12:

(3u) Chiefs +13 (A2)

[2daBank]

i think im gonna be against everyone i respect around here with texans,,i wrote some thoughts on it,,be cool it you check out and tell me what you think..i agree with the under for sure... def kc or pass, havnt started looking at that one yet...

[detroitlionsfan]

i know its a system bet but how can you take chiefs right now

[Dexter]

(1u) Under Patriots/Bills 52

[StackinGreen]

if there was ever a good spot to play these shitbags this is it....gl dex

I agree, I'm trying to get that half ...

[Dexter]

(3u) Panthers +4.5 (A3)
(1u) Under Saints/Falcons 53.5

[Dexter]

Sunday 11/11:

(3u) Ravens -8 (A3)
(4u) Under Eagles/Cowboys 45

(1u) Bears -120
(2u) Under Bears/Texans 41.5

(1u) Under Patriots/Bills 52

(3u) Panthers +4.5 (A3)
(1u) Under Saints/Falcons 53.5

(1u) Bengals +4.5
(1u) Dolphins -6
(1u) Lions -2.5
(2u) Jets +6
(1u) Over Ravens 47.5

[StackinGreen]

I'm happy about your last two ...

I'm liking these late games. Good luck. Where you at, brah?

[Dexter]

2 TD's in a minute?

Buried nicely again...

[Dexter]

make that 3 TD's in 2 minutes and the nail in the coffin.

[StackinGreen]

Why Bears over Texans tonight? Home field?

[Dexter]

Why Bears over Texans tonight? Home field?

losing a lot of money here man....sure, home field

[Dexter]

sorry $Green....that under eagles game was kind of brutal and was my biggest play of the week.

actually for tonight i did feel that home field would be the difference and obviously the bears defense is peaking right now. i am contemplating playing the over 37 (i have under 41.5 for 2u)...thats a nice middle.

[Dexter]

(1u) Bears -120 (2u total)

[StackinGreen]

Yes, it would be a nice middle. The problem here is that Chicago has beaten no one. Yes, they are excellent defensively but they have a weak offense and the Texans matchup superiorly when considering defense vs. opposing offense.

As an aside,

I can't understand why everyone is sleeping on the best team in the NFL --- The Green Bay Packers

[Dexter]

Yes, it would be a nice middle. The problem here is that Chicago has beaten no one. Yes, they are excellent defensively but they have a weak offense and the Texans matchup superiorly when considering defense vs. opposing offense.

As an aside,

I can't understand why everyone is sleeping on the best team in the NFL --- The Green Bay Packers

maybe cause they're on a bye? haha

[Dexter]

Sunday 11/18:

(3u) Packers -3
(1u) Over Saints/Raiders 54
(1u) Over Packers/Lions 51
(1u) Under Broncos/Chargers 50
(1u) Under Patriots/Colts 53.5
(2u) Raiders +5.5
(5u) Chiefs +3.5 (A2)
(1u) Broncos -7.5

[StackinGreen]

Yes, lots of scoring today.

[Dexter]

nice - a rare A5 on the Giants vs GB on 11/25......i like it ($G doesnt)

[Dexter]

Monday 11/12:

(3u) Chiefs +13 (A2)

(2u) Under Steelers/Chiefs 41

[unitedlad]

Sunday 11/18:

(3u) Packers -3
(1u) Over Saints/Raiders 54
(1u) Over Packers/Lions 51
(1u) Under Broncos/Chargers 50
(1u) Under Patriots/Colts 53.5
(2u) Raiders +5.5
(5u) Chiefs +3.5 (A2)
(1u) Broncos -7.5

Love the Packer play. They're starting to look like the team we all expected at the start of the season. I reckon they will finish strong this season. I can only get -3 at -120, and -3.5 at -110. How do you anticipate the line to move?

[Dexter]

Up to 4-5. If it stays at 3 my bet is likely dead.

[unitedlad]

Up to 4-5. If it stays at 3 my bet is likely dead.

What makes you think your bet will be dead if it closes at 3?

[Dexter]

What makes you think your bet will be dead if it closes at 3?

because i expect the packers to take money fully rested off a bye week and rolling. perhaps the bye came at the wrong time, but it would worry me (i get worried when im cold in a sport like this) if the line stayed at 3 and i would assume 70% of the bets will be on GB.

talk to me when im hot, and i can care less about that stuff..lol

ps: how good was last night - deb puts out the contract!

[fly fisher]

What makes you think your bet will be dead if it closes at 3?

well it is at -4 now, I bet it closes at -5

[unitedlad]

because i expect the packers to take money fully rested off a bye week and rolling. perhaps the bye came at the wrong time, but it would worry me (i get worried when im cold in a sport like this) if the line stayed at 3 and i would assume 70% of the bets will be on GB.

talk to me when im hot, and i can care less about that stuff..lol

ps: how good was last night - deb puts out the contract!

Sorry, I might be being an idiot here but if the line stayed at three wouldn't between GB and DET be split if the line didn't move?

I fully expect this line to close at around 4, 4.5. I would be very suprise if the public don't pount Packers.

You'll finish strong this season. If all else fail...there's always the playoffs!

[Dexter]

Sorry, I might be being an idiot here but if the line stayed at three wouldn't between GB and DET be split if the line didn't move?

I fully expect this line to close at around 4, 4.5. I would be very suprise if the public don't pount Packers.

You'll finish strong this season. If all else fail...there's always the playoffs!

yeah, end of year/playoffs has been my strength the last 2 years, so hopefully that trend continues.

70% of the bets (volume) may be on GB.....and if the line stays at 3 (its already at 3.5/4) or comes back down to 3 - that would indicate that there are a lot of smaller bets in volume on GB, but some heavy $$ has come in on Detroit. So perhaps a casino has 70% GB tickets, but the action is $500,000 GB and $495,000 Det....

Money moves the spread - not # of bets

[unitedlad]

yeah, end of year/playoffs has been my strength the last 2 years, so hopefully that trend continues.

70% of the bets (volume) may be on GB.....and if the line stays at 3 (its already at 3.5/4) or comes back down to 3 - that would indicate that there are a lot of smaller bets in volume on GB, but some heavy $$ has come in on Detroit. So perhaps a casino has 70% GB tickets, but the action is $500,000 GB and $495,000 Det....

Money moves the spread - not # of bets

Of course. I thought you were implying the more bets comign in for a side = the more money coming in. Gotcha now.

[Dexter]

Week 9: 6-10 (-12.6u)

A1: 0-1
A3: 1-1
A5: 1-0
===============================
YTD: 68-61 (-56.75u)

A1: 1-1
A2: 1-1
A3: 2-5
A4: 1-2
A5: 1-0

Week 10: 6-9 (-8u)
A2: 1-0
A3: 1-1
========================
YTD: 74-70 (-64.75u)

A1: 1-1
A2: 2-1
A3: 3-6
A4: 1-2
A5: 1-0

[Dexter]

Thursday 11/15:

(1u) Bills -1
(2u) Over Bills/Dolphins 45

[unitedlad]

Thursday 11/15:

(1u) Bills -1
(2u) Over Bills/Dolphins 45

Forecast for tomorrow?

[Dexter]

forecast for tomorrow?

partly cloudy, east wind 4-9. Kickoff temp 40, wind chill 35

[StackinGreen]

I like Bills too, but don't love them. Maybe a halftime play.