Am I missing something in this prop?

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  • picantel
    SBR MVP
    • 09-17-05
    • 4338

    #1
    Am I missing something in this prop?
    Combined Runs, Hits & Errors in TAM Garza v BOS Lester game -120

    NY Giants points scored (v CLE Browns) -110

    Giants put up big numbers each week and cleveland has no defense.

    lester has a career ERA of 3.38 in 4 starts v tampa and even more impressive this year is 3-0 with an era of .9 v tampa. garza is no slouch either with an ERA of 4.5 this year v boston and 3.86 career.

    Lester is averaging, using the above combined, 1 per inning with garza at 1.5. If you figure they continue at their averages and last at least 7 innings which I believe they can then you are at 17 + errors + 2 innings pullpen which both have been lights out. I also expect boston to win this game so no bottom of the 9th either. At most maybe 20-25 and I do not see how giants can score less. hmm

    this is on intertops
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