Week 6 NFL - The Chart

nep1293 · 10-07-08, 10:40 AM

I've alternated good week/bad week every week so far this year. Hopefully that will be broken this week. A lot of the plays are very strong according to the chart. Eagles are the best bet. The Colts, Jets, Lions, Rams, Cardinals, Patriots and Browns are all highly recommended. We'll see how it goes, almost pulled out the Saints game last night. Would've finished off a solid week nicely. Still not bad so far. A lot better than my college picks have been. GL all

ZBOIZ · 10-07-08, 11:18 AM

Saints -7
Bears -3

Take those plays to the Bank!!!

etothep · 10-07-08, 01:06 PM

haha, its never good when the numbers say take the lions or the rams

slacker00 · 10-07-08, 01:58 PM

Originally posted by etothep

haha, its never good when the numbers say take the lions or the rams

I'm staying away from the Lions, but any team getting 13 against Minnesota is tempting, they have to depend on their defense to score a TD to cover, IMHO. Just too goofy of a game, I'd stay away.

I say bet against the Rams until they show they can do anything whatsoever. Have they even been in a game this year? Also, not that it matters, but where are you getting Rams +15?

Finally, I strongly object to the Jets -6.5. The Jets are not that great. Ignore Favre tossing 6 TDs, that isn't going to happen again, even with the Bengals coming to town. Also, the Bengals are a lot better than their record. The Bengals are not as horrid as the Lions, Rams or even the Raiders, that's a whole different level of stink. The Bengals actually have a team that can hang, they've just been up against some good teams and difficult situations. They're playing hard and really want to erase that zero.

Italia_NYC · 10-07-08, 02:49 PM

I agree. Cincinnati is my favorite pick of the week thus far. I believe they are going to embarrass the Jets.

Oh, and who in their right mind would say the Cleveland Browns are a "highly recommended" pick. LOL

LT Profits · 10-07-08, 03:13 PM

He recommends the Browns because home underdogs of exactly +7 cover the spread about 58% of the time. There is no actual handicapping involved with these plays.

Italia_NYC · 10-07-08, 03:25 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

He recommends the Browns because home underdogs of exactly +7 cover the spread about 58% of the time. There is no actual handicapping involved with these plays.

Ahh ok. Thanks for clarifying. That makes some sense.

nep1293 · 10-07-08, 09:06 PM

My data shows road dogs getting 13 or more at 34-14 over the last 6+ seasons. That's pretty solid IMO. This year alone they are 4-0.

Home dogs getting 7 or more have gone 52-37 over that time. 7 point home dogs are 15-8 by themselves.

etothep · 10-07-08, 11:01 PM

oh, i get what you're doin nep, just would never ride detroit on gameday...ever

BOL to those that will & to you on the other plays man

nep1293 · 10-08-08, 07:15 AM

Originally posted by etothep

oh, i get what you're doin nep, just would never ride detroit on gameday...ever

BOL to those that will & to you on the other plays man

Thanks, I'm not thrilled that the lions are a play, but i wouldn't want to lay that many points with the vikings either. Detroit and St Louis will cover some games this year, lets just hope its this week!

slacker00 · 10-08-08, 08:35 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

He recommends the Browns because home underdogs of exactly +7 cover the spread about 58% of the time. There is no actual handicapping involved with these plays.

I agree with this analysis. I'm not playing the Browns, but that's the way I'd lean if I had to pick one team or the other.