Baltimore +3 or Tennessee -3?

[hakrjak]

Baltimore looked pretty good last night against a crappy Pittsburgh team. Rothlesburger really is a statue in the pocket -- If he wasn't able to break a tackle now and then, he would be the most sacked QB in the NFL.

With that said, I still don't think I'd feel comfortable picking BAL against TEN, who have been putting up good numbers all years and grinding other teams into the ground.

What are your thoughts?

[HOMAR]

im on tenn -3 . its gona be hard to the titans go there and put some points in the board , but i thing if pitt find the way to win yesterday ,im pretty shure titans will win by 6 o 7..i will play only a few dollars on this .. better put the money in others games...just my two cents....

[etothep]

My initial lean is on Ten. They have stopped every offense they've faced this year, all of them better than Baltimore's. I'm having trouble seeing Balt put up points unless they can come up with some big returns

[hakrjak]

I dunno, Flacco looked pretty good last night. He can fling the ball... His main problems were fumbling, etc... Maybe Ten's D covers Mason better than Pitt's?

I think I like Ten in this one too. They haven't let me down now 3 weeks in a row that I've been betting them

[Robust]

baltimore saved my ass yesterday from the potentially worst betting week ever..

but my initial lean is on Tenn. I am a loyal guy, but i gotta go for the money..

maybe i will change my mind later, but now, it is tenn to win (my book did not have the line as i post this. will check now and edit if necessary.

Robust

edit: Tenn -3 and the Over 35 seems very low to me.. but with 2 good defenses, this could hold up. just leans for now.

Robust

[McBa1n]

Ten -3? wow.
This line feels like a gift... Even at Baltimore. Got it at +100. Nice.

Tennesee ran the ball pretty damn well versus the premier run D in the league in Minnesota last week, Collins is playing very steady with few mistakes.

Tennesee's D is very solid... they aren't the same kind of defense that Baltimore is. Tennesee rushes 4 and gets pressure consistently - against even solid offensive lines. I really like Tennesee's offensive line - they are very steady and they have some good experience and shouldn't make too many mistakes against Baltimore.

While I feel Tenn's D is probably more responsible for them covering every week - there's one player I think that tips the scales in this game - and that's Chris Johnson. Has anyone been watching this kid every week? I havn't seen a RB with a burst like that in a long time. The Ravens D is fast and athletic, but damn, this kid looks fast in slow motion.

I really feel Baltimore's only chance this game is to force 3+ turnovers. I think Tennesee's D is better suited to handle the offense Baltimore runs than the Steelers - a very vanilla 4-3 with 2 playmakers on the D line and a solid linebacking corps. Remember, the Steelers were down their big beef on the D Line last night and contained the rushing game just enough to win the game - and they knew the run was coming. A pure 3-4 like the Steelers run is a lot easier to run against than a stout 4-3.

I don't like laying much wood on the road against a team I think is underrated and good, but I think the line is reflecting the way Baltimore played last night as opposed to how good Tennesee has been this season. Tennesee is a serious contender. I also havn't capped the game entirely yet - so it's likely that Baltimore will win, again - I'm showing a pick confidently, I'm 0 for the last 3 years doing so haha.. But my money is on the Titans.

[EastsidaProduct]

game could go either way...but they did play well against Pitts. that's why I'm bettin' on Baltimore (+3), not to mention they are at home...

[element1286]

Short week for Baltimore after a physical game. Tennessee can run the ball, and can stop the run. They have a more balanced offense than the Ravens, and their defense is just as good. They are one of the only teams in the league that is more physical than the Ravens. I'd lean Tenn -3.

[Poker_Beast]

On TN myself!

[nysmoneyman]

albert is a run stuffer...is flacco gonna beat tenn with his arm and receivers??? i really like the way tenn is playing right now

tenn -3

[hakrjak]

Yep, I shouldn't have even doubted myself. Ten has been winning for me every single week. Why stop riding the horse now? I'm locking in Ten -3 right now.

[LT Profits]

The best value here is Ravens +130 ML.

[fiveteamer]

I agree LT.

This is my favorite play of the year so far.

Baltimore wins.

[picantel]

The titans have covered their last 3 games against balt. I am going tenn

[EastsidaProduct]

game could go either way...but they did play well against Pitts. that's why I'm bettin' on Baltimore (+3), not to mention they are at home...

i played this pick for an office pool, in which they don't play the total points...in actuality, i'm playing the over

[LT Profits]

The titans have covered their last 3 games against balt. I am going tenn

Baltimore may actually have a half decent QB now though, which they did not have those three meetings. Plus a fully healthy Baltimore defense is at least as good as Tennessee's.

[topgame85]

sorry LT play Tenn ML eat the chalk don't lay the 3

[JRS21386]

Tenn -3...

[fiveteamer]

I love to see this, everybody on Tenn...

[Shark79]

Anyone considering the Under on this game?

[Brock Landers]

Tenn -3, Baltimore got the shit beat out of them, as did Pittsburgh in that game, short week, = a loss for Baltimore

[fiveteamer]

As much as I love Baltimore this week, I'm only going to tease them.

+9 is pretty f'kn safe IMO.

[blackbart]

balt or nothing, flacco should look even better at home, in a close game taking 3 is a gift

[Kingctb27]

I love to see this, everybody on Tenn...

Not really. Tennessee (-3) is +105 at all 4 of my books.

[SBR Lou]

I personally thought Baltimore looked pretty good last week, and has some positives to expand on. They got a little too conservative for my liking and should open it up a little more at home here.

[CBBPhenom]

I like the Ravens good luck

[TPowell]

Tennessee might be the best team in the NFL right now and with Collins at QB, you have to EARN your points. Tennessee is the play here IMO

[CaneDawg]

leave it alone

enjoy a good hard hitting game

there is better value elsewhere

good luck

CD

[losturmarbles]

the same people saying ravens is the play are the same ones that took vikings last week. lol
as long as tenn is healthy, they are on the top tier of teams, by themselves. they have a solid chance to go undefeated if you look at their schedule. but this is probably their best shot of losing, playing at baltimore.
But with the ravens getting jacked up monday, having the short week, and the fact that the ravens offense hasn't played against a solid d yet (aside from a subpar steelers d)
titans are going to make flacco look like what he is--a rookie.

titans 20 ravens 6

[element1286]

the same people saying ravens is the play are the same ones that took vikings last week. lol
as long as tenn is healthy, they are on the top tier of teams, by themselves. they have a solid chance to go undefeated if you look at their schedule. but this is probably their best shot of losing, playing at baltimore.
But with the ravens getting jacked up monday, having the short week, and the fact that the ravens offense hasn't played against a solid d yet (aside from a subpar steelers d)
titans are going to make flacco look like what he is--a rookie.

titans 20 ravens 6

Tennessee has 0% chance of going undefeated.

[losturmarbles]

Tennessee has 0% chance of going undefeated.

tennessee gets no respect

lets say they are an average fav of -250 for the remaining games, so thats ~71%, 12 games left

.71^12 = ~.0125 = 1.25%

[gordon gekko]

Titans.

[blackbart]

ball more w/superior d and running game catching 3 @ home

[Kingctb27]

ball more w/superior d and running game catching 3 @ home

Have you watched any Tennessee game this year?

[blackbart]

Have you watched any Tennessee game this year?

have you looked at the numbers, done any computer modeling or predictions on the game?