I like O 4.5 sacks tonight thoughts additions?
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Yea looks like a grinder of a game for these two especially with Willie Parker out.
Tier 1 picks
McGahee Under 65.5 ( Pitt's def + he's only gettin like 1/2-1/3 of the reps this week)
Hines Ward Over 4.5 Receptions. (Parker out, they'll need to rely on him bigtime+Rolle and Laundry are inactive and injured for Balt's secondary, respectively)
LFG Under 45.5. Pittsburgh is officially the hardest grass/stadium to kick a FG in. Stover sucks with LFG as well. There's only a slim range where it can even be attempted at 45.5.
Sacks Over 4.5. Big ben seems to absorb sacks. Rookie Flacco's heading into the belly of PIT, and both defenses will be balls out. Should be a mess like phi/chi
Tier 2 picks could be
Fumbles over 1.5 (gritty game on this shitty Pittsburgh grass, + starting mendenhall has fumblitis. + Sack-->fumbles look very probable.
Long Rush under 20.5 (both defenses are extremely mean vs the run. Fast willie is out, mendenhall is slower, and pittsburgh shouldn't be slipping up to a 20+ run to this weak BALT offense.)
1st half under (Both offenses are looking weak (without Willie) while both defenses are very strong. Look for Flacco to get off to a slow start here, and Big Ben will be hard=pressed against BALT probly) Interception or sack/fumble returns are the only thing putting 1st half over.)Comment
