My potential Parlay for Sunday

frostno98 · 09-24-08, 06:00 PM

Sorry but I don't think Denver or the Bills will cover

Robust · 09-24-08, 06:05 PM

Denver.. really? they are playing against KC!!

and the bills are playing against a team that gives up outrageous scores to its opponents (avg 23 pts and lose).. (bills give up 16 avg and win).. i was even thinking about going with the over (42) since i predict 34-13 bills..

care to explain your thoughts in more depths?

Robust

hakrjak · 09-24-08, 07:04 PM

There is always 1 or 2 upsets each week. The best handicappers are able to find these games and can vastly improve their odds of picking winners overall because of this. Not all of those long odds faves will cover, the odds of that happening are pretty low. It's your job to figure out which one won't cover though and reverse that part of your bet

- Hakrjak

Robust · 09-24-08, 08:46 PM

Originally posted by hakrjak

There is always 1 or 2 upsets each week. The best handicappers are able to find these games and can vastly improve their odds of picking winners overall because of this. Not all of those long odds faves will cover, the odds of that happening are pretty low. It's your job to figure out which one won't cover though and reverse that part of your bet

- Hakrjak

yup.. agreed.. if i knew who would win, i'd be taking your bets.. hehehe

and i was hoping for some info like this team lost a great lineman or the Qb has a cold.. lol.. you know.. other than a feeling.. coz i still have a feeling about atlanta +7, but i will prolly no bet it

Robust

Robust · 09-24-08, 09:13 PM

ok.. took the advice and stayed away.

Parlay (4 Teams)
Bet $22.00
to Win $220.00
Date Team Line

09/28/08 Chargers(SanDiego) -7.5
16:10 ET
09/28/08 Panthers(Carolina) -7
13:05 ET
09/28/08 Cowboys(Dallas) -11
16:20 ET
09/28/08 Jaguars(Jacksonville) -7.5
13:05 ET

Your Total Bet: 22.00
Total Potential Win: 220.00

I am set.. now to wait til gameday

Robust · 09-25-08, 02:55 AM

damn carolina!! i just did some in depth math for the afternoon games based on past performance and Atlanta is the CORRECT pick at +7.. trap? i dunno.. i will tell ya though that The Jets is a TRAP!!!!! (go carolina!! LOL.. my money is already there!!)

this is what i have so far.. feel free to point out my ignorance

Pretty good picks imho:
Denver +10 @ KC and OVER 46.5
Atl +7 @ Carolina
Arizona +1.5 at NYJets (don't take Jets!! its a TRAP!!! Possible Blowout!!!)
Jax -7.5 @ Houston and OVER 42.5 (look for a blowout!)
Minn @ Tenn UNDER 36
San Fran @ NO -6.5 and OVER 48.5

risky as hell!!
Clev @ Cincy -3.5 but STAY AWAY IF AT ALL POSSIBLE - 4pt game here - can go either way
Green/Tampa is a 3 pt game, can go either way. avoid! The O/U is within .5 of my numbers too... STAY AWAY!! or get your LUCKY coin out

will be crunching more numbers for the rest to see what they show.

Robust

Robust · 09-25-08, 03:44 AM

here is what i got for the rest..

Buff -8 @ St Louis and OVER 41.5
SD @ Oakland OVER 45.5
Balt +7 @ Pitts and UNDER 34.5

VERY RISKY BELOW:
Wash +11 @ Dallas and UNDER 46 BOTH VERY RISKY
Phili -3 @ Chicago and UNDER 41 BOTH VERY RISKY
These numbers are almost dead on! any deviation (and there will be) can screw you bad!
If you have to bet them, dallas and phili to win only (didn't check the line for this).

well, that is what i got from the numbers.. PLEASE let me know if i am messing up.. by the look of things, my parlay is already doomed and i need to place another

Robust

I.R.B · 09-25-08, 04:18 AM

Wow thats crazy... I doubt you win any of them plays... I'd rather just throw them all on the ML an bet $500...

I.R.B · 09-25-08, 04:22 AM

1. Football - Sunday, September 28, 2008 Denver Broncos Money Line (-440)

2. Football - Sunday, September 28, 2008 Jacksonville Jaguars Money Line (-360)

3. Football - Sunday, September 28, 2008 Carolina Panthers Money Line (-320)

4. Football - Sunday, September 28, 2008 Buffalo Bills Money Line (-380)

5. Football - Sunday, September 28, 2008 San Diego Chargers Money Line (-330)

6. Football - Sunday, September 28, 2008 Dallas Cowboys Money Line (-490)

$500 to Win $1539

Robust · 09-25-08, 04:25 AM

no, no, no.. these are not parlays.. just picks.. i will be doing 2-3 team parlays from this info.. the only parlay i have is the 22 to win 220.

so whatcha think?

Robust

Robust · 09-25-08, 04:27 AM

Originally posted by I'm Rich Biatch

1. Football - Sunday, September 28, 2008 Denver Broncos Money Line (-440)

2. Football - Sunday, September 28, 2008 Jacksonville Jaguars Money Line (-360)

3. Football - Sunday, September 28, 2008 Carolina Panthers Money Line (-320)

4. Football - Sunday, September 28, 2008 Buffalo Bills Money Line (-380)

5. Football - Sunday, September 28, 2008 San Diego Chargers Money Line (-330)

6. Football - Sunday, September 28, 2008 Dallas Cowboys Money Line (-490)

$500 to Win $1539

very nice parlay.. i would only worry about carolina from my numbers.. but you are the rich one

Robust