NFL Week 4 - The Chart

aznbluff · 09-23-08, 10:38 AM

I like the Saints bet and the Packers bet

hakrjak · 09-23-08, 10:40 AM

You're picking the Raiders over SD? Man, did you watch the same game I watched last night? That game is a *LOCK* for SD this weekend, provided Rivers or LT don't get hit by a truck on the way to the stadium.

- Hakrjak

nep1293 · 09-23-08, 11:04 AM

Originally posted by hakrjak

You're picking the Raiders over SD? Man, did you watch the same game I watched last night? That game is a *LOCK* for SD this weekend, provided Rivers or LT don't get hit by a truck on the way to the stadium.

- Hakrjak

First off, I just pick the spread. Home Dogs getting 7+ have a good history of winning. And second, teams that look unbeatable 1 week have a tendency to look average the next. Weird things happen in the NFL.

Every week there are headscratchers (Dolphins killing the Pats). I don't know anyone who saw that coming. I'm not saying SD can't cover the game, but no game is a lock.

etothep · 09-23-08, 11:07 AM

Originally posted by nep1293

First off, I just pick the spread. Home Dogs getting 7+ have a good history of winning. And second, teams that look unbeatable 1 week have a tendency to look average the next. Weird things happen in the NFL.

Every week there are headscratchers (Dolphins killing the Pats). I don't know anyone who saw that coming. I'm not saying SD can't cover the game, but no game is a lock.

is that the only reason you're picking the rams & chiefs as well?

hakrjak · 09-23-08, 11:09 AM

Originally posted by nep1293

First off, I just pick the spread. Home Dogs getting 7+ have a good history of winning. And second, teams that look unbeatable 1 week have a tendency to look average the next. Weird things happen in the NFL.

Every week there are headscratchers (Dolphins killing the Pats). I don't know anyone who saw that coming. I'm not saying SD can't cover the game, but no game is a lock.

I hear you, but the Raiders are absolutely terrible so far... And San Diego has been great in the last 2 games -- So we go off of past results to determine future bets until something happens to make us change our minds. Denver murdered Oakland at home just a couple weeks ago, and they are playing at the same level as SD, I believe.

Cheers,

- Hakrjak

LT Profits · 09-23-08, 11:27 AM

Guys, all these plays are based on how teams have historically done at these specific lines. That is what "The Chart" is. There is no handicapping that goes into it.

And 27-15 is 27-15.

nep1293 · 09-23-08, 11:33 AM

Originally posted by etothep

is that the only reason you're picking the rams & chiefs as well?

All of my picks are based on that strategy. These are strictly system picks. I put no input into these picks based on how I feel about a game.

Originally posted by hakrjak

I hear you, but the Raiders are absolutely terrible so far... And San Diego has been great in the last 2 games -- So we go off of past results to determine future bets until something happens to make us change our minds. Denver murdered Oakland at home just a couple weeks ago, and they are playing at the same level as SD, I believe.

Cheers,

- Hakrjak

I don't think the Raiders are THAT bad.

I don't think week to week results mean that much in the NFL. Every week is a clean slate and teams improve/regress all the time. Good luck though.

nep1293 · 09-23-08, 11:35 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Guys, all these plays are based on how teams have historically done at these specific lines. That is what "The Chart" is. There is no handicapping that goes into it.

And 27-15 is 27-15.

You said it LT. I guess I'm gonna have to post a quick definition of The Chart with every post.

hakrjak · 09-23-08, 12:22 PM

Sorry for the drama, I suspected this was a data only related picking method, but didn't realize until you said that there was no human input.

Cheers,

- Hakrjak

bigugly · 09-23-08, 12:55 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Guys, all these plays are based on how teams have historically done at these specific lines. That is what "The Chart" is. There is no handicapping that goes into it.

And 27-15 is 27-15.

Would you actually put any faith into "The Chart?"

SBR Lou · 09-23-08, 01:40 PM

Originally posted by bigugly

Would you actually put any faith into "The Chart?"

The Packers look tempting but potentially losing Al Harris for the year is a big blow to withstand, he has his issues but is the best corner on the team.

LT Profits · 09-23-08, 02:12 PM

Originally posted by bigugly

Would you actually put any faith into "The Chart?"

I wouldn't base any play solely on the chart, but it is not a bad reference to use. Just another betting tool.

nep1293 · 09-25-08, 08:51 AM

Eagles were added, Redskins did get removed. No play on the Steelers/Ravens game. This should be the final card for the week

hakrjak · 09-25-08, 09:15 AM

Thankfully your data backs my Eagles play

haha.. I'm banking on them heavy this week!