From Your Friend Ace

[TodaysAction]

Sunday, September 21

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KANSAS CITY (0 - 2) at ATLANTA (1 - 1) - 9/21/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OAKLAND (1 - 1) at BUFFALO (2 - 0) - 9/21/2008, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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HOUSTON (0 - 1) at TENNESSEE (2 - 0) - 9/21/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 4-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 4-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CINCINNATI (0 - 2) at NY GIANTS (2 - 0) - 9/21/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ARIZONA (2 - 0) at WASHINGTON (1 - 1) - 9/21/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.
ARIZONA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 43-67 ATS (-30.7 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (0 - 2) at NEW ENGLAND (2 - 0) - 9/21/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 68-46 ATS (+17.4 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 2-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 3-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TAMPA BAY (1 - 1) at CHICAGO (1 - 1) - 9/21/2008, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 1-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CAROLINA (2 - 0) at MINNESOTA (0 - 2) - 9/21/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 73-45 ATS (+23.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-0 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 1-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ST LOUIS (0 - 2) at SEATTLE (0 - 2) - 9/21/2008, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 67-95 ATS (-37.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 45-70 ATS (-32.0 Units) off a division game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 2-2 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 4-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (0 - 2) at SAN FRANCISCO (1 - 1) - 9/21/2008, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (1 - 1) at DENVER (2 - 0) - 9/21/2008, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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PITTSBURGH (2 - 0) at PHILADELPHIA (1 - 1) - 9/21/2008, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games after playing on Monday night football since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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JACKSONVILLE (0 - 2) at INDIANAPOLIS (1 - 1) - 9/21/2008, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 2-2 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 3-1 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (0 - 2) at BALTIMORE (1 - 0) - 9/21/2008, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 4-0 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 2-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (2 - 0) at GREEN BAY (2 - 0) - 9/21/2008, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 1-0 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 1-0 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, September 22

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NY JETS (1 - 1) at SAN DIEGO (0 - 2) - 9/22/2008, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in home games off a loss against a division rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Sunday, September 21st

Kansas City at Atlanta, 1:00 ET
Kansas City: 7-1 Under in September
Atlanta: 9-1 Under as a favorite

Oakland at Buffalo, 1:00 ET
Oakland: 12-4 Under off an Under
Buffalo: 8-1 ATS off SU win as an underdog

Houston at Tennessee, 1:00 ET
Houston: 6-0 Over vs. division
Tennessee: 11-2 ATS vs. division

Cincinnati at NY Giants, 1:00 ET
Cincinnati: 7-0 Under as an underdog
NY Giants: 11-3 ATS off ATS win

Arizona at Washington, 1:00 ET
Arizona: 6-0 ATS in September
Washington: 8-22 ATS at home 1st month of season

Miami at New England, 1:00 ET
Miami: 0-7 ATS in September
New England: 25-10 at home off BB Unders

Tampa Bay at Chicago, 1:00 ET
Tampa Bay: 6-11 ATS in road games
Chicago: 14-4 Over in home games

Carolina at Minnesota, 1:00 ET
Carolina: 6-0 Under after a win by 3 or less points
Minnesota: 15-3 Under as a home favorite of 3 points or less

St. Louis at Seattle, 4:05 ET
St. Louis: 3-11 ATS as an underdog
Seattle: 12-2 ATS after scoring and allowing 30 pts

Detroit at San Francisco, 4:05 ET
Detroit: 4-13 ATS in road games
San Francisco: 10-1 Over at home off SU division win as dog

New Orleans at Denver, 4:05 ET
New Orleans: 48-23 ATS Away off ATS loss
Denver: 6-16 ATS as a favorite

Pittsburgh at Philadelphia, 4:15 ET
Pittsburgh: 0-6 ATS Away off SU win
Philadelphia: 6-0 ATS off division loss

Jacksonville at Indianapolis, 4:15 ET
Jacksonville: 7-0 Over as road underdog
Indianapolis: 5-1 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less

Cleveland at Baltimore, 4:15 ET
Cleveland: 7-0 ATS off a SU loss
Baltimore: 0-7 ATS off home game

Dallas at Green Bay, 8:15 ET NBC
Dallas: 8-2 Over off home win
Green Bay: 6-0 ATS in September



Monday, September 22nd

NY Jets at San Diego, 8:30 ET ESPN
NY Jets: 3-0 ATS at San Diego
San Diego: 11-24 ATS off road division loss

Trends Sheet
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Sunday, September 21

1:00 PM ARIZONA vs. WASHINGTON
Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona


1:00 PM CAROLINA vs. MINNESOTA
Carolina is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina


1:00 PM CINCINNATI vs. NY GIANTS
Cincinnati is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Cincinnati is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games
NY Giants are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Giants last 7 games at home


1:00 PM HOUSTON vs. TENNESSEE
Houston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tennessee
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
Tennessee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games


1:00 PM KANSAS CITY vs. ATLANTA
Kansas City is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Atlanta is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games


1:00 PM MIAMI vs. NEW ENGLAND
Miami is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against New England
Miami is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New England
New England is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 6 games when playing Miami


1:00 PM OAKLAND vs. BUFFALO
Oakland is 3-17 SU in its last 20 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games on the road
Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
Buffalo is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games at home


1:00 PM TAMPA BAY vs. CHICAGO
Tampa Bay is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Chicago is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay


4:05 PM DETROIT vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Detroit is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
San Francisco is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit


4:05 PM NEW ORLEANS vs. DENVER
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 8 games on the road
Denver is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Denver is 4-10-1 ATS in its last 15 games at home


4:05 PM ST. LOUIS vs. SEATTLE
St. Louis is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
St. Louis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Seattle is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis
Seattle is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against St. Louis


4:15 PM CLEVELAND vs. BALTIMORE
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home
Baltimore is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home


4:15 PM JACKSONVILLE vs. INDIANAPOLIS
Jacksonville is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
Jacksonville is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Indianapolis is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games


4:15 PM PITTSBURGH vs. PHILADELPHIA
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games


8:15 PM DALLAS vs. GREEN BAY
Dallas is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Dallas is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games
Green Bay is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Dallas
Green Bay is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing Dallas



Monday, September 22

8:30 PM NY JETS vs. SAN DIEGO
NY Jets are 5-14 SU in their last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Jets last 5 games
San Diego is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against NY Jets
San Diego is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against NY Jets


Tips and Trends
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Carolina Panthers at Minnesota Vikings [FOX | 1 PM ET]

Panthers: The Panthers are 2-0 after two tough wins over San Diego and Chicago and now they get star receiver Steve Smith back this week. Smith was suspended two games after punching teammate Ken Lucas but the two say they have made amends and are ready to move on. Smith will join Muhsin Muhammad and D.J. Hackett to give Carolina a formidable trio of receivers. The Panthers will present a stiff challenge for young quarterback Tarvaris Jackson. In the first two weeks, Carolina's defense is only giving up 176 yards per game through the air.

Panthers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
The OVER is 4-0 in Carolina's last 4 road games.

Key Injuries - OT Travelle Wharton (knee) is day-to-day.

PROJECTED SCORE: 17

Vikings (-3.5, O/U 37): The Vikings came into the season with Super Bowl aspirations but are a disappointing 0-2, losing two games they could have easily won. Quarterback Tarvaris Jackson shouldered much of the blame for Minnesota's slow start, and head coach Brad Childress has made the switch to veteran Gus Frerotte for Sunday's game. Childress is hoping Frerotte will be able to help generate more big plays out of the passing game. This is a pivotal game for the Vikings, who don?t want to start out 0-3. As always, they have been extremely tough to run the ball on, holding the opposition to 82 yards per game on the ground.

Vikings are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Vikings are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games.

Key Injuries - WR Sidney Rice (knee) is day-to-day.
OT Bryant McKinnie (suspension) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 20



Pittsburgh Steelers at Philadelphia Eagles [CBS | 4:15 PM ET]

Steelers: The Steelers have jumped out 2-0 to start the season and with some of the conferences preseason favorites floundering, Pittsburgh is setting itself up nicely to be a major factor in the AFC. After dismantling Houston in their opener, the Steelers are coming off a hard-fought win over bitter rival Cleveland. Last week NBC reported that quarterback Ben Roethlisberger had a separated shoulder but the Steelers referred to the report as nonsense. They know more than I do,? Coach Mike Tomlin said. That's good television, I guess.? As usual, defense is the name of the game in Pittsburgh. Through two weeks, the Steelers defense has allowed just 11.5 points and 221.0 yards per game.

Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
The OVER is 5-1 in Steelers last 6 games overall.

Key Injuries - CB Deshea Townsend (heel) is day-to-day.
DE Brett Keisel (calf) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 20 (UNDER - Total Play of the Day)

Eagles (-3, O/U 46): The Eagles have to recharge the batteries after a gut-wrenching 41-37 emotional loss at Dallas last Monday night. The game had a playoff feel to it but now the Eagles have to refocus and prepare to take on a tough Steelers squad. Donovan McNabb has been on fire to start the year, throwing for 642 yards and four touchdowns in the season?s first two weeks. After stifling the lowly Rams, the Eagles defense was torched by the Cowboys to the tune of 41 points and 380 yards of total offense. There is a new star emerging in the city of Brotherly Love. Rookie receiver DeSean Jackson is becoming McNabb's go-to receiver and he's an exceptional return man as well. Jackson just needs to make sure he holds onto the football until he crosses the goal line, something he didn't do against Dallas.

Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 3.

Key Injuries - WR Reggie Brown (hamstring) is questionable.
OT Shawn Andrews (back) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 23



Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers [NBC | 8:15 PM ET]

Cowboys (-3, O/U 51.5): After defeating bitter rival Philadelphia in one of the most thrilling Monday night games ever, the Cowboys must now take to the road to face the 2-0 Packers. This will be a tall order for the Cowboys, who have never won a game at Lambeau Field in the franchise?s illustrious history. Led by Tony Romo, Marion Barber and Terrell Owens, the Cowboys offense has been a well-oiled machine in the first two weeks of the season, averaging 34.5 points and 433.5 yards per game. The defense struggled badly against the Eagles. If there was one bright spot it was that after allowing 30 points in the first half, the Cowboys held Philly to just one touchdown in the final two quarters.

Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
The OVER is 7-0 in Dallas' last 7 games in Week 3.

Key Injuries - S Roy Williams (forearm) is OUT.
TE Jason Witten (shoulder) is probable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 30 (Side Play of the Day)

Packers: Fans in Green Bay have to be ecstatic with the performance of quarterback Aaron Rodgers thus far. Rodgers has thrown for 506 yards and four scores in leading the Pack to wins over division foes Minnesota and Detroit. Rodgers may need another big game through the air because running back Ryan Grant hasn't been 100 percent healthy in the first two games. Grant continues to be bothered by a sore hamstring, which kept him out most of the preseason. His workload was scaled back in the first two games, and he wasn't able to finish either of them. The Packers secondary allowed some big plays last week against Detroit and that area will need to be tightened up with the high-flying Cowboys offense coming to town.

Packers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
The OVER is 6-0 in Green Bay's last 6 home games.

Key Injuries - S Atari Bigby (hamstring) is day-to-day.

PROJECTED SCORE: 21

[TodaysAction]

The wagers with reasonings.

$2500.00 -115 #400 Take Washington (-3) over Arizona
Last year the Redskins built a 21-6 lead against the
Cardinals before holding off a late rally to win by just
two points. They were better than Arizona last year and
they are better than them right now. Washington has already
played the defending Super Bowl champions and a very tricky
New Orleans team to get to 1-1, while the Cardinals have
inflated value due to their 2-0 mark. However, their two
wins came against the lowly Dolphins and 49ers. Arizona
has to travel two time zones east and catch an early kickoff,
which I think could doom them to another slow start. The
‘Skins have won seven of nine in this series. Kurt Warner
has been efficient and has put up strong numbers, but this
will be by far the best defense and the best secondary that
he has seen this year. Washington is 20-8-1 ATS against a
team with a winning record and Jim Zorn’s familiarity with
scheming the Cardinals personnel will pay off for the Redskins.

$600.00 -102 #403 Take Tampa Bay (+3) over Chicago
The Bears erratic quarterback play will again sink them and
I expect at least two turnovers out of Kyle Orton this weekend.
The Bears are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games and I
think they will suffer a bit of a letdown after their crushing
loss at Carolina last week. Former Bear Brian Griese is used
to going up against this Chicago defense – he did it every
day for two years in practice – and I think he’ll exploit that unit.

$2500.00 -107 ‘Under’ 44 St. Louis at Seattle
St. Louis is just 2-7 against the total in its last nine
road games and they simply cannot get out of their own
way on offense. Seattle is, literally, bringing in wide
receivers off the street to suit up for them and Matt
Hasselbeck can only do so much by himself. I actually think
that both defenses are better than the numbers indicate and
that their inflated Points Against numbers are the result of
some garbage time scores and defensive or special teams touchdowns. Both offenses, though, are as bad as they’ve looked and they’ve combined to average just 28 points per game. One of my systems suggests that we have an advantage of 25 points on this line!

$400.00 -107 ‘Under’ 42 Jacksonville at Indianapolis
Both offensive lines are undergoing severe attrition and both
defensive lines should have a field day. Neither offense has moved the ball efficiently in its first two games, with the Jags averaging just 13.0 points and Indy just 15.5. Both defenses have been sound though, as they two units have combined to give up just 40.5 points per game to start the year. I think that the Jaguars are going to rededicate themselves to the running game in this one, and that usually doesn't lead to an eruption of points. Both teams are feeling the pinch of slow starts and we expect both coaches to be extra conservative in this key divisional game.

$600.00 -102 #394 Take Buffalo (-9.5) over Oakland
This one is simply a case of playing the better side on two teams headed in opposite directions. The Raiders have injury issues on offense and plenty of off-field distractions, ranging from their head coach’s shaky job status to off-field arrests. Buffalo is a sparkling 11-3 ATS in its last 14 home games and 10-4-1 ATS in its last 15 games overall. We’ll ride the hot team from Upstate New York.

$600.00 -109 NewYork Jets (+9.5) over San Diego
This is simply too many points for a primetime matchup between
two relatively even matched teams. The Jets are 8-2 ATS as a Monday Night Football underdog and I think they will be able to move the ball against a suddenly porous Chargers defense. San Diego has lost two heart breakers and now everyone expects an "angry" team to come back and get a win. Well, the Jets are not a pushover and it's not as if the Chargers can just "turn it on" and earn a blowout. The bottom line is that they lost two games to two non-playoff teams from last year and they have shown us very little offensively (especially if LT is not 100 percent) that suggests they will run away with this one. The Jets have covered four straight in this series and I think that the Favre Magic will give us the cash on MNF.

[TodaysAction]

Interesting tidbits.

Of teams which play each other this week.
Listed below are records for past three seasons.
Scores in parentheses. Home teams in Caps.
Teams in bold lettering winners vs the spread.

('04) KANSAS CITY favored by 3 over Atlanta .......... (56-10)
('00) Kansas City favored by 4 over ATLANTA .......... (13-29)
('05) OAKLAND favored by 3 over Buffalo .............. (38-17)
('04) OAKLAND favored by 3½ over Buffalo ............. (13-10)
('07) TENNESSEE favored by 3½ over Houston ........... (28-20)
('07) Tennessee favored by 1½ over HOUSTON ........... (38-36)
('06) HOUSTON favored by 1 over Tennessee (OT) ....... (20-26)
('06) TENNESSEE favored by 3 over Houston ............ (28-22)
('05) TENNESSEE favored by 7 over Houston ............ (13-10)
('05) HOUSTON favored by 3 over Tennessee ............ (20-34)
('04) CINCINNATI favored by 5½ over New York Giants .. (23-22)
('07) WASHINGTON favored by 8½ over Arizona .......... (21-19)
('05) Washington favored by 4 over ARIZONA ........... (17-13)
('02) WASHINGTON favored by 6½ over Arizona .......... (31-23)
('07) NEW ENGLAND favored by 22 over Miami ........... (28- 7)
('07) New England favored by 16 over MIAMI ........... (49-28)
('06) New England favored by 3½ over MIAMI ........... (0-21)
('06) NEW ENGLAND favored by 10 over Miami ........... (20-10)
('05) NEW ENGLAND favored by 5½ over Miami ........... (26-28)
('05) New England favored by 3 over MIAMI ............ (23-16)
('06) CHICAGO favored by 13½ over Tampa Bay (OT) ..... (34-31)
('05) TAMPA BAY favored by 3 over Chicago ............ (10-13)
('04) TAMPA BAY favored by 7 over Chicago ............ (19- 7)
('06) MINNESOTA favored by 1½ over Carolina (OT) ..... (16-13)
('05) CAROLINA favored by 7½ over Minnesota .......... (38-13)
('07) SEATTLE favored by 8½ over St Louis Rams ....... (33- 7)
('07) Seattle favored by 3 over ST LOUIS RAMS ........ (24-19)
('06) SEATTLE favored by 3½ over St Louis Rams ....... (24-22)
('06) Seattle favored by 3 over ST LOUIS RAMS......... (30-28)
('05) ST LOUIS RAMS favored by 3 over Seattle ........ (31-37)
('05) SEATTLE favored by 7 over St Louis Rams ........ (31-16)
('06) DETROIT favored by 6 over San Francisco ........ (13-19)
('03) SAN FRANCISCO favored by 7 over Detroit ........ (24-17)
('04) Denver favored by 4½ over NEW ORLEANS .......... (34-13)
('00) NEW ORLEANS favored by 1 over Denver ........... (23-38)
('04) PITTSBURGH even with Philadelphia .............. (27- 3)
('00) PITTSBURGH favored by 3½ over Philadelphia (OT). (23-26)
('07) INDIANAPOLIS favored by 6½ over Jacksonville ... (28-25)
('07) Indianapolis favored by 3 over JACKSONVILLE .... (29- 7)
('06) Indianapolis favored by 1 over JACKSONVILLE .... (17-44)
('06) INDIANAPOLIS favored by 7 over Jacksonville .... (21-14)
('05) INDIANAPOLIS favored by 9 over Jacksonville .... (10- 3)
('05) Indianapolis favored by 8 over JACKSONVILLE .... (26-18)
('07) Cleveland favored by 3 over BALTIMORE (OT) ..... (33-30)
('07) Baltimore favored by 4 over CLEVELAND .......... (13-37)
('06) Baltimore favored by 6½ over CLEVELAND ......... (15-14)
('06) BALTIMORE favored by 11½ over Cleveland ........ (27-17)
('05) Baltimore favored by 3 over CLEVELAND .......... (16-20)
('05) BALTIMORE favored by 6 over Cleveland........... (16- 3)
('07) DALLAS favored by 7 over Green Bay ............. (37-29)
('04) GREEN BAY favored by 3½ over Dallas ............ (41-20)
('05) San Diego favored by 6½ over NEW YORK JETS ..... (26-21)
('04) SAN DIEGO favored by 7 over N.Y. Jets (P/0,OT) . (17-20)

[TodaysAction]

Two hours before kickoff stats.

Stats for two weeks vs ATS

home 14 winners
away 17

Dogs 15
Fav 16

Over 14
Under 17

points that matter is at 5 out of 31 games THAT IS 16%
all years it avg. 15-17 %...that is a fact!!


Public on over 65% of all bets.

[TodaysAction]

Records post.

Action plays .............6-7 - $1,588.00
Investment...............2-3 - $2,050.00

Total........................8-10 -$3,638.00

[TodaysAction]

The weekly $300 teaser.

Seattle under 54
Tampa +3
Jets +19'