BGboothA's NFL Week 3

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  • BGboothA
    SBR MVP
    • 08-07-08
    • 4202

    #1
    BGboothA's NFL Week 3
    Just leans at this point, but these are the games I am looking at.

    Mia +13 @ NE
    This game should be low scoring, I mean think about it, the O/U is set at 36 the second lowest of the week (only behind Chi/TB's 35.5), now combine a 13 point spread. A low scoring game plus a spread that large, should make an obvious lean toward the underdog.

    TB +3 @ Chi
    TB is the better team. Chicago has averaged 138 yard passing a game this season, thats not enough to own a game outright. Although at this point I would buy the half point to 3.5.

    DET @ SF -4
    SF held Seattle to 189 yards passing, and while Seattle had success on the ground, DET doesn't have much of a ground game to speak of at this point. Detroit hasn't stopped anyone and Gore should control this game handily. SF should run away with this one.

    CLE +2@ BAL
    Is Cleveland really this bad? I don't think so, Anderson and Edwards have to come out of their slump eventually. Baltimore is coming off a weird week with the Hurricane bye. Neither of these teams have shown us much this year, why not go with the preseason favorite here +2.

    NYJ +9 @ SD
    The news on LT really makes this one interesting. With LT out the Jets moneyline at +395 looks interesting. But we won't know about LT until gametime more than likely. This one is just a lean, SD has taken two tough losses and most like them here, but I don't see Brett Farve losing by 10 points on MNF.

    NO @ DEN over 51
    Two huge offenses, with a total of zero decent defenses. 51? may sound like a lot, but these two teams have averaged totals of 57.5 points total per game the last two weeks going against lesser offenses.

    Jax @ IND under 42
    Two huge defenses and two hurting offenses. A great combo for going under. Over the last two weeks these two have averaged totals of 35. Jax always plays IND tough, if Clark and Saturday are out I like this even more.

    This is my first real write up so let me know.
  • BGboothA
    SBR MVP
    • 08-07-08
    • 4202

    #2
    Originally posted by BGboothA
    Just leans at this point, but these are the games I am looking at.

    Mia +13 @ NE
    This game should be low scoring, I mean think about it, the O/U is set at 36 the second lowest of the week (only behind Chi/TB's 35.5), now combine a 13 point spread. A low scoring game plus a spread that large, should make an obvious lean toward the underdog.

    TB +3 @ Chi
    TB is the better team. Chicago has averaged 138 yard passing a game this season, thats not enough to own a game outright. Although at this point I would buy the half point to 3.5.

    DET @ SF -4
    SF held Seattle to 189 yards passing, and while Seattle had success on the ground, DET doesn't have much of a ground game to speak of at this point. Detroit hasn't stopped anyone and Gore should control this game handily. SF should run away with this one.

    CLE +2@ BAL
    Is Cleveland really this bad? I don't think so, Anderson and Edwards have to come out of their slump eventually. Baltimore is coming off a weird week with the Hurricane bye. Neither of these teams have shown us much this year, why not go with the preseason favorite here +2.

    NYJ +9 @ SD
    The news on LT really makes this one interesting. With LT out the Jets moneyline at +395 looks interesting. But we won't know about LT until gametime more than likely. This one is just a lean, SD has taken two tough losses and most like them here, but I don't see Brett Farve losing by 10 points on MNF.

    NO @ DEN over 51
    Two huge offenses, with a total of zero decent defenses. 51? may sound like a lot, but these two teams have averaged totals of 57.5 points total per game the last two weeks going against lesser offenses.

    Jax @ IND under 42 (stupid field goal)
    Two huge defenses and two hurting offenses. A great combo for going under. Over the last two weeks these two have averaged totals of 35. Jax always plays IND tough, if Clark and Saturday are out I like this even more.

    This is my first real write up so let me know.
    4-2 with one game left.
    man that IND game looked so good for the first 59 minutes of it.
    Comment
    • Brady2Moss
      SBR MVP
      • 07-02-08
      • 1500

      #3
      Never bet unders, they can only get screwed..
      Comment
      • yurboy
        SBR Rookie
        • 06-11-08
        • 48

        #4
        Nice job pimpin, im thoroughly impressed, not just with the picks but the write-ups were on point too.
        Comment
        • BGboothA
          SBR MVP
          • 08-07-08
          • 4202

          #5
          Originally posted by yurboy
          Nice job pimpin, im thoroughly impressed, not just with the picks but the write-ups were on point too.
          Thanks, my goal is to post something like this each week, and see how I do.
          Comment
          • BGboothA
            SBR MVP
            • 08-07-08
            • 4202

            #6
            oops wrong thread
            Comment
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