NFL Best Bets: Week 3 (Sun September 21st, '08 and Mon September 22nd, '08)

[Illusion]

Share your best bets for Week 3: Sunday and Monday.

All sides and totals will be graded using -110 unless otherwise indicated.

Parlays and teasers will not be reflected in the results.

Make sure you post a line for all bets and good luck!

[darrell74]

Detroit/San Francisco over 45 -110 1 unit

Why?
Detroit will panic and score a crapload of points in a short amount of time, like they have already done in the last two weeks.
We already found out that Frisco can score, as well. Don't tell me that the Seahawk defense is any worse than the Lions. Niners will get a lot of points.

[Red Man Spit]

Last weeks' plays:

BUF/JAX UNDER 38' (BEST BET)
ARZ -8 +110
SF +10 -130


This weeks' plays:

3* ARZ CARDINALS +3 -110 (BEST BET) LOSS
If Arizona can play turnover-free ball, and I am betting they can, Arizona has little excuse not to walk away with an outright winner here. Coach Whisenhunt said in his press conference that they're taking all the necessary precautions leading up to this and next week's matchups (i.e. arriving early in Washington, laying over on the east coast next week for their matchup @ NYJ, therefore removing timezone and jet-lag handicaps). I'll gladly take the points here. ARZ 24 WAS 20

1* STL RAMS +10 -110 LOSS
Everything I said last week about Seattle still applies here. Injuries have devastated this team. As far as the Rams, they are a team that SHOULD be 0-2. They faced one of the premier teams in the NFC this year in week 1 in PHL, then faced the reigning Super Bowl champs in the NYG in week 2, both heavy losses. I was on SF last week, and I'll take the points again this week in nearly the same scenario. SEA 27 STL 20

1* BUF BILLS -9 -110 LOSS
McFadden had a breakout game last week after Justin Fargas went out with injury, but that breakout came at the expense of the KC Chiefs, now the 24th ranked defense. The Bills have the 5th ranked defense (11th rush, 8th pass) and will contain McFadden in this game. If there's a line out on which week Kiffin gets the axe from Al Davis, my money would be after this week. A long day for the Raiders. BUF 28 OAK 10

11th HOUR PLAYS

1* CLE BROWNS +2 +100 LOSS
1* PIT STEELERS +3 +110 LOSS



Lines are how I got them @ 5Dimes. Best of success to all.

[foreclosuregods]

Detroit/San Francisco over 46
Baltimore/(Cleveland +2)
Baltimore/Cleveland Under 38½
Jags/(Colts -5.5)
Vikings/Panthers (+3.5)

[Boner_18]

Best bets from Diamond

Skins -3 (-120) x 2 units
Dallas - 3 (-120) x 1 unit
Dallas/GB o51 (-110) x 1 unit

[roasthawg]

Niners -3.5
Atl -4
Balt -2
Wash -3
NE/Mia over 34.5
Oak/Buff over 37

[etothep]

cle ML (+120)
det/sf O46
az +3
hou/ten U39
chi -3

[EastsidaProduct]

easy week...easy money

Atlanta (-5)
Buffalo (o. 36)
Tenn. (-5)
NYG (o. 42)
Washington (u. 42)
Miami (o. 34.5)
Chicago (-3)
Carolina (+3.5)
Seattle (-9.5)
San Francisco (-4)
Denver (-5.5)
Philly (u. 45)
Indy. (o. 42)
Cleveland (+2)
Green Bay (o. 51)
NYJ (+9)
____________________

'08 NFL Record 19-11-01

[Illusion]

Final Week 2 Results:

cheme82: 3-1 +7.20
txsholdempro: 5-0-1 +5.00
Red Man Spit: 3-0 +4.10
griffijf: 2-1-1 +2.90
roasthawg: 9-6-2 +2.40
Illusion: 2-0 +2.00
Stretch: 2-0 +2.00
supershark: 3-1 +1.90
icemantbi: 3-1-2 +1.90
Senator7: 4-2 +1.80
SHOWTIMERS: 4-2-1 +1.80
foreclosuregods: 5-3 +1.70
ryanXL977: 3-4 +1.70
nevadaside: 2-1 +0.95
CBBPhenom: 2-1 +0.90
$Bnizi: 2-1 +0.90
NYER5680: 2-1 +0.90
bort: 3-2 +0.80
bearmz: 4-3-1 +0.70
The HOFF: 2-1 +0.25
treece: 1-1 +0.07
bumppinee: 1-1 -0.10
LT Profits: 3-3-1 -0.13
el matador: 1-1 -0.10
ccooper03: 2-2 -0.20
EastsidaProduct: 7-7-1 -0.70
Sforz: 0-1 -1.00
bostonbruins: 0-1 -1.10
Alry45: 0-1 -1.10
alexda[]: 1-2-1 -1.15
superquad07: 1-2 -1.20
slacker00: 2-3 -1.30
Tchocky: 5-6 -1.42
RageWizard: 3-3 -2.00
eidolon: 0-2 -2.20
LB916: 0-2 -2.20
Boner_18: 1-1 -2.30
raidersfan: 2-2 -2.50
babytyger: 0-3 -3.30
cweh: 1-4 -3.40
darrell74: 1-3 -4.50
Beat up the book: 1-3 -4.60
JAHgger4noz: 0-2 -5.50
masr: 0-5 -5.50
clcoyle93: 0-3 -12.65
nysmoneyman: 3-3 -15.00
yisman: 1-7-1 -38.40

[yahoonino]

best bet,,,,,cleveland,,,,,,,jacksonville,,,, ,,,,,miami,,,,,

[superquad07]

Redskins -3
Steelers +3
Cowboys -3

[maniac0201]

Minnesota -3.5
Cleveland ML +120
Tampa Bay +3

[supershark]

Titans -5 (-110)
TampaBay +3 (-110)
SF49ers -4 (-110)
Jaguars +5.5 (-110)

[slacker00]

Titans -4 1/2
Panthers +3 1/2
Colts -5
Rams +9 1/2
Giants -13

The next 3 that didn't make the cut: Cards +3, Bears -3, Packers +3

[roasthawg]

Adding:
Titans -5

[SHOWTIMERS]

HEY

San Diego -8.5
Minnesota -3.5
Cleveland ML +120
Tampa Bay +3
Houston +6

[alexda[]]

raiders +9.5 2.2/2
NYG -13 2.2/2
NE -12.5 2.2/2
seattle -9.5 2.2/2
minn -3.5 2.2/2

[walkingdude2]

Sf -4
Atl -5
Buf -10

[The HOFF]

EAGLES -3
BRONCOS -5.5
(2.5u each)

[RageWizard]

Ok another banner week of fadable picks for me where I dropped another 2 units, so now I'm down to -12.30 Units YTD. This is statistically my worst week to invest in the NFL, so my kid is probably doubling his investments which are the opposite of mine. He's been doing this for a year and 2 weeks now and it is pissing me off cause I used to make money at this until he came around. One of these days it will all turn around on him and he will get barrelled in like the old man.

N.E.............-13...............4 Units
DET/S.F......ovr 46.5.........3 units
N.O/DEN......ovr 51...........3 units
CLE.............+1................3 units

Good luck everyone, and I have a question for the Illusionist. Are you going to post the cumulative results as the year goes on?

[slacker00]

Titans -4 1/2
Panthers +3 1/2
Colts -5
Rams +9 1/2
Giants -13

The next 3 that didn't make the cut: Cards +3, Bears -3, Packers +3

I'm going to go ahead and add
Bears -3.

I did a little tweaking of my numbers, giving me the same top 5 plays that I showed yesterday, but adding the Bears to my list of plays. The tweaking also changed the next two plays to not make the cut: Bills -9 1/2, Falcons -5 1/2. I'll probably keep tweaking my system all season.


BTW, Illusion, my record for week 2 should show 2-2-1 ATS. The Vikings -3 play should be a push, not a loss.

[$$POOLCRAZY$$$$]

Greenbay+3....S.D..-9......Buff..-9 1/2......Clev +2 1/2....Philly(best bet)-whateva....T.B. +3...Atlanta -5...Tenn-4 1/2...N.Y.Gmen -13....Wash -3...Indyyyyyyyyyyyy -5..(2nd best bet).......

[alexda[]]

raiders +9.5 2.2/2
NYG -13 2.2/2
NE -12.5 2.2/2
seattle -9.5 2.2/2
minn -3.5 2.2/2

adding:

pitt +3 2/2.2

[cweh]

Houston + 5
Browns +2.5
Bills -9.5
Saints +5.5
Seahawks -9.5
*Packers +3


* Packers pick of the week to win SU

[roasthawg]

BTW, Illusion, my record for week 2 should show 2-2-1 ATS. The Vikings -3 play should be a push, not a loss.

The same thing happened to me with the Broncos...I jumped on them early at matchbook at +1 but only got credit for a tie rather than a win. I think Illusion is keeping it simple and using closing lines with these bets.

[Deceptive]

All 3 are opposite of the free front page picks
T.B. +3
Carolina +3
Dallas vs G.B. over 51 1/2

my best bets
Denver -5 1/2
Buffalo - 9 1/2

[bumppinee]

Titans -5
Falcons - 6

1unit
Bodog

[Mr Handicapable]

Lions/49ers Over 46 = 3 units Mike Martz/Gore/Bruce + Kitna throwing TD passes to his or yours! Calvin Johnson is becoming the unstoppable force they thought he would be last year!

Jets Over 17.5 team total = 2 units San Diego has been shredded by Carolina & Denver. Jets caught a TON of flak for not turning Favre loose vs the Pats and being too conservative! Favre airs it out here on Monday Night and he has a better O-line than Pennington had!

Jets/SD Over 44 = 1 unit
Jets +9 = 1 unit
New Orleans/Denver Over 51 = 1 unit Cutler/Brees...should be the shootout of the week but Denver may play ball control w/their running game! I wouldn't with Marshall/Royal vs the Saints corners!

GL...3-1-1 NFL last week

[dcbt]

I'll join the melee:

CAR+3+100
GB+3+100
TEN-4-105

1 unit each

[laxdjock]

Lions/49ers Over 46 = 3 units Mike Martz/Gore/Bruce + Kitna throwing TD passes to his or yours! Calvin Johnson is becoming the unstoppable force they thought he would be last year!

I'm with you.....though I got stuck with Ov 46.5.

My picks

DET / SF Ov. 46.5
IND -5
Air Force +9.5 (Yeah...not NFL, but I don't bet nearly as much now!)

[Cheme82]

Philly -3 (-120) 10

YTD
CFB 3-4 +10.4 Units
NFL 6-3 +3.2 Units

[bostonbruins]

10pt. Teaser

MIA+22.5
ATL+4
SD+1.5

[$$POOLCRAZY$$$$]

this bettin chyt is sooo easy...i jus thout bout sumtin bro!!!,,.....i might loose everythin if it all goes wrong this weekend..ut-oh need==Minn-N.E.-GreenBay-S.D.-Buff..to just win by more then 2 points,,and I will be one hapy camper bro...gl to evry1..we need it bad..gas stations are running out of gas everywhere near me??? wtf..we is in big trouble bro!!

[ryanXL977]

carolina+170 x 5
dallas-3 -110 x 5
sf/det over 46 -110 x 3
jax+5 -110 x 3
eagles-3-110 x 5
az+160 x 3

[outforseason36]

Pittsburgh +170
Dallas -3
Carolina +175
Jacksonville +5
Detroit +3