My Super Bowl Prop Bets

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  • FEAR THE 407
    SBR Hustler
    • 10-21-11
    • 55

    #1
    My Super Bowl Prop Bets
    Ok, first off i'm betting on the Patriots to win the Super Bowl, with my logic being that the giants win earlier in the season was a last second win, the patriots are playing much better football and beat my ravens whom I thought if they were beaten that would be the super bowl champ. Also, i'm willing to lose money if Tom Brady loses twice to Eli Manning because I don't see it happening.

    With that being said, some props i'm betting on for the superbowl are:

    Wes Welker OVER 6.5 catches (-150 juice) Short underneath routes, Brady's main target, I see him meeting this in the first half

    Will there be a 2 point conversion converted? NO (-550 juice) This virtually has no chance of happening, first they have to be in a situation to go for 2, then they actually have to convert it

    OVER 3 Field Goals made (-160 juice) Since it's the big game I think some players will choke and force their teams to settle for FGS

    Some plays I like:

    Aaron Hernandez OVER 5.5 catches (-135 juice) with the Gronk injury, I think he's going to be big at TE

    How many fumbles will be LOST in the game by BOTH teams? OVER 1 (-170 juice) Meaning if Ahmad Bradshaw fumbles and the giants recover, it doesn't count

    Will Tom Brady throw at least one interception? NO (+120 Juice) Any time you can get + odds on Tom Brady NOT throwing a pick in the biggest game of his career, I think you have to take it

    I don't have any Giants props up since i'm betting on the Patriots I don't want to have to root for the G-Men in any way.

    Opinions on the props you like and dislike and why appreciated
  • 5mike5
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 09-21-11
    • 52054

    #2
    commenting on ur FGs prop, i agree with ur analysis, but my play is a little different on FGs, and keep in mind i only bet +EV props

    BOTH teams make 33+ yard FGs +175 (5dimes)

    GL!
    Comment
    • FEAR THE 407
      SBR Hustler
      • 10-21-11
      • 55

      #3
      Originally posted by 5mike5
      commenting on ur FGs prop, i agree with ur analysis, but my play is a little different on FGs, and keep in mind i only bet +EV props

      BOTH teams make 33+ yard FGs +175 (5dimes)

      GL!
      Would just hate to see teams made 25-32 yarders and you not get the W, if you think they make at least two you're much safer just betting with the 3.

      BOL
      Comment
      • 5mike5
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 09-21-11
        • 52054

        #4
        yeah i dont pay big juice on prop bets...only +_EV for me on props....been rolling with 14 of 18 wins in playoffs too...all +100-+235

        i actually love it...id really hate to have 4+ attempts anf both make 33+ and would have won a +175 rather than -160 too...just personal prefrences ya know...hope we both win it

        goodluck on urs!!!
        Comment
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