Alt Spread Giants -1½ +155

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  • wakeboardr886
    SBR Sharp
    • 04-09-10
    • 453

    #1
    Alt Spread Giants -1½ +155
    Alt Spread Giants -1½ +155; putting $50 on it
  • lovetobet
    SBR MVP
    • 10-06-08
    • 1294

    #2
    Where you getting that line, I only see it in the +135 - 140 range
    Comment
    • GamblerSpirit
      SBR MVP
      • 11-18-11
      • 4085

      #3
      Originally posted by lovetobet
      Where you getting that line, I only see it in the +135 - 140 range
      BetIslands has it.
      Comment
      • wakeboardr886
        SBR Sharp
        • 04-09-10
        • 453

        #4
        ABCislands
        Comment
        • purplesleuth
          SBR Rookie
          • 01-28-12
          • 6

          #5
          This bet is actually unfavorable as about 4.27% of games have a score differential of 1. I can estimate your expected value presuming that the money lline which is currently +140 is a zero expected value bet.

          For instance, if you estimate the probability of the giants winning the money line is about .41666 (derived from 100/240 which assumes a zero EV bet on the money line), the expected value of your bet would be as follows roughly speaking:

          (.41666 - .0437)(255/100) = 0.951

          In other words, it would be more favorable to take the giants money line at + 140 than this bet unless you think there is a particularly high chance that the pats will win by one point.
          Comment
          • p19101
            SBR MVP
            • 11-17-11
            • 1419

            #6
            Originally posted by purplesleuth
            This bet is actually unfavorable as about 4.27% of games have a score differential of 1. I can estimate your expected value presuming that the money lline which is currently +140 is a zero expected value bet.

            For instance, if you estimate the probability of the giants winning the money line is about .41666 (derived from 100/240 which assumes a zero EV bet on the money line), the expected value of your bet would be as follows roughly speaking:

            (.41666 - .0437)(255/100) = 0.951

            In other words, it would be more favorable to take the giants money line at + 140 than this bet unless you think there is a particularly high chance that the pats will win by one point.
            +130 is more of an accurate ML line, hasn't been +140 for a while.
            Comment
            • wakeboardr886
              SBR Sharp
              • 04-09-10
              • 453

              #7
              the lines dropped down to +125, I'm glad I got it before when it was higher
              Comment
              • GamblerSpirit
                SBR MVP
                • 11-18-11
                • 4085

                #8
                That's good, but the value still remains in the high numbers. BOL to you!
                Comment
                • 5mike5
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 09-21-11
                  • 52054

                  #9
                  -3.5 at +230 is the alt. line im on
                  Comment
                  • k13
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 07-16-10
                    • 18104

                    #10
                    Originally posted by p19101
                    +130 is more of an accurate ML line, hasn't been +140 for a while.
                    Bookmaker had +145 yesterday
                    Comment
                    • qsilver335
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-11-09
                      • 1025

                      #11
                      A good bet if you can get it a ML any where near +145.
                      Comment
                      • k13
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 07-16-10
                        • 18104

                        #12
                        Originally posted by qsilver335
                        A good bet if you can get it a ML any where near +145.
                        A good bet is one that wins.....
                        Comment
                        • wakeboardr886
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 04-09-10
                          • 453

                          #13
                          ML isn't even close to +145
                          Comment
                          • Sambooka
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 02-21-11
                            • 822

                            #14
                            i just put in my wager of Giants -3 @ +195 (alt. line)
                            Comment
                            • GamblerSpirit
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-18-11
                              • 4085

                              #15
                              Originally posted by k13
                              A good bet is one that wins.....
                              You never get tired of eating your words? Want to do a points bet?
                              Comment
                              • wakeboardr886
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 04-09-10
                                • 453

                                #16
                                nice win giants backers!
                                Comment
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