NFL is here...I'm heading to the poorhouse

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  • diogee
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-11-08
    • 19477

    #1
    NFL is here...I'm heading to the poorhouse
    Going to try my luck with capping my first full year of NFL...was only capping for the last few weeks of the playoffs last year. Could get ugly but that is what learning is all about.
    I have set my goal at +10 units. Going with 1 unit plays.

    2 plays so far
    Cin -1 -113
    N.O. -3 -112
  • arpeggiomeister
    SBR MVP
    • 05-23-08
    • 1015

    #2
    Originally posted by diogee
    Going to try my luck with capping my first full year of NFL...was only capping for the last few weeks of the playoffs last year. Could get ugly but that is what learning is all about.
    I have set my goal at +10 units. Going with 1 unit plays.

    2 plays so far
    Cin -1 -113
    N.O. -3 -112
    Football treated me well last year, despite the fact that I knew very little about it. There are less games than other sports so teams have less time to figure each other out. As a result you have teams that are really dominant, and others that seem like doormats because they constantly get run over.

    I almost took NO. I think TB looks pretty tough and I eventually talked myself out of it. I still think these picks look pretty good though. You'll do fine.
    Comment
    • dmiles1021
      SBR MVP
      • 09-10-07
      • 1412

      #3
      CIN -1
      Comment
      • Poker_Beast
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 09-14-06
        • 6545

        #4
        GL Diogee!!!

        Comment
        • WestsidePete
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 07-19-07
          • 8049

          #5
          Diogee...whats up!!! I'm back for football!!!
          Comment
          • WestsidePete
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 07-19-07
            • 8049

            #6
            first football tease will be a 3 team 10 pt teaser

            South Carolina pick
            Dallas +4
            Detroit +7
            Comment
            • diogee
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-11-08
              • 19477

              #7
              Originally posted by WestsidePete
              Diogee...whats up!!! I'm back for football!!!
              Good to see ya back around bud. Good luck this season and I hope all is well.
              Comment
              • WestsidePete
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 07-19-07
                • 8049

                #8
                Yes....all is good?? how about you?? Kellen still here?? Fish??
                Comment
                • diogee
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 01-11-08
                  • 19477

                  #9
                  Everything is going good. Kellen is around from time to time but seems pretty busy with work and unfortunately Fish is no longer around.
                  Comment
                  • WestsidePete
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 07-19-07
                    • 8049

                    #10
                    dead fish....that sucks....GL on football this year
                    Comment
                    • diogee
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-11-08
                      • 19477

                      #11
                      Det -3 -110
                      Hou +6.5 -108
                      Stl +8 -110
                      Comment
                      • ChuteBoxe
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 11-21-07
                        • 6885

                        #12
                        Good luck this year bud!! Let's hope we both make lots of cash!!
                        Comment
                        • frostno98
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 09-11-07
                          • 9769

                          #13
                          Football can be profitable for me if I can only stop betting halftime and getting greedy by doing Par 2's.
                          Comment
                          • diogee
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 01-11-08
                            • 19477

                            #14
                            Wowzer...definitely heading to the poorhouse. Fade away boys.

                            Sf +3 -125
                            Ari/Sf under 42.5 -102
                            Cle/Dal under 49 -116
                            Comment
                            • diogee
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-11-08
                              • 19477

                              #15
                              What a shit start.
                              sides 1-5 -3.66
                              totals 2-0 +2.00

                              3-5 -1.66
                              Comment
                              • diogee
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-11-08
                                • 19477

                                #16
                                Nothing for me tomorrow...decent lean on Den/Oak under so I might play that.

                                The units didn't match my spreadsheet so double checked and corrected.
                                sides 1-5 -4.66
                                totals 2-0 +2.00

                                3-5 -2.66
                                Comment
                                • ZBOIZ
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 06-22-08
                                  • 21464

                                  #17
                                  Man I wish I would of saw this mess earlier! I would of told you that your day would of been shitty!

                                  Slam the Green Bay Packers tommorrow! I can help you bring money to your pockets with this football!
                                  Comment
                                  • diogee
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-11-08
                                    • 19477

                                    #18
                                    Nah, it's all good Z. This is more about learning than it is making money for me right now. I have been working on learning how to handicap various sports this whole year and going to continue it for the rest of the year, so no offense but I don't follow anyone. I try to handicap the games myself and make my plays before even looking at the forums...of course that proved very difficult for week 1 with everyone posting several weeks out. Best of luck this season Z.
                                    Comment
                                    • diogee
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-11-08
                                      • 19477

                                      #19
                                      Den/Oak under 41 -108

                                      Denver is without best wr Marshall and Jackson has been hampered with an ankle injury and is likely not 100%. Oakland has bolstered their secondary this year and should be fairly solid. Stokley can be a viable threat but Oakland matches up decent in the secondary. I don't see them having too much of a problem limiting Cutler in the passing game. With their wr core of for this game I look for Denver to control the clock with their running game which is solid year in and year out. I find it vital for them not to get down early with their limited big play ability. Denver has 2 of the best cover corners in the game with Bly and Baily. Curry is a decent threat but I don't see the Raiders testing Bly and Baily too much in this game, especially given Denver's run defense and having Mcfadden/Bush/Fargas in the backfield. DJ Williams is coming off of a monster year and this is his game to prove that he is for real and last year wasn't a fluke. Both teams should improve on defense from last year after giving up 20+ ppg. To me this game personally has smash mouth run down the throat of the opposition written all over it. I don't expect to see more than around 35 pass attempts combined with both teams controlling the game and clock with their running game.
                                      Comment
                                      • Illtakethoseodds
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 03-19-08
                                        • 331

                                        #20
                                        sup dio ..sorry about the slow start.. ull get em next week!!
                                        Comment
                                        • diogee
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-11-08
                                          • 19477

                                          #21
                                          sides 1-5 -4.66
                                          totals 2-1 +.92

                                          3-6 -3.74

                                          Nothing short of absolutely brutal...Raiders just let the Broncos pass all over them without their best receiver.
                                          Comment
                                          • The_Kid
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 02-09-08
                                            • 5049

                                            #22
                                            Don't worry diogee. It's only one week out of a 16 week regular season. You'll get'em next time.
                                            Comment
                                            • diogee
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 01-11-08
                                              • 19477

                                              #23
                                              SF +9 -123 Matchbook
                                              Comment
                                              • diogee
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 01-11-08
                                                • 19477

                                                #24
                                                New Orleans pk -110 Betonline
                                                Comment
                                                • ZBOIZ
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 06-22-08
                                                  • 21464

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by diogee
                                                  New Orleans pk -110 Betonline
                                                  Your New Orleans pick is a good one! Also look at the Colts! That play is a situational play. You haev to ask yourself can the Colts and Manning afford to go 0-2! Take a good look at the Colts!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • diogee
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 01-11-08
                                                    • 19477

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by ZBOIZ
                                                    Your New Orleans pick is a good one! Also look at the Colts! That play is a situational play. You haev to ask yourself can the Colts and Manning afford to go 0-2! Take a good look at the Colts!
                                                    Colts look so easy that is scares me. Manning was a bit out of rhythm but after a week of solid practice that problem should be fixed. My main concern was the lack of protection they provided Manning and some of the missed tackles on D. Manning should be able to exploit the Vikes secondary when they bring the heat but I am not sure how the D will do against Peterson. Going to watch parts of the games tomorrow before deciding on that one. Definitely looking like Colts or no play for me although I am sure it will be a very public play.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ZBOIZ
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 06-22-08
                                                      • 21464

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by diogee
                                                      Colts look so easy that is scares me. Manning was a bit out of rhythm but after a week of solid practice that problem should be fixed. My main concern was the lack of protection they provided Manning and some of the missed tackles on D. Manning should be able to exploit the Vikes secondary when they bring the heat but I am not sure how the D will do against Peterson. Going to watch parts of the games tomorrow before deciding on that one. Definitely looking like Colts or no play for me although I am sure it will be a very public play.
                                                      The Colts will be abale to control Peterson . Rodgers had a great day on the Vikings secondary! Just look for Payton to come out gunning! He will not have to bad games in a row! He will redeem himself!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • diogee
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 01-11-08
                                                        • 19477

                                                        #28
                                                        Stl +9 -107

                                                        Taking a team that looked terrible in week 1. SJax couldn't do anything which led to a horrid passing game as well. Holt was next to invisible and the Rams averaged a horrid 3.7 yds per play on offense. They were shredded by McNabb and several long passing plays...half of his passing yards came from 3 plays. Safety help over the top can cut down on those big plays. The one positive was that the Rams held the Eagles to 3.4 yds per rush on 32 attempts. Getting 9 pts at home is pretty big imo. I don't expect for Holt and Jackson to both be shut down like they were in week 1.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • diogee
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 01-11-08
                                                          • 19477

                                                          #29
                                                          SF/Sea under 38 -110

                                                          Seattle facing some major injury problems on an already invisible offense. I don't see the Niners having too much trouble limiting them after holding the Cards to under 300 yds total offense and 4 yds per play on offense. With Seattle being short at WR and Hasselbeck being bothered by back spasms the Hawks will need to rely heavily on a mediocre run offense. Seattle did have 34 points put up against them but 1 touchdown was on a spectacular return by Parish and another was on a fake fg. While the Seahawks defense did look fairly shaky for the most part they were decent against the run and outside of a 21yd run by Lynch they shut the run down. I definitely expect a little more running out of SF this week while early turnovers led to less running last week. While JT had a decent game outside of 1 int he isn't ready to be throwing the ball 30 times/game. I fully expect a few time consuming drives in this game.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • diogee
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 01-11-08
                                                            • 19477

                                                            #30
                                                            Ind -1 -105
                                                            NE +1.5 -105
                                                            Comment
                                                            • diogee
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 01-11-08
                                                              • 19477

                                                              #31
                                                              Feeling like another terrible week...

                                                              Sf/ARi under 20.5 -110 2H .5 unit
                                                              Pit/Cle under 44 -115
                                                              Comment
                                                              • diogee
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-11-08
                                                                • 19477

                                                                #32
                                                                Cle +7 -120
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Louisvillekid1
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 10-17-07
                                                                  • 52143

                                                                  #33
                                                                  gl dio, haven't chatted in a while, hope everything is well. . .

                                                                  Save me a cot at the poorhouse
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • ChuteBoxe
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 11-21-07
                                                                    • 6885

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by diogee
                                                                    Cle +7 -120
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • diogee
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 01-11-08
                                                                      • 19477

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                                                      gl dio, haven't chatted in a while, hope everything is well. . .

                                                                      Save me a cot at the poorhouse
                                                                      All is well bud...hope the same with you. Just trying to get in some handicapping experience on top of my brutal work schedule right now. Always an extra cot at the poorhouse.
                                                                      Comment
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