BadBeats NFL Thread

[BadBeatBodog]

NFL season is finally here. Lets get to it:

Baltimore pk +100***
Philadelphia -8 +105**
New York (A) -2.5 -140**
New York (N) -3 -130
Seattle pk -115
Green Bay -2.5 -118

Five point teaser:

Baltimore Ravens +5½
Jacksonville Jaguars +3
Philadelphia Eagles -2½
Green Bay Packers +3
Denver Broncos +3
= 1u/4.9u

Here's to a profitable opening NFL weekend

[BadBeatBodog]

Adding:

Seattle +1.5 +100**
Philadelphia -8 -107

[BadBeatBodog]

Baltimore pk +100*** - WIN
Philadelphia -8 +105** - WIN
New York (A) -2.5 -140** - WIN
New York (N) -3 -130 - WIN
Seattle pk -115 - LOSS
Green Bay -2.5 -118 - PENDING
Philadelphia -8 -107 - WIN
Seattle +1.5 +100** - LOSS
Five point teaser - LOSS

Sides: 4-1 +5.95u
Teasers: 0-1 -1u

A great start to the season.

[BadBeatBodog]

Denver -2.5 -120**

[BadBeatBodog]

Green Bay and Denver cover. 6-1 so far.

[BadBeatBodog]

Week 2:
Green Bay -3 -105***
New England +1 +105***
Pittsburgh -6 -103**
Carolina -3 -122
New Orleans +1 -108

Two Team 7.5pt teaser:
NYG -2.5
NE +7.5
3u/2.2u

Three team 5pt teaser:
SEA -2.5
ARI -2
PIT-2
1u/2u

Four team 7.5pt teaser:
MIN +7.5
NYG -2.5
NE +7.5
SD +7.5
1u/2u

Two team 6pt pleaser:
GB -9
NE -6
1u/6u

[Sforz]

i have similar bets going today... good luck

[BadBeatBodog]

Green Bay -3 -105*** - WIN
New England +1 +105*** - WIN
Pittsburgh -6 -103** - LOSS
Carolina -3 -122 - PUSH
New Orleans +1 -108 - LOSS
= +3.01u

Two Team 7.5pt teaser - WIN
NYG -2.5
NE +7.5
= +2.2u

Three team 5pt teaser - LOSS
SEA -2.5
ARI -2
PIT-2
= -1u

Four team 7.5pt teaser - WIN
MIN +7.5
NYG -2.5
NE +7.5
SD +7.5
= +2u

Two team 6pt pleaser - WIN
GB -9
NE -6
= +6u

12.21u total

[BadBeatBodog]

Philadelphia +7 -110**
Philadelphia 1stQ +0.5 +100**
Philadelphia scores first +150

[BadBeatBodog]

That first quarter play was dumb. I'm not sure why I talked myself out of the regular three unit side play but what's done is done; still eeked out a profit thanks to the prop bet. On to week three:

Green Bay +3 -108***
Tampa Bay +3 +110**
Baltimore ML -132***
Philadelphia ML -183***
Tennessee ML -200**
Denver ML -205**

4 team 8pt teaser:
Buffalo -2.5
Seattle -2.5
Green Bay +10.5
San Diego -2
2u/3.4

5 team 8pt teaser:
New York (N) -6
New England -6
Seattle -2.5
Green Bay +10.5
San Diego -2

Take luck.

[BadBeatBodog]

5-1 +8.96u SIDES+ML
0-2 -3u TEASERS

YTD
Sides: 10-5-1 +10.92u
ML: 4-0 +10u
Teaser: 2-4 -0.8u
Pleaser: 1-0 +6u
Prop: 1-0 +1.5u
= 18-9-1 +27.62u

[BadBeatBodog]

Philadelphia ML -130***
San Diego -8 +110**
Minnesota +3 -109**
Green Bay +1 +109**

Two team 6pt teaser:
JAX -1.5
BUFF -2
= 2u/2u

Two team 7pt teaser:
Denver -2.5
Green Bay +8
= 2.4u/2u

Five team 7pt teaser:
Denver -2.5
JAX PK
Green Bay +8
Buffalo -1
San Diego -0.5
= 1u/3.5u

I have a strong lean on Baltimore for MNF but if you didn't read the thread I started about the game earlier in the week I'm stuck with about 13 units on Pittsburgh ML -200. I'm currently trying to buy back most of it at ~+215 so I'll end up with to win 2u at ~-165. I'd be pretty happy with that as the end result because as far as I know nothing below ~-210 was available for the Pitt ML; there are two days left until the game starts, though. I will most likely make a play on the Balt spread depending on how I do today. Take luck.

[BadBeatBodog]

Dallas @ Washington o46.5 -104***

[BadBeatBodog]

Wow I really cannot believe Philly lost that game; they absolutely dominated it despite the loss. Just a quick glance at some standard numbers tells a lot:

1) Eagles outgained the Bears 4.5 yards to 3.0 yards on the average run
2) Eagles outgained the Bears 5.4 yards to 4.7 yards on the average pass
3) Eagles turned Bears turned the ball over twice while the Bears turned it over four times

Oh well that's football. As for tonight I bought back most of my Pitt ML -200 with Balt ML +240 (thankfully the line moved all the way back up today) so I now have Pitt ML -110 2.2u/2u. But I still like Baltimore to cover and possibly win tonight, and if they do I am assuming it will be because of their defense, which means a low scoring game. So I hedged the Pitt ML by parlaying the Balt spread and under, buying points until the payout is +110. What I end up with is this:

Pittsburgh ML -110**
Baltimore +7.5/Under 43.5 +110**

Obviously I'm hoping for a Balt cover and Pitt win, but theoretically this is a no-risk wager.

[BadBeatBodog]

For the sake of record keeping my official play tonight will be Balt +6 -102***. Props for tonight:

McGahee rushing yards over 64.5 +105**
First score not a TD +100
A FG made under 24.5 -120
McGahee rushing yards -8.5 vs. Mendenhall +105

[BadBeatBodog]

Needed every half point for the under but that worked out exactly as I'd hoped. Also went 3-1 in the props and probably would've been 4-0 if McGahee hadn't been injured. Early leans for next week are TB and SF.

[BadBeatBodog]

Morning plays:
Baltimore +3 -130**
Miami +7 -115**
Ravens +8/Giants -2 2u/2u
San Diego -½ -105 for 4th Quarter**
TEN/BAL First Score Not a TD -105**
San Diego at Miami Over 44.5 -107**

I like CIN, TB, SF, and ARI for the afternoon games but am going to wait until later to make my plays on them. Take luck.

YTD
Sides: 12-7-1 +11.94u
ML: 4-1 +6.1u
Teaser: 3-6 -2.2u
Pleaser: 1-0 +6u
Prop: 4-1 +2.55u
Total: 1-0 +3u
= 25-15-1 +27.39u

[BadBeatBodog]

Arizona -1.5 -116**
Cincinnati +16 -103**
San Francisco +3.5 -116**
Tampa Bay +3.5 +105**

[BadBeatBodog]

That TEN/BAL First Score Not a TD -105 was a ridiculous gift line

[ICE-BLOOD]

That TEN/BAL First Score Not a TD -105 was a ridiculous gift line

i agree
nice hit

nice ytd record also

like the way you see the lines and use the #'s

continued good luck

[BadBeatBodog]

Thank you sir hope you had a good Sunday.

For today:
Sides - 4-2-1 +3.68u
Totals - 0-1 -2.14u
Props - 1-0 +2u
Teaser - 1-0 +2u

[BadBeatBodog]

YTD
Sides: 16-9-2 +11.94u
ML: 4-1 +6.1u
Teaser: 4-6 -0.2u
Pleaser: 1-0 +6u
Prop: 5-1 +4.55u
Totals: 1-1 +0.86u
= 31-18-2 +32.93u

Three props and a side:
Minnesota +3½ -120
Devery Henderson Total Receiving Yards over 43½ -140
Visanthe Shiancoe Total Receiving yards over 33½ -115
Aundrae Allison Total Receiving yards over 19½ -105