Had gmen to win superbowl +3950

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  • FlaxMartin
    SBR MVP
    • 08-13-10
    • 2148

    #1
    Had gmen to win superbowl +3950
    Before the game against jets. Bet 100 to win 3950. They are now +350 to win the sb.
    I´ve already hedged for about 700 bucks. 200 on falcons ML and 500 och the pack (both
    at plusmoney). How should I hedge now, and for how much?
  • GamblerSpirit
    SBR MVP
    • 11-18-11
    • 4085

    #2
    3950 - 700(so far) = 3250 left.

    1250 on the niners ML is the course I would take. That would leave you with 2G to play around with, and you can hedge at least a grand on their opponent in the SB, so either way you come out with +$1000. I hope this works out for you, GL!
    Comment
    • SASH
      SBR MVP
      • 04-09-11
      • 3200

      #3
      why on earth would anyone hedge a bet they only risked $100 on??? And at +3950. Makes zero sense to me
      Comment
      • GamblerSpirit
        SBR MVP
        • 11-18-11
        • 4085

        #4
        Originally posted by SASH
        why on earth would anyone hedge a bet they only risked $100 on??? And at +3950. Makes zero sense to me
        b/c you're guaranteed money.

        EDIT: The odds he has it at gives him a LOT of leeway,
        Comment
        • FlaxMartin
          SBR MVP
          • 08-13-10
          • 2148

          #5
          Originally posted by SASH
          why on earth would anyone hedge a bet they only risked $100 on??? And at +3950. Makes zero sense to me
          I am not even gonna comment your post.
          Comment
          • FlaxMartin
            SBR MVP
            • 08-13-10
            • 2148

            #6
            Originally posted by GamblerSpirit
            3950 - 700(so far) = 3250 left.

            1250 on the niners ML is the course I would take. That would leave you with 2G to play around with, and you can hedge at least a grand on their opponent in the SB, so either way you come out with +$1000. I hope this works out for you, GL!
            Think I´ll bet something around those numbers on the 49ers ML. About 1250 to win 900 or something.
            Comment
            • GamblerSpirit
              SBR MVP
              • 11-18-11
              • 4085

              #7
              Originally posted by FlaxMartin
              Think I´ll bet something around those numbers on the 49ers ML. About 1250 to win 900 or something.
              If you're going to risk 1250 you're guaranteed more money than 900. A thousand easily, especially since the price will go down too.
              Comment
              • FlaxMartin
                SBR MVP
                • 08-13-10
                • 2148

                #8
                Originally posted by GamblerSpirit
                If you're going to risk 1250 you're guaranteed more money than 900. A thousand easily, especially since the price will go down too.
                Sounds clever, but I guess I will wait the week out before I put another hedgewager. Perhaps at the start of the weekend
                Comment
                • SASH
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-09-11
                  • 3200

                  #9
                  Ya i get the principle of it....thanks wiseguy. My problems is this, its far less money than the original payout, which was a LONG SHOT to begin with. If its me I ride it out, its called a long shot for a reason. You bet a little bit of money, as this person did here, to get an exorbitant amount of money. If you lose the hundred its no big deal, you get it back that same night right. Never was a believer in this tactic, unless you originally risked a very large amount
                  Comment
                  • GamblerSpirit
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-18-11
                    • 4085

                    #10
                    Originally posted by FlaxMartin
                    Sounds clever, but I guess I will wait the week out before I put another hedgewager. Perhaps at the start of the weekend
                    Wait 'till the last day, and try to get it at Niners -1/-2. The spread will not increase, it will definitely decrease. It already has on other books.
                    Comment
                    • 4TH AND STUPID
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-08-09
                      • 2349

                      #11
                      hedge on SAN FRANCISCO TEAM TOTAL OVER



                      that would hit if san fran wins, because they will have to score some to beat the giants who will prob get in the endzone at least twice.

                      the san francisco TT OVER may hit even if san fran loses, so its a good hedge.


                      hedge around 700 on san francisco team total OVER



                      then you will have 2500 left to work with (if the hedge bet loses) and 3900 ish if it wins, of which i'd dump the entire thing on new england in the superbowl
                      Comment
                      • Daveyboy
                        SBR MVP
                        • 05-12-10
                        • 1317

                        #12
                        Comment
                        • agendaman
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-01-11
                          • 3735

                          #13
                          nice play overall/see nothing wrong w/risking small amt. to win large amt./problem is this/i made bet on 49rs to beat n.o. and giants to beat g.b./both ml/how do we beat patriots/i have actually bet n.e. to win super bowl/you are in serious trouble if you think giants can beat these 49rs./hedge somewhere else and get out w/what you can/gl
                          Comment
                          • BigDeem5
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 02-26-11
                            • 17191

                            #14
                            good luck
                            Comment
                            • Donkeys2012
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-11-12
                              • 2771

                              #15
                              Good Job Flushing 700 down the toliet already. Cant wait to see you completley screw this up and end up losing money on this then you will whine "the refs" are the reason LMFAO.
                              Comment
                              • 5mike5
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 09-21-11
                                • 52039

                                #16
                                my friend has them at 35-1 to win the NFC.....hes abslolutley thrilled...made the wager in week 15

                                personally i think u made big mistake already wasting money hedgeding way too soon, and i wouldnt hedge any money unless they make the SB for ur wager, and even then not very much
                                Comment
                                • jhack704
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 06-04-09
                                  • 5346

                                  #17
                                  ya u shouldnt have been hedging at all yet, i picked sf to win the superbowl at +4000 on feb 10 2011, i only put $25 to win $1000 and havent hedged and still wont until maybe 2nd half of the superbowl. if anything wait til the 2nd half of the ny/sf game, what if ny get off to a big lead, dont waste your money yet(well anymore anyway ha)
                                  Comment
                                  • SASH
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 04-09-11
                                    • 3200

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Donkeys2012
                                    Good Job Flushing 700 down the toliet already. Cant wait to see you completley screw this up and end up losing money on this then you will whine "the refs" are the reason LMFAO.
                                    exactly, $700 already in the shitter, keep it up!
                                    Comment
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