All 4 dogs will bite!

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  • Mac4Lyfe
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-04-09
    • 48409

    #1
    All 4 dogs will bite!
    This is the week that all 4 underdogs will cover easily.

    Saints have never won a road playoff game. SF +3.5
    Pats have lost like 4 playoff games in a row. Broncos +13.5
    Flacco is a mistake waiting to happen. Texans +9 (-135)
    GB doesn't rhyme with defense. Giants +9 (-130)

    I actually think all dogs have a great chance to win outright. I have ML bets on Broncos, Giants and 49ers.

  • Mac4Lyfe
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-04-09
    • 48409

    #2
    The only team the Patriot's beat that had a winning record was the Bronco's. Pat's had the easiest schedule in the NFL.

    Wins:
    Miami 6-10
    SD 8-8
    Oakland 8-8
    Jets 8-8
    Dallas 8-8
    Jets 8-8
    KC 7-9
    Philly 8-8
    Indy 2-14
    Wash 5-11
    Den 9-8
    Miami 6-10
    Buffalo 6-10
    Comment
    • Mac4Lyfe
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-04-09
      • 48409

      #3
      Drew Brees not so hot in the breeze...

      Indoors Outdoors
      W-L 10-1 3-2
      Comp 72.1 69.6
      TD-Int 37-8 9-6
      Sacked 14 10

      Lost at GB and TB. Brees don't like the Bays.

      Great outdoors? Over the past nine weeks, when they haven't lost a game, no team in football has looked more unstoppable and invincible than the Saints. But plain and simple, New Orleans is a different team outdoors than it is indoors, which is what gives San Francisco and its fourth-ranked defense the hope it needs to pull off a playoff upset. The Saints averaged 41.1 points per game at home this season and 27.3 on the road. They gained 492.6 yards per game at home this season on average and 441.6 yards per game on the road this season on average. The Saints were 8-0 at home this season and 5-3 on the road. They gave up only eight sacks at home but 16 on the road.
      Comment
      • Mac4Lyfe
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-04-09
        • 48409

        #4
        The Giants are a different defensive squad when they can get Justin Tuck, Osi Umenyiora and Jason Pierre-Paul all on the field at once and in good health. That hasn't happened much this season, but the unit is cranking now.
        Comment
        • Pauulzcappin
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 04-23-10
          • 20295

          #5
          Like all dogs but gmen
          Comment
          • Mac4Lyfe
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-04-09
            • 48409

            #6
            Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
            Like all dogs but gmen
            The Giants have won two of their last three games at Lambeau, including the 2007 NFC Championship Game
            Comment
            • Mac4Lyfe
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-04-09
              • 48409

              #7
              Giants will be able to rush the QB...
              one of the most interesting subplots will be the return of Packers left tackle Chad Clifton to full-time duty -- just in time to face one of the NFL's top players in 2011. Giants defensive end Jason Pierre-Paul earned first-team All-Pro honors after compiling 16.5 sacks, including six in the Giants' final four regular-season games. Pierre-Paul is expected to start at right end, and when he takes a break or moves elsewhere, the Giants probably will use veteran pass-rusher Osi Umenyiora. Clifton hasn't played a full game since Week 4 because of hamstring and back injuries, and at 35 he's giving up 12 years to Pierre-Paul. But Clifton knows every veteran trick in the book, and he has traditionally fared well against elite pass-rushers, most notably Jared Allen. The Packers trust Clifton to figure out a way to keep the pass rush away from quarterback Aaron Rodgers.
              Comment
              • Mac4Lyfe
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-04-09
                • 48409

                #8
                Texans will make Flacco look like Flucco...
                Defending the middle of the field: Will Ravens quarterback Joe Flacco be able to throw to his favorite area of the field? Accoring to ESPN stats and Info, Flacco has completed 64.3 percent of his throws inside the numbers this season compared with 51.3 percent outside. The Texans allowed the fewest touchdown passes (three) and lowest completion percentage (56.8) inside the numbers this season. They also grabbed 11 of their 17 interceptions in that territory. Safety play has a huge bearing on these numbers, vast improvements over what the 2010 Texans did. Watch Glover Quin and Danieal Manning patrolling the middle of the field.
                Comment
                • 5mike5
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 09-21-11
                  • 52050

                  #9
                  i think all 4 are "live" dogs as well...including ML, but havent made my wagers yet so doubt i will have all 4
                  Comment
                  • meader99
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-30-10
                    • 4223

                    #10
                    Baltimore is gonna roll the Texans.
                    Comment
                    • SoonerC
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 12-03-11
                      • 437

                      #11
                      Anyone that bets against Drew Brees at this point is just guessing.
                      Comment
                      • 5mike5
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 09-21-11
                        • 52050

                        #12
                        the whole world thinks brees will roll...that should tell u something in itself if u know anything about gambling...but like i said i havent taken anything yet so i may have them too
                        Comment
                        • frostno98
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 09-11-07
                          • 9769

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                          The only team the Patriot's beat that had a winning record was the Bronco's. Pat's had the easiest schedule in the NFL.

                          Wins:
                          Miami 6-10
                          SD 8-8
                          Oakland 8-8
                          Jets 8-8
                          Dallas 8-8
                          Jets 8-8
                          KC 7-9
                          Philly 8-8
                          Indy 2-14
                          Wash 5-11
                          Den 9-8
                          Miami 6-10
                          Buffalo 6-10
                          Nice dig up Mac. Overrated offense beating a bunch of chump teams.
                          Comment
                          • dedmoney
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 06-07-11
                            • 158

                            #14
                            I kinda feel the same way....as much as I hate to admit it I think every dog has a legitimate shot to win...maybe not broncos but they should cover imo
                            Comment
                            • 5mike5
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 09-21-11
                              • 52050

                              #15
                              exactly what im thinking
                              Comment
                              • Gilly86
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 12-22-10
                                • 229

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                                The Giants have won two of their last three games at Lambeau, including the 2007 NFC Championship Game
                                You forget to add that the game they lost was the only one against the current roster, which they lost 45-17 last december.
                                Comment
                                • PR9
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-30-11
                                  • 2813

                                  #17
                                  Take ML on all 4 dogs and there's a good chance you'll come out ahead
                                  Comment
                                  • Mac4Lyfe
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-04-09
                                    • 48409

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Gilly86
                                    You forget to add that the game they lost was the only one against the current roster, which they lost 45-17 last december.
                                    True.

                                    But the Packer's defense and running game are both suspect. Same for the Giants but I'd give them the nod when healthy. That really doesn't bode well. I think the Giants will rewind the KC tape and serve up a bunch of 3 and outs. I also don't like Rodgers sitting the last game. Echoes of Indianapolis resting starters then sucking eggs.

                                    Who did the Packers play this year? This is another team that had a very weak schedule IMO. Their best win was the Saints in game 1 then after that it would be against the Giants which they should have lost if NY didn't turn the ball over twice. Detroit is flawed and so was Atlanta when they played them. Packers benefited by playing teams when they were down (Chargers, Minny, Chicago, Denver). They haven't been playing real well in the past few weeks IMO. They are limping into the playoffs and expect to turn it on?
                                    Comment
                                    • Mac4Lyfe
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-04-09
                                      • 48409

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by PR9
                                      Take ML on all 4 dogs and there's a good chance you'll come out ahead
                                      Let's cash this bitch...

                                      1/15/12 4:30pm NFL Football 115 New York Giants +285* vs Green Bay Packers
                                      1/14/12 4:30pm NFL Football 110 San Francisco 49ers +165* vs New Orleans Saints
                                      1/14/12 8:00pm NFL Football 111 Denver Broncos +575* vs New England Patriots
                                      1/15/12 1:00pm NFL Football 113 Houston Texans +300* vs Baltimore Ravens

                                      I really hate to go against Drew Brees as he's hot as a volcano but maybe he'll slow down in the elements. I was hoping for inclement weather but it looks to be a great weekend for football. Maybe a wind storm comes up out of nowhere...
                                      Comment
                                      • freakydave
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-23-11
                                        • 1106

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                                        True. But the Packer's defense and running game are both suspect. Same for the Giants but I'd give them the nod when healthy. That really doesn't bode well. 1)I think the Giants will rewind the KC tape and serve up a bunch of 3 and outs. 2)I also don't like Rodgers sitting the last game.2) Echoes of Indianapolis resting starters then sucking eggs. Who did the Packers play this year? This is another team that had a very weak schedule IMO. Their best win was the Saints in game 1 then after that it would be against the Giants----3) which they should have lost if NY didn't turn the ball over twice. Detroit is flawed and so was Atlanta when they played them.4) Packers benefited by playing teams when they were down (Chargers, Minny, Chicago, Denver). They haven't been playing real well in the past few weeks IMO. They are limping into the playoffs and expect to turn it on?
                                        This is some of the most flawed logic I've read on this game.
                                        1)The giants don't have the secondary KC does-that loss had alot more do to with GB's receivers dropping passes than KC pressure-but ok the giants whose secondary is suspect will get it done KC style.Like they did the last time.
                                        2)Indy lost their last game GB didn't & GB beat a playoff team (with everything to gain by winning)with their backup QB & missing several key D players.While the Gmen beat the craptacular Cowgirls & the Jets. Seriously those 2 teams are bad & injured.
                                        3) GB's D forced those T.O's.---no Eli slipped those were bad breaks [/sarcasm]
                                        4) Yeah GB played everyone at just the right time & nobody was interested in playing their A game vs the reigning SB champion. Right the NYG's played in their last 4 regular season games Dallas(x2),Jets,Redskins yeah their rollin-------NYG's beat 2 teams with a winning record NE & ATL
                                        GB beat N.O. atl det(x2) & the NYG & the afc west winner DENVER but they didn't
                                        play anyone & apparently winning 21 of your last 22 is limping in to the playoffs.
                                        Last----- Rodger's Packers vs the NYG's 2-0 8td's 1int & 121.2 passer rating.
                                        BOL to you
                                        Comment
                                        • Elysee26
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 10-12-11
                                          • 173

                                          #21
                                          Hey Mac, great write up!! Think I'll ride along today. Good work no matter the outcome.
                                          Comment
                                          • Mac4Lyfe
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-04-09
                                            • 48409

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by freakydave
                                            This is some of the most flawed logic I've read on this game.
                                            1)The giants don't have the secondary KC does-that loss had alot more do to with GB's receivers dropping passes than KC pressure-but ok the giants whose secondary is suspect will get it done KC style.Like they did the last time.
                                            2)Indy lost their last game GB didn't & GB beat a playoff team (with everything to gain by winning)with their backup QB & missing several key D players.While the Gmen beat the craptacular Cowgirls & the Jets. Seriously those 2 teams are bad & injured.
                                            3) GB's D forced those T.O's.---no Eli slipped those were bad breaks [/sarcasm]
                                            4) Yeah GB played everyone at just the right time & nobody was interested in playing their A game vs the reigning SB champion. Right the NYG's played in their last 4 regular season games Dallas(x2),Jets,Redskins yeah their rollin-------NYG's beat 2 teams with a winning record NE & ATL
                                            GB beat N.O. atl det(x2) & the NYG & the afc west winner DENVER but they didn't
                                            play anyone & apparently winning 21 of your last 22 is limping in to the playoffs.
                                            Last----- Rodger's Packers vs the NYG's 2-0 8td's 1int & 121.2 passer rating.
                                            BOL to you
                                            The Pack have been impressive no doubt but they haven't been blowing anyone out and look flawed even in victory. Yes they did play teams at the right time. ATL and Denver were both hot messes when GB beat them but you have to play who's in front of you so I tip my cap. I just see holes in this team despite their winning. I don't have a dog in the fight so BOL to you as well my friend.
                                            Comment
                                            • Mac4Lyfe
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-04-09
                                              • 48409

                                              #23
                                              Broncos vs Patriots - Temp: 20 degrees F, Wind: NW 10-15 mph Pats are 31-7 when the temp is 34 degrees or colder. 22-4 when 30 degrees or less (should drop down to 8 degrees)

                                              Giants vs Packers - Temp: 30 degrees F, Wind: S 10-15 mph, Pack 7-1 playoff games 30 degrees or colder, 6-1 games in the 20's.
                                              Comment
                                              • Mac4Lyfe
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-04-09
                                                • 48409

                                                #24
                                                $30.00$7242.30Pending4 Team Parlay



                                                Pending1/14/12 4:30pm NFL Football 110 San Francisco 49ers +155* vs New Orleans Saints



                                                Pending1/14/12 8:00pm NFL Football 111 Denver Broncos +525* vs New England Patriots



                                                Pending1/15/12 1:00pm NFL Football 113 Houston Texans +290* vs Baltimore Ravens



                                                Pending1/15/12 4:30pm NFL Football 115 New York Giants +290* vs Green Bay Packers
                                                Comment
                                                • meader99
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-30-10
                                                  • 4223

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                                                  True.

                                                  But the Packer's defense and running game are both suspect. Same for the Giants but I'd give them the nod when healthy. That really doesn't bode well. I think the Giants will rewind the KC tape and serve up a bunch of 3 and outs. I also don't like Rodgers sitting the last game. Echoes of Indianapolis resting starters then sucking eggs.

                                                  Who did the Packers play this year? This is another team that had a very weak schedule IMO. Their best win was the Saints in game 1 then after that it would be against the Giants which they should have lost if NY didn't turn the ball over twice. Detroit is flawed and so was Atlanta when they played them. Packers benefited by playing teams when they were down (Chargers, Minny, Chicago, Denver). They haven't been playing real well in the past few weeks IMO. They are limping into the playoffs and expect to turn it on?
                                                  In the history of all history, has there ever been a 15-1 team "limping" into the playoffs?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Mac4Lyfe
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 01-04-09
                                                    • 48409

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by meader99
                                                    In the history of all history, has there ever been a 15-1 team "limping" into the playoffs?
                                                    Wins and losses don't always tell the story...

                                                    15Sun, Dec 18

                                                    Box Score | Play-By-Play16Sun, Dec 25

                                                    Box Score | Play-By-Play17Sun, Jan 1

                                                    Box Score | Play-By-PlayThey lose to KC, then Chicago who is offensively deficient out gained them 441 to 363 total yards. If it wasn't for 2 turnovers and 2 flukey bombs this game was closer than most would think. The last game is an unkown since Rodgers didn't play but still shows that their defense sucks. Plus sitting Rodgers IMO was a huge mistake. I'd call that limping. We shall soon see.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Koldazzice
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-08-11
                                                      • 2392

                                                      #27
                                                      -300 and a +165 = -145 total imo but GL to you
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Mac4Lyfe
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-04-09
                                                        • 48409

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by meader99
                                                        In the history of all history, has there ever been a 15-1 team "limping" into the playoffs?
                                                        Nope but a 15-1 team just "limped" out of the playoffs...

                                                        Dem dogs did bite. 3 out of 4
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Mac4Lyfe
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 01-04-09
                                                          • 48409

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by SoonerC
                                                          Anyone that bets against Drew Brees at this point is just guessing.
                                                          Guessing on what cigar to buy.... Cohiba baby
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Mac4Lyfe
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-04-09
                                                            • 48409

                                                            #30
                                                            Ruff
                                                            Comment
                                                            • DOMINATER
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-10-09
                                                              • 3698

                                                              #31
                                                              Great job i got tripped up good luck next week too
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Mac4Lyfe
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 01-04-09
                                                                • 48409

                                                                #32
                                                                Thanks Dominater. Let's get it next week. I'm leaning Pat's and Giants but we shall see.
                                                                Comment
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