Broncos + 16.5 is a great Pick (buy 3 points) -170

[IamHD]

Hello Everyone. This is one of the best picks possible. Yes the Broncos are away, but they are playing amazing compared to a rough three game season finish. The Patriots are one Dream team at home , but have one problem....Defense. Patriots I believe will pull a W verse them , but for sure not cover 16.5 points(-170). I did a calculation and the Patriot win by average of 10.16 points against their opponents. Like last week, I think this is another low risk play. I personally use Sports Book but Im sure a lot of the other site allow you to buy points:

01/14/12Broncos (Denver)+16.5
18:05 MT(-170)

Again, do what your get tells you and don't listen to anyone because anything can happen. Just like tonight where LSU simply got shut out. Things can happen. This is just what I'm personally playing and I feel is very smart play at -170. Honestly if your a Patriots fan your better to not be emotional and take 16.5 points a -170 then a -725 money line. This game could come down to a FG potentially. Its the playoffs. Teams know you can't bounce back next week or get another chance. You loose, your season is OVER.

Best of Luck to Everyone

HD

[StrictlyBusiness]

If you like Basketball I would think about taking a teaser instead or an open teaser to wait for the next football game you like. I don't like idea of buying 3 points on an insignificant number at -170, but just a suggestion. Good luck with your play I hope it hits for you.

[IamHD]

Playoffs are totally different. Please do some homework and calculations before your just make a statement. A you can't compare the two sports point systems and B your getting 6.5 points more than there opponents score when they win. I'll go with this any day of the week. Especially like last week. I bought points in favor of the Saints and they would of covered anyways but I wanted to be safe. Its all about picking the lowest potential risk.

[thebestthereis]

IMO buying 1 point to 14.5 if you believe buying points matters is all you need. This will not land on 15 or 16, if it does call me out and I'll eat my words. Pluses you need to lay -170. If you really like Denver, 13.5 will be plenty.

[E in AZ]

Yeah, seriously. Buying 3 points makes no sense. 17 is a common number, why are you stopping at 16.5?

6 point tease it with something instead dude and get them at +19.5

....probably will still lose the bet.

What a weird post...

[IamHD]

lets see.... In football you can win by 13 , 14 , 15, or even 16. Anything is possible. I'm not the type of person that like to grind his teeth on why he made a decision. If all of you in here were to eliminate greed and make secure picks, you probably would loose as much. Personally last night I took the Over in the 76'ers vs Pacers game. If I hadn't bought 3 points it wouldn't of pushed like it did and I would of lost. Its about being smart. I'm gonna laugh when Broncos loose by two scores and people on here are suggesting 13.5 is smart play. Its DUMB play and books want you to take it. Always maximize whatever side your on. This goes for Overs and Under as well. If you win 8 out of ten at buying points vs going 50/50 on because unless your a pro and work with Vegas , chances are your doing 50 % or maybe a little better.

[IamHD]

19.5 is just dumb. Mathematics show you only need 15 or more points. I actually breakdown teams and not just look at them in be like "Oh broncos are playing ....Pats will Cover" Majority of idiots out in about talk like that and are addicted to gambling thinking they can win it all back. I personally don't even enjoy watching games because I know I made the best possible pick and why stress it. Perfect Example for all you "PROs" who are against what I'm saying .... Did you make the halftime Alabama bet????? probably NOT. I made it as soon as my phone was alerted it was available.

Straight Wager 01/09/12 21:53 ET
bet 2000.00 to win 2000.00 (paid 4000.0) Result: Wager Won
2Alabama 12
2LSU 0 01/09/12(23:00 ET)
2Alabama -0.5 (even)

[PAULYPOKER]

IMO buying 1 point to 14.5 if you believe buying points matters is all you need. This will not land on 15 or 16, if it does call me out and I'll eat my words. Pluses you need to lay -170. If you really like Denver, 13.5 will be plenty.

[KingTout]

Please do some homework and calculations before your just make a statement

You haven't posted anything that shows that you have done a whole lot of "homework and calculations", why are you demanding that standard from the people who reply to you? Mostly you're just spewing a bunch of cliches like "anything is possible" or "playoffs are totally different".

19.5 is just dumb. Mathematics show you only need 15 or more points.

If mathematics show that you only need 15, then why are you buying all the way up to 16.5? If 19.5 is dumb because you only need 15, then 16.5 is also dumb for the same reason.

lets see.... In football you can win by 13 , 14 , 15, or even 16. Anything is possible.

Yes, all of these are possible. Some of them are more likely than the others, which is why people are questioning the wisdom of you buying 3 points instead of just 1.

[StrictlyBusiness]

"I personally don't even enjoy watching games because I know I made the best possible pick and why stress it. Perfect Example for all you "PROs" who are against what I'm saying .... Did you make the halftime Alabama bet????? probably NOT. I made it as soon as my phone was alerted it was available. "

Dude sorry, but that is ridiculous.

Again good luck this weekend, and yes we can compare what the final score look like.

Hope you win

[HoulihansTX]

-170????

Hip to be sqaure.

[flocko76]

is this guy for real? WORST GAMBLING ADVICE EVER!

[StrictlyBusiness]

There she goes... You just don't buy multiple points on high spreads like this. If I was a major book I would even offer discounts on points over a certain number to encourage it.

[ballahollic2]

I bought it to +34.5 at -1000000 and lost!