NFL Best Bets: Week 1: (Thur September 4th, '08 through Mon September 8th, '08)

[Illusion]

Share your best bets for Week 1: Thursday, Sunday and Monday.

All sides and totals will be graded using -110 unless otherwise indicated.

Parlays and teases will not be reflected in the results.

Make sure you post a line for all bets and good luck!

[CaneDawg]

Lions - 3

CD

[SHOWTIMERS]

Week One

San Francisco 49ers +2.5

Some How You Guys Will Think Im Nuts But They Are Going To Win The Division I Work.....in Pr Department In Santa Clara I Know They Are Capable Of Winning Division Lol

[mandy]

Packers vikings under the total.

[Sforz]

-delete

[woodg8]

Packers +6.5 -110

[BossE]

Det Ml
Pit -4

Gltna

[DaColts]

Dallas -4

[crazymetfan]

Watch out for the jags this year don't be surprised it they take the division..

[Red Man Spit]

NY Jets -3 (Best Bet) WINNER
PHL Eagles -7 WINNER


11th Hour play

Buffalo -1 WINNER

[t-bone]

SD Chargers -8.5
Seattle +1.5
Cinci -2

[slacker00]

I'll put these in order of which plays I like best. But all are for 1 unit.

Vikes +3 -125, ML +125
Pats -16.5
Bears +9
Cowboys -4
Bucs +3.5
Eagles -7
Texans +6.5
Jags -3
Panthers +9
Cards -3
Ravens +1
Seahawks -1
Dolphins +3
Lions -3
Raiders +3
Giants -3

[arpeggiomeister]

Jets -3
Eagles -7
Chargers -9

[arpeggiomeister]

I'll put these in order of which plays I like best. But all are for 1 unit.

Vikes +3 -125, ML +125
Pats -16.5
Bears +9
Cowboys -4
Bucs +3.5
Eagles -7
Texans +6.5
Jags -3
Panthers +9
Cards -3
Ravens +1
Seahawks -1
Dolphins +3
Lions -3
Raiders +3
Giants -3

I see you have chosen the Panthers. Would be very interested to hear your opinion on this because I am looking at them for a 10 point teaser. I saw on Sportsbook.com that slightly less than 50% of the side bets are on the Chargers which leads me to believe there is validity to your opinion. What is it I'm not seeing???? Maybe I'll substitute Dallas instead.

[EastsidaProduct]

Baltimore (+1)
NYJ (-3)
N.E. (u. 46.5)
Pitts. (-6.5)
Detroit (-3)
Buffalo (-110)
Carolina (-9)
Arizona (o. 41.5)
Cleveland (u. 49)
Philly (-7)
N.O. (-3.5)
Detroit (-3)
Jacks. (o. 37)
NYG (u. 41)
_______________________

[bort]

deleted

[roasthawg]

KC +16.5
Car +9.5
Chi +9.5
NE/KC UNDER 46.5
Dal/Cle UNDER 48.5

[bort]

St. Louis +7.5
San Diego -9

[dmiles1021]

Eagles -7
Lions -3
Dallas -3
Minnesota +3
Colts -9

2 units each

[Sforz]

Eagles -7
Lions -3
Dallas -3
Minnesota +3
Colts -9

where are you getting these lines?

[treece]

Bet your house on these

Jets(-3) -110(Play of the Week)
Giants(-3) -128
Chiefs(+17) -120
Jaguars(-3) -105
Broncos(-3) -110
Bengals(-1) -115
Lions(-3) -115

[slacker00]

I'll put these in order of which plays I like best. But all are for 1 unit.

Vikes +3 -125, ML +125
Pats -16.5
Bears +9
Cowboys -4
Bucs +3.5
Eagles -7
Texans +6.5
Jags -3
Panthers +9
Cards -3
Ravens +1
Seahawks -1
Dolphins +3
Lions -3
Raiders +3
Giants -3

I completely revamped my handicapping approach and came up with a different assessment this morning. Basically I'm taking 5 picks and the rest are no-plays. With my re-analysis I still get the same plays, but some of the grades and the thresholds are different.

Here they are in no particular order: Raiders +3, Giants -3, Ravents +1, Eagles -7, Jags -3.

The next two would have been Pats -16 1/2 and Vikes +3. But my "true line" assessment would've been Pats -18 1/2 and Packers -1 1/2, still making these reasonable plays, but not good enough to make the cutoff I've established.

In reply to agg, the Panthers-Chargers game is a no-play now, so I really haven't got a good reason to go either way on this game with my new system.

[dmiles1021]

Sforz I got them at Youwager.com about a week ago

[bostonbruins]

10 Pt Teaser

Colts+0.5
Jags+7
Chargers+1

-120

[cweh]

Sea +1
Den -3
Lions -3
Giants -3
Cincy +1 1/2

[txsholdempro]

jags-3 i like the jags to win the superbowl, garrad gets better every year they have a great runing duo and good recievers and a awesome hard hitting defense meanwhile the titans have no recievers and a ok nfl qb and an average defense, love the jags this year and this week

jets -3
49ers + 2.5

[szaidi99]

giants -4.5

[Boner_18]

Jets -3 (-110)
Giants u42 (-120)

[eddyvanwho]

Dolphins at Home are a lock! Pennington is going to shit all over his old team.

[franckmtl]

since nobody seems to considered them i m gonna take

Washington + 4,5 -101

[Sforz]

since nobody seems to considered them i m gonna take

Washington + 4,5 -101

I'm with you.. but got an extra 1/2pt

Washington +5 (-109)

[bostonbruins]

NYG -3 (-160) 2u

NYG/WAS U41 2u

[HOMAR]

Lions-3 5 Units
Cards -2.5 3 Units
Wsh +5.5 5 Units
Pit-6.5 3 Units
Colts-9.5 2units

[chelms166]

6 Point Teaser
Giants +1.5 u47.5 5u


Giants -4.5 u41.5 2u

[justdoingit]

Indy -9 1/2
STL +7 1/2
Cincy -2
Buffalo -1
Cowboys -5 1/2