Canadian Football Week 10

[Marigold HD]

Friday, August 29, 2008
B.C. at Montreal 7:30 PM


Sunday, August 31, 2008
Winnipeg at Saskatchewan 3:00 PM


Monday, September 01, 2008
Edmonton at Calgary 4:00 PM
Toronto at Hamilton 7:30 PM

[Marigold HD]

Back to the regular 4 games a week.......

Here are a few early lines....Maybe wise to get in early

Montreal -4 total 58.5
Sask-3 total 51
Calgary -5 total 57
Hamilton -3 total 54.5

All home teams favored by a field goal or more. The totals remain high as well.

[Marigold HD]

BC at Montreal

Montreal has won 3 straight games.
British Columbia: 4-4 SU, 2-5-1 ATS
Montreal: 5-3 SU, 5-3 ATS
BC play well against East teams

British Columbia is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Montreal
British Columbia is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Montreal
British Columbia is 15-3 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Montreal

Could this game be another shoot-out going over 58.5
I wish the total was at 53 or so.....I would back up the truck for that one with the over. BC defence equals swiss cheese this year. Montreal's hot offensively. Will Buck Pierce start. Anthony Calvillo with a whopping 20-5 TD/Int ratio.

I like over 58.5 so far but will wait till closer to game time to pull trigger.

[dwaechte]

Come up with anything for sure Marigold?

[betplom]

I like over 58.5 so far but will wait till closer to game time to pull trigger.

Under is 7-2 in MONT last 9 home games.


On paper Montreal dominates in every category.

BC's favourable record against Montreal was when BC was a good team.

The only possible play for me would be Montreal -5

[betplom]

I believe this line on Montreal will continue to get pounded, it's now at 5.5 but will likely get to 7 or 7.5 by game time.

[Brady2Moss]

Montreal -4 (if your lucky ) is the sharp play

[betplom]

Montreal -4 (if your lucky ) is the sharp play

Agreed, but 4's are nowhere to be found right now.

[cobra_king]

I believe this line on Montreal will continue to get pounded, it's now at 5.5 but will likely get to 7 or 7.5 by game time.

I hope you are right......i would gladly take my chances getting a TD with the Lions. I can't see it reaching there though.

[dwaechte]

Well it hit 6, not sure if itll make 7 but I think closing at 6.5 is fairly likely.

[EmceeDusty]

BC at Montreal





I like over 58.5 so far but will wait till closer to game time to pull trigger.

Raining in Montreal tonight. The line now is 58.5 i seen. I dont see this game going over with the rain. Im from BC and go to every home game and watch every game religiously and i honestly dont see BC winning this game. Pierce possible could know this is his last chance to show Buono he can start but i dont think he will do much.

[betplom]

Raining in Montreal tonight. The line now is 58.5 i seen. I dont see this game going over with the rain. Im from BC and go to every home game and watch every game religiously and i honestly dont see BC winning this game. Pierce possible could know this is his last chance to show Buono he can start but i dont think he will do much.

60% chance of showers:

http://www.theweathernetwork.com/weather/CAQC0363

I'm liking the under due to recent history of unders at Montreal, weather conditions, and the fact its a natural grass surface.

I may have been a little optimistic in thinking the spread will hit 7 but 6 is a fairly reasonable expectation.

[Bobby]

I don't want to pull you guys off the under in tonights game but do not take the under hoping for weather. Winds are very light and there is no rain anywhere within 4 hours of either direction of Montreal, so do not count on rain during this game or any kind of significant wind.

[cobra_king]

Well BP it is at 6.5 at Cris and 5Dimes......getting that extra 1/2 pt to 7 might be difficult but i'll hold out the next 2 hours to see if it happens.

[EmceeDusty]

Game went under but i have no idea how the hell BC doesnt score with 3 trys from the 1 yardline with no time left. Pierce looked decent though and i think he took over the starting job from Wackson.

[chipper13101]

BC ...come ON! very pooor...3 cracks to win this from the 2...gimmee a break but congrats to the unders.

[Bobby]

Great game to watch. I'm not going to hesitate taking BC next week vs Hamilton. BC will not have 5 turnovers next week and the D played great. I think they'll dominate next week.

[cobra_king]

Whoever is calling those critical plays for B.C should be sent onto the next fishing boat. Repeat after me.........Play action......... twice they get stuffed going up the gut and what do they do on the third try......they get original and go up the gut again, only to fumble the ball. This ontop of the ridiculous formation about 5 minutes earlier when they fumbled the ball on 2nd and 3 when they lined up like it was an NFL game and ran the ball........up the gut........ only to shockingly get stuffed there too before the fumble. Totally ridiculous.

[dwaechte]

Wowwwww. ****ing ridiculous game. BC was probably the right side in this one, I feel lucky as ever to have gotten the line at -4 and hit this one.

[Marigold HD]

Sorry guys.....Just got back home. Could not post final play yesterday. Missed game....Was there rain???? I see the final score was 30-25 Montreal WOW!!!....... I hope you guys hit your plays.
Dwaechte, your the man, I remember you taking montreal earlier in the week. You guys should always follow him with his early picks and good analysis on games.

3 games left for this week.......Exciting time of the year with Labour day coming, College football, and NFL around the corner.

[Marigold HD]

For today's game:

Winnipeg at Saskatchewan

Will Bishop fit right in or be shaky with the offence. Sask may have loss two in a row and look to rebound against a weaker Winnipeg team.

I like Saskatchewan -3

[Marigold HD]

I noticed that my book moved the line to Sask -3.5

[csimmalavong]

do you think winnipeg will cover 10 points in a teaser ?
or a sask blowout ?

[Bobby]

It's so tough to predict what Bishop will do for Sask since there's not alot to go on. He was great last year, this year he was terrible in Toronto. Word from the Sask camp is the players like him and he's predicted to do well but who knows if he really will.

Weatherwise there may be stronger winds for this game but will have to wait until before gametime to know forsure.

[Marigold HD]

do you think winnipeg will cover 10 points in a teaser ?
or a sask blowout ?

If Bishop gets in a rythum early.....I do see this being a blow-out.........There will be a huge Sask sell-out going crazy today. Bishop has alot to prove after being traded from Toronto. He'll be on a mission!!!!

34-12 Saskatchewan

[Marigold HD]

Bishop first 10 passing plays:1..incomplete, well short2..interception, way off3..completion, 10 yards4..completion, 7 yards5..completion, scramble pass for 26 yards6..completion, screen pass for 11-13 yards7..completion, play action for 12 yards......QB sneak for a 8 run and touchdownwell so far, after a shaky start where Bishop tried to make some big plays early, changed to a more conservative approach with smaller shorter plays.....8..incomplete, missed on makeable short throw9a..deep pass......pass interfearance9b..deep pass......play-action, incomplete no play, penalty9c..incomplete, deep pass, over-thrown10..complete, short 12 yard passSo, shorter plays have been successfull while no deep plays have conected yet

[Marigold HD]

Bishop first 10 passing plays:
1..incomplete, well short
2..interception, way off
3..completion, 10 yards
4..completion, 7 yards
5..completion, scramble pass for 26 yards
6..completion, screen pass for 11-13 yards
7..completion, play action for 12 yards......

QB sneak for a 8 run and touchdownwell so far, after a shaky start where Bishop tried to make some big plays early, changed to a more conservative approach with smaller shorter plays.....

8..incomplete, missed on makeable short throw
9a..deep pass......pass interfearance
9b..deep pass......play-action, incomplete no play, penalty
9c..incomplete, deep pass, over-thrown
10..complete, short 12 yard pass

So, shorter plays have been successfull while no deep plays have connected yet

[Marigold HD]

Rain coming down now....

Bishop is 0-6 on his throws over 10 yards.

Saskatchewan defence strong in the first half.

[Marigold HD]

final score...........Sask 19-6 Winnipeg

low scoring, Sask defence domination.

Bishop just managed the game, not spectacular at all.........alot of turnovers and Sask could not capitalize.


More picks for mondays game to follow hopefully

[betplom]

Labour Day:

3 team teaser:

Selection : 1
Canadian Football for Game
Edmonton/Calgary 1-September-2008 1:05 PM PST
Total Points UNDER 67 for Game


Selection : 2
Canadian Football for Game
Toronto 1-September-2008 4:35 PM PST
Spread +12.5 for Game


Selection : 3
Canadian Football for Game
Toronto/Hamilton 1-September-2008 4:35 PM PST
Total Points UNDER 64 for Game

[Bobby]

Calgary ATS for me today. I don't think this line is too high, it's this high for a reason. I think Calgary wins the west and this is one of many important games along the way that Calgary wins. Good luck today

[Marigold HD]

Labour Day

Edmonton at Calgary

I want to take Edmonton +5 today but will hold off. I have a feeling that this game will be close. Today I am going against my gut and talking the over.

Edmonton-Calgary over 56 -115 (pinnacle)

[Marigold HD]

It`s once again the Calgary field goal show........Nice long drives in touchdown territory, just to get field goals...

Halftime score:

Edm 12-9 Cgy

Nothing but field goals

[betplom]

This game can be very humbling for bettors.

I'm glad I played a teaser instead of taking the regular spread.