Down to last 2 in survivor pool

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  • Kojack84
    SBR Hustler
    • 09-11-08
    • 86

    #1
    Down to last 2 in survivor pool
    Payout is $1200, $600 if we split, $25 buy-in to start this.

    Here are my teams to pick from: Buf, Chi, Cin, Cle, Den, Hou, Ind, Jax, Kan, Mia, Min, Phi, Stl, Tam , Was

    I am pretty much dead set on taking the Dogkilers this week to win the whole thing. The other guy already picked Phi so I don't have to worry about that.


    My question is, do I make a hedge bet on Wash? Line is +9 or more in some places. I'm thinking a 2-300 hedge bet on Wash +9 can't be a bad thing. And with that spread, I can possibly win the pool AND the hedge.
  • flocko76
    SBR MVP
    • 10-01-10
    • 1447

    #2
    if you hedge take washington money line. than you win either way. it's at +320ish now so won't cost as much to hedge.
    Comment
    • stevenash
      Moderator
      • 01-17-11
      • 66120

      #3
      ^
      good advice
      Comment
      • 4TH AND STUPID
        SBR MVP
        • 08-08-09
        • 2350

        #4
        i would take san fran.

        SF needs the win for a first round bye and STL needs the loss to suck for luck.

        aside from those factors, SF is 100 x better than STL and in the first matchup STL couldnt get a first down if their life depended on it.







        phillys defense is still garbage and washington is the type of air it out team that has killed philly all year. i think theres a good chance philly squanders this game and castillo gets fired. philly also is terrible at home for some reason.


        take SF, watch PHI lose, and laugh your way to the bank.


        good luck.
        Comment
        • p19101
          SBR MVP
          • 11-17-11
          • 1419

          #5
          Originally posted by 4TH AND STUPID
          i would take san fran.

          SF needs the win for a first round bye and STL needs the loss to suck for luck.

          aside from those factors, SF is 100 x better than STL and in the first matchup STL couldnt get a first down if their life depended on it.







          phillys defense is still garbage and washington is the type of air it out team that has killed philly all year. i think theres a good chance philly squanders this game and castillo gets fired. philly also is terrible at home for some reason.


          take SF, watch PHI lose, and laugh your way to the bank.


          good luck.
          SF isn't in his list of teams available...
          Comment
          • p19101
            SBR MVP
            • 11-17-11
            • 1419

            #6
            Originally posted by flocko76
            if you hedge take washington money line. than you win either way. it's at +320ish now so won't cost as much to hedge.
            ^ This if you hedge.
            Comment
            • broller
              SBR High Roller
              • 12-05-11
              • 101

              #7
              Originally posted by 4TH AND STUPID
              i would take san fran.

              SF needs the win for a first round bye and STL needs the loss to suck for luck.

              aside from those factors, SF is 100 x better than STL and in the first matchup STL couldnt get a first down if their life depended on it.







              phillys defense is still garbage and washington is the type of air it out team that has killed philly all year. i think theres a good chance philly squanders this game and castillo gets fired. philly also is terrible at home for some reason.


              take SF, watch PHI lose, and laugh your way to the bank.


              good luck.
              San Fran is not an option, from his list of available teams. Or do you mean he should take SF in a single game bet?
              Comment
              • chargers4222
                SBR MVP
                • 01-16-10
                • 4702

                #8
                4th and stupid is the most worthless, least knowledgable, and best fade on this board....what a loser
                Comment
                • 4TH AND STUPID
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-08-09
                  • 2350

                  #9
                  Originally posted by chargers4222
                  4th and stupid is the most worthless, least knowledgable, and best fade on this board....what a loser


                  chargers4222 had his rooster jerked by his stepdad when he was 12 and since then he hasnt picked a winner...

                  that would also explain why this douchebag thinks the dallas cowboys will will be in the superbowl
                  Comment
                  • Big Bear
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 11-01-11
                    • 43253

                    #10
                    Take Denver
                    Comment
                    • Big Bear
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 11-01-11
                      • 43253

                      #11
                      must win game for Denver and they are playing at home.
                      Comment
                      • p19101
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-17-11
                        • 1419

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Big Bear
                        must win game for Denver and they are playing at home.
                        Philly a much better pick
                        Comment
                        • Soxsfan9
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-30-08
                          • 3705

                          #13
                          I would take INDY, they win this weekend!
                          Comment
                          • Guinser
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 11-04-10
                            • 461

                            #14
                            without question take the highest favorite on the board (philly) and hedge 100-200 on washington ml
                            Comment
                            • Kojack84
                              SBR Hustler
                              • 09-11-08
                              • 86

                              #15
                              Thanks! Got the advice I was looking for.

                              Placing a bet on Wash ML to win $450.

                              Possible outcomes are:

                              I win, he loses: +$1070
                              We both win: +$470
                              He wins, I lose: +$450
                              We both lose: +$1050

                              Not bad!
                              Comment
                              • flocko76
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-01-10
                                • 1447

                                #16
                                who did the other guy pick?
                                Comment
                                • Kojack84
                                  SBR Hustler
                                  • 09-11-08
                                  • 86

                                  #17
                                  He took Tennessee! ******* Kubiak going for 2.....
                                  Comment
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