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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    1 NFL Play Sunday Night
    Bears UNDER 14.5 +100 (Team Total) (Rebate Wager)

    Pending:
    3-Team, 6.5-point Teaser +160 (Ties Reduce – Bookmaker)
    Panthers-1(WIN) /Seahawks+7.5(WIN) /Saints -0.5

    YTD: 45-48-1, -7.92
  • lovetobet
    SBR MVP
    • 10-06-08
    • 1294

    #2
    Originally posted by LT Profits
    Bears UNDER 14.5 +100 (Team Total) (Rebate Wager)

    Pending:
    3-Team, 6.5-point Teaser +160 (Ties Reduce – Bookmaker)
    Panthers-1(WIN) /Seahawks+7.5(WIN) /Saints -0.5

    YTD: 45-48-1, -7.92
    Hey LT,

    If you don't mind me asking why do you like this play? Was just going to sit down and start looking at this game but on the surface this seems kind of low. Green Bay's D is good for scoring TD's but give up a ton of yards and I think a fair amount of points also. What are you seeing?
    Comment
    • LT Profits
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-27-06
      • 90963

      #3
      McCown is not the answer at quarterback and while Bell is a decent enough running back, he's not really an every-down go-to type. Even when Bears were at full strength with Cutler, Forte, etc..., Packers held them to 17 points in Chicago and Bears are more than 3 points worse now. They've scored 3, 10 and 14 last three games. But even forgetting all that, Pinny now has Bears UNDER 14 -108.
      Comment
      • lovetobet
        SBR MVP
        • 10-06-08
        • 1294

        #4
        Yeah been breaking this game down since I posted and I'm seeing your angle. The Pack should stop Bell but I'm a little more worried about McCown, agreed he's not the answer but he scares me a little. Not to win but to maybe put some points up, although not sure who he's going to throw to Good Luck Man, hope you nail it.

        Still U14.5 -115 at 5D Also U16 -133 or U14 +103
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #5
          Originally posted by lovetobet
          Still U14.5 -115 at 5D Also U16 -133 or U14 +103
          So I am good there too as of now (still 2.5 hours to kick-off), but I always compare to Pinny no-vig in terms of BTCL.
          Comment
          • hitman09
            SBR MVP
            • 01-25-11
            • 1157

            #6
            Bear Over. The game will be close in around 10 pts lead from Green Mask.
            Comment
            • No coincidences
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-18-10
              • 76300

              #7
              I'm trying to figure out why The Greek is offering this at +15 (+105). It's like they're begging you to take the under -- they won't move off that 15.
              Comment
              • lovetobet
                SBR MVP
                • 10-06-08
                • 1294

                #8
                Nice call so far LT.
                Comment
                • No coincidences
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-18-10
                  • 76300

                  #9
                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                  I'm trying to figure out why The Greek is offering this at +15 (+105). It's like they're begging you to take the under -- they won't move off that 15.
                  Should've taken this more serious before betting the game under.

                  Comment
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