Who Here Is On Colts ML?

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  • Speedy88
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-19-11
    • 11717

    #1
    Who Here Is On Colts ML?
    I'm thinking about jumping on it. Colts ML at +230 seems like it has great value. Good juice. They are at home, the monkey is finally off their back, and they are playing against a rookie QB who apparently has a hand injury.

    I've only seen Yates play once, but is he really that much better than Dan Orlovsky? The one thing that does scare me is Arian Foster and Ben Tate. Colts run defense sucks, and the Texans can really run the ball.
  • Dan Kelly
    SBR MVP
    • 02-19-11
    • 1332

    #2
    You can't take the Colts ML here - for this play the most important factor to handicap is the business and to know the history of how the business affects this sort of game. If the Colts win they could lose out on Andrew Luck. The owner never has to say anything to the coach, and the coach doesn't have to say anything to the players, there is nothing going on that is a fix in anyway. But EVERYONE knows that if the Colts win they could lose out on Luck - they might cover, but if they win, at the least someone will lose a job - that will be in the back of everyones mind during the game. That is why there seems to be value in the ML.
    Comment
    • Speedy88
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 03-19-11
      • 11717

      #3
      I don't buy the whole "suck for luck" thing. Players could care less about Andrew Luck, they are playing for a paycheck and a job in the NFL. Caldwell is pretty much playing for his job, why would he tell them to lose on purpose. There is a decent chance the Colts end up with the #2 or #3 pick. They get JAX next week.
      Comment
      • Big Bear
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 11-01-11
        • 43253

        #4
        If Jake Delhomme were starting at QB for the Texans, I would take Colts ML
        Comment
        • Big Bear
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 11-01-11
          • 43253

          #5
          Originally posted by Speedy88
          I don't buy the whole "suck for luck" thing. Players could care less about Andrew Luck, they are playing for a paycheck and a job in the NFL. Caldwell is pretty much playing for his job, why would he tell them to lose on purpose. There is a decent chance the Colts end up with the #2 or #3 pick. They get JAX next week.
          I agree the Colts definitely will not lose on purpose. These guys have too much pride and they are professionals.
          Comment
          • WinningIsKeY
            SBR MVP
            • 10-17-11
            • 1200

            #6
            UNDER is the play here BOL
            Comment
            • MadTiger
              SBR MVP
              • 04-19-09
              • 2724

              #7
              Originally posted by Speedy88
              I don't buy the whole "suck for luck" thing. Players could care less about Andrew Luck, they are playing for a paycheck and a job in the NFL. Caldwell is pretty much playing for his job, why would he tell them to lose on purpose. There is a decent chance the Colts end up with the #2 or #3 pick. They get JAX next week.
              In this situation, I do buy the "suck for Luck" thing. I don't agree with not doing your best while you are on the field, as do most athletes, but there have been teams that handicapped themselves. One way is to rest a few starters for injuries, or have them leave after a couple of series. Another is to play conservatively on offensive. That way, you don't kill your team's competitive spirit completely. Seen it done in basketball even more than in football.
              Comment
              • kgindy
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 01-19-10
                • 590

                #8
                The Colts have a history of tanking the end of the season why should this be any different. I know they aren't resting for the playoffs this time but if they win they are the dumbest organization out there. If they don't want Luck they need the number 1 pick to make trades no2 does you no good.
                Comment
                • WinningIsKeY
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-17-11
                  • 1200

                  #9
                  How Much better is Luck than RG3? just saying, these are professionals. Colts + the points for me BOL
                  Comment
                  • EastSideLV
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 09-11-11
                    • 106

                    #10
                    National televised game with alot of proud veterans.. I don't think the Colts are going to give anything less than 100%, I seriously doubt most of the players care about the #1 pick next year when they may not even be there next year. The Texans are banged up and are playing on short week with little to actually play for. I can see them sitting some starters 2nd half and the colts could get another win. I'm taking the points though...
                    Comment
                    • zsr
                      SBR MVP
                      • 06-01-10
                      • 4117

                      #11
                      Lol at people thinking the colts are going to lose on purpose. If they lose it's because they are a terrible team, the players couldn't care less about Andrew luck.
                      Comment
                      • LT Profits
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-27-06
                        • 90963

                        #12
                        Betting Colts ML is burning money. They can't "afford" to win any more games the way the Rams are playing. Best play here is teasing Houston, which is better than playing Houston ML.
                        Comment
                        • LT Profits
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-27-06
                          • 90963

                          #13
                          Houston -0.5/Carolina -1.5/Saints -0.5 +180 for me.
                          Comment
                          • Dan Kelly
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-19-11
                            • 1332

                            #14
                            Because the Colts are professionals is exactly why they will not win this game - it is just business.
                            Comment
                            • LT Profits
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 10-27-06
                              • 90963

                              #15
                              This is an organization that tanked games with a chance to go undefeated a few years ago, upper management won't allow the players to win outright.
                              Comment
                              • BuckeyeMike
                                SBR Rookie
                                • 12-18-11
                                • 4

                                #16
                                I like the Colts getting 6.5 , probably buy the half and make 7. I figure they will show up and they will play hard, at home not wanting to get embarrassed. Plus coming into the game with some confidence and with the national coverage wanting to show everyone that they can compete. I'm not saying they'll win but I feel like they can compete enough to stay within 7. Not a big play here but may toss a little something something on it.
                                Comment
                                • Dutchie
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 12-15-11
                                  • 722

                                  #17
                                  thinking of taking the under here
                                  Comment
                                  • GREGREEK
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 09-18-09
                                    • 224

                                    #18
                                    I love the colts chances tonight! Lets Get PAID!
                                    Comment
                                    • YouHave2outs
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 07-02-11
                                      • 4448

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by WinningIsKeY
                                      How Much better is Luck than RG3? just saying, these are professionals. Colts + the points for me BOL
                                      in my opinion Luck is very significantly better
                                      Comment
                                      • zsr
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 06-01-10
                                        • 4117

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by LT Profits
                                        This is an organization that tanked games with a chance to go undefeated a few years ago, upper management won't allow the players to win outright.
                                        Resting players so there healthy for the playoffs is not tanking games. This isn't the NBA. Dan orlovsky couldn't give a shit if the team gets Andrew luck, Caldwell is fired anyway.
                                        Comment
                                        • zsr
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 06-01-10
                                          • 4117

                                          #21
                                          Money line is the best play tonight
                                          Comment
                                          • GREGREEK
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 09-18-09
                                            • 224

                                            #22
                                            Who gives a **** about Andrew Luck?
                                            Comment
                                            • Speedy88
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 03-19-11
                                              • 11717

                                              #23
                                              Alternative line: Colts -3.5 at +430. That's some great juice, only asking the home team to win by 3.5 at home against a rookie QB.
                                              Comment
                                              • thebestthereis
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 03-01-09
                                                • 11459

                                                #24
                                                Colts are not allowed to win, Simon says
                                                Comment
                                                • thebestthereis
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 03-01-09
                                                  • 11459

                                                  #25
                                                  Caldwell is playing for the waterboy job, that is about all.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • flocko76
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-01-10
                                                    • 1447

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Speedy88
                                                    Alternative line: Colts -3.5 at +430. That's some great juice, only asking the home team to win by 3.5 at home against a rookie QB.
                                                    if the colts win its only be a field goal.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ufcmma36
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-22-10
                                                      • 1065

                                                      #27
                                                      colts+7 and Over 40.5
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Vitooch
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 09-26-11
                                                        • 3470

                                                        #28
                                                        Colts +14 and over 34, and Colts ML
                                                        Comment
                                                        • PAULYPOKER
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 12-06-08
                                                          • 36581

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Dan Kelly
                                                          You can't take the Colts ML here - for this play the most important factor to handicap is the business and to know the history of how the business affects this sort of game. If the Colts win they could lose out on Andrew Luck. The owner never has to say anything to the coach, and the coach doesn't have to say anything to the players, there is nothing going on that is a fix in anyway. But EVERYONE knows that if the Colts win they could lose out on Luck - they might cover, but if they win, at the least someone will lose a job - that will be in the back of everyones mind during the game. That is why there seems to be value in the ML.
                                                          Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                          Betting Colts ML is burning money. They can't "afford" to win any more games the way the Rams are playing. Best play here is teasing Houston, which is better than playing Houston ML.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Speedy88
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 03-19-11
                                                            • 11717

                                                            #30
                                                            Cash it boys. Got the 2H under as well. Barely missed out on Colts -3.5 at +430.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • phillybadboy
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 12-11-09
                                                              • 9383

                                                              #31
                                                              i played ml huge, i'm rich now man
                                                              Comment
                                                              • SteveRyan
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-15-11
                                                                • 1654

                                                                #32
                                                                Fluke!!

                                                                Thank the refs. Wouldn't have happened without em.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Vitooch
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 09-26-11
                                                                  • 3470

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Vitooch
                                                                  Colts +14 and over 34, and Colts ML
                                                                  Thanks refs!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Dan Kelly
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-19-11
                                                                    • 1332

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • SteveRyan
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-15-11
                                                                      • 1654

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Vitooch
                                                                      Colts +14 and over 34, and Colts ML
                                                                      Comment
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