Week 15 leans

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  • Goat Milk
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 03-24-10
    • 25850

    #36
    i just put in my bet for the lions.

    good luck chief
    Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
    Comment
    • Redscot
      SBR MVP
      • 05-16-11
      • 2571

      #37
      Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
      Tebows +6 (hoping I can at 7) vs. New England

      The over 45.5 is a lock,

      think about the Den/Min game,

      this will be the same...............
      Remember, no Von Miller in that Minny game....also, you have to think Denver will be very much focused on taking the air out of the ball and keeping Brady off the field. 3 yards and a cloud of dust and a lot of dink and dunk passes. Not saying the over is a bad play, haven't really delved into the game much, just first impressions.

      Comment
      • No coincidences
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-18-10
        • 76300

        #38
        Originally posted by Goat Milk
        Tell me you can't see Stafford airing it out to Calvin and this guy Routte getting multiple pass interference penalties for attempting to stay with a guy that's twice his size.
        In theory, yes.

        Calvin's been a ghost lately though.
        Comment
        • Big Bear
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 11-01-11
          • 43253

          #39
          Originally posted by No coincidences
          Raiders +1.5 vs. Detroit
          Tebows +6
          (hoping I can at 7) vs. New England
          Browns +6.5 at Arizona
          Chiefs +14 vs. Green Bay

          Like the dogs do ya? Me too except I like these dogs


          Broncos +7 (If I can get it at -110)

          Panthers +7 ( same thing)

          Chargers +3 would be a steal, but I am thinking about ML at +125
          Comment
          • BigDan
            Restricted User
            • 04-28-11
            • 5104

            #40
            it dec so that means keep betting the clown ass chargers...shit makes no sense but once again they are starting to play good fb when they are hanging on by a thread (granted they have caught some bad teams but the improved play is obvious)..screw the points, doubt they lose by a fg anyway (if a 3 ever even pops up)...

            kc +14 is def worth serious consideration..hate going against pack but if there was ever a spot for them not to cover this should be it..

            Panthers +6.5 is interesting with Hou coming off a emotional gm where they wrapped up their 1st ever playoff birth, i know they still playing for a bye but it still hard not to have a little letdown here..
            Comment
            • p19101
              SBR MVP
              • 11-17-11
              • 1419

              #41
              NE -6, I love it...

              Bets are in the blog...

              Comment
              • bigsmitty
                SBR MVP
                • 04-12-10
                • 3026

                #42
                Good luck NC. I would personally really like DEN +7.5 if it gets there or I can reasonably buy it down. I think NE will take it by a TD which is why it's hovering at -6/-6.5 right now. CIN is my main play and probably HOU both ATS. Cheers
                Comment
                • No coincidences
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-18-10
                  • 76300

                  #43
                  Originally posted by BigDan
                  Panthers +6.5 is interesting with Hou coming off a emotional gm where they wrapped up their 1st ever playoff birth, i know they still playing for a bye but it still hard not to have a little letdown here..
                  Agree.
                  Comment
                  • Big Bear
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 11-01-11
                    • 43253

                    #44
                    Cam Newtion and the Panthers have proved they are capable but they don't seem to be able to finish. Too huge half team leads blown against the Lions and Falcons
                    Comment
                    • Ch Br
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 12-06-11
                      • 425

                      #45
                      Originally posted by Big Bear
                      Cam Newton and the Panthers have proved they are capable but they don't seem to be able to finish. Two huge half team leads blown against the Lions and Falcons
                      And going into the house of arguable one of the best Defenses, while The offense is Majorly Rallying around a green 2 Game rookie, whos managing the game like a veteran..... Look for Hou to come out and manage the clock with the run to keep the ball outta Newtons hands and then take away his pass so hes forced to run on that rock solid run D, with the option to kill the middle of the field with play action to the tight ends, since the Car linebackers are so depleted and inexperienced

                      Keep in mind this game [as well as the next few] are ALL about homefield for Houston.... wtf is Carolina playing for, a possible rookie of the year banner?
                      Comment
                      • BigDan
                        Restricted User
                        • 04-28-11
                        • 5104

                        #46
                        Originally posted by Ch Br
                        And going into the house of arguable one of the best Defenses, while The offense is Majorly Rallying around a green 2 Game rookie, whos managing the game like a veteran..... Look for Hou to come out and manage the clock with the run to keep the ball outta Newtons hands and then take away his pass so hes forced to run on that rock solid run D, with the option to kill the middle of the field with play action to the tight ends, since the linebackers are so depleted and inexperienced

                        Keep in mind this game [as well as the next few] are ALL about homefield for Houston.... wtf is Carolina playing for, a possible rookie of the year banner?

                        pretty much heard the same thing last week about playing zona...
                        Comment
                        • Skeletor42
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 01-03-11
                          • 409

                          #47
                          No Coin, Thanks for the picks and the leans this year!! Always look forward to your input more than most others on this board!!!!
                          Comment
                          • Ch Br
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 12-06-11
                            • 425

                            #48
                            Originally posted by BigDan
                            pretty much heard the same thing last week about playing zona...
                            Youre comparing Car @ Hou to SF @ Ari???????
                            Comment
                            • broller
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 12-05-11
                              • 101

                              #49
                              What are your thoughts on New Orleans-7 @ Minnesota? I like it quite a bit. It's a road game for NO, but it's also a dome game. I like the matchup of Brees and his plethora of receivers against Minnesota's secondary.
                              Comment
                              • BigDan
                                Restricted User
                                • 04-28-11
                                • 5104

                                #50
                                Originally posted by Ch Br
                                Youre comparing Car @ Hou to SF @ Ari???????

                                situation-ally yes i sure am..

                                did you see the way Hou was celebrating after clinching their 1st playoff berth ever? No matter how you slice it it is tough to get up for next weeks gm after such a emotional win/moment for the franchise..

                                Love this hou team, not even sure i have bet against them this season, anyone who runs and plays d is good with me....still a very tough week for them to cover a td, especially against a team that they know they can take lightly.. not even sure ill be on Panthers (would like to get 7 at least) but no way i touch Texans this week..
                                Comment
                                • Pick'nParlays
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-22-08
                                  • 3134

                                  #51
                                  as stated in my thread this sunday, I feel like Houston is a great team to tease
                                  Comment
                                  • BigDan
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 04-28-11
                                    • 5104

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by Pick'nParlays
                                    as stated in my thread this sunday, I feel like Houston is a great team to tease

                                    certainly makes more sense than laying the 6.5 this week imho..
                                    Comment
                                    • Ch Br
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 12-06-11
                                      • 425

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by BigDan
                                      situation-ally yes i sure am..
                                      So youre comparing something 'situation-ally' where clearly they are not akin in any light because:

                                      1] arizona was the HOME TEAM .... this week the ELITE D is at home -- ->HOU

                                      2] Hou has TWO running backs That are interchangable and as, or more, dynamic than Gore....and no dont try to point to Kendall Hunter [a guy with only 322yrds and 2 tds]

                                      3] Hou is playing for a first round Bye and HOME-FIELD ADVANTAGE to the playoffs.... you seem to think this is an emotional LETDOWN, somehow???? Was it an emotional letdown for the packers when they cheered for winning the NFC championship before they had to play the biggest game of the year?.... how is it not a confidence booster, more than anything, that an NO-NAME, 2nd game, ROOKIE QB LEADS the team to their biggest win????? Not only dispelling the entire media, but erasing all internal doubt and inspiring the team that 'we can still be the dominant team we have been, under this new guy!' ???????????

                                      Because if those are the same situations, then granny smith apples and red delicious come off the same tree in my book
                                      Comment
                                      • BigDan
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 04-28-11
                                        • 5104

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by Ch Br
                                        So youre comparing something 'situation-ally' where clearly they are not akin in any light because:

                                        1] arizona was the HOME TEAM .... this week the ELITE D is at home -- ->HOU

                                        2] Hou has TWO running backs That are interchangable and as, or more, dynamic than Gore....and no dont try to point to Kendall Hunter [a guy with only 322yrds and 2 tds]

                                        3] Hou is playing for a first round Bye and HOME-FIELD ADVANTAGE to the playoffs.... you seem to think this is an emotional LETDOWN, somehow???? Was it an emotional letdown for the packers when they cheered for winning the NFC championship before they had to play the biggest game of the year?.... how is it not a confidence booster, more than anything, that an NO-NAME, 2nd game, ROOKIE QB LEADS the team to their biggest win????? Not only dispelling the entire media, but erasing all internal doubt and inspiring the team that 'we can still be the dominant team we have been, under this new guy!' ???????????

                                        Because if those are the same situations, then granny smith apples and red delicious come off the same tree in my book
                                        glad you have it all figured out...

                                        situations have nothing to do with any of that crap you wrote that we already know btw... enjoy your apples...
                                        Comment
                                        • Ch Br
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 12-06-11
                                          • 425

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by BigDan
                                          glad you have it all figured out...

                                          situations have nothing to do with any of that crap you wrote that we already know btw... enjoy your apples...

                                          So in your opinion its nice to make a sly comment, then when presented with a counter , you'd rather give more sly words than follow up with supporting information..........

                                          and no not figured out, trying to see how in the world you see them as 'situation ally' the same???? but you like to keep it a big secret 'the precious' and just try to deflect other viewpoints [where evidence is offered up] with what you probably think are 'witty' comments.....

                                          C'mon Man.. enlighten us on the situation if youre gonna speak up, because my whole post was PREMISED with a header that said why they are not alike 'situations'

                                          I dont care what your reasoning is, as long as you give it......... Hell, if its a valid point ill even concede it because i like analyzing things i hadnt thought of.... But dont just be a smart ass and not even address points laid out to you.....
                                          Comment
                                          • Ch Br
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 12-06-11
                                            • 425

                                            #56
                                            let me rephrase why i dont think the situations are similar in the matchup this week between Car @ Hou as opposed to the one of SF @ ARI:

                                            A] Hou, the dominant defense of the two, is at HOME

                                            ii] Hou has a more formidable running attack, with 2 backs that can be available for EVERY down

                                            3] Hou is playing for home field NOW, because they are in contention, not trailing someone else in the Conference


                                            so how can you explain that these matchups are 'situaion-ally' the same???? or perhaps explain your definition of 'situation' ....
                                            Comment
                                            • BigDan
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 04-28-11
                                              • 5104

                                              #57
                                              ive already said why this is a absolute letdown spot for hou..you've chosen to ignore it and continually make bs comments about how great hou is, that is fine as i mentioned i like this team, you spewing crap back at me about this rb or that like i dont know who is on the fukkin team is pointless..You say clinching the 1st playoff spot in history is motivation for them to come out strong next week and i totally disagree, i disagree you come back with what the fukkin packers did last week (talk about apples to oranges)...

                                              I take your so called "points" about as seriously as hou is prob taking Panthers right now, and i really dont expect you to take mine any more so.. if you dont think clinching the 1st playoff spot in franchise history is a big deal so be it, i disagree as do linesmakers or this damn sure would have opened higher.. Maybe hou comes out pumped, or maybe they party all week and lose a little of that chip they been playing with, who knows its the NFL...

                                              either way im done arguing with you as i dont give a shit about much you have to say as you strike me as a complete douche who no doubt will be back here celebrating your genius if you get lucky enough to cash this wager....
                                              Comment
                                              • Ch Br
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 12-06-11
                                                • 425

                                                #58
                                                ok, but i was clearly only trying to see why you said the matchups are 'situation-ally' the same, which you never did...

                                                instead you just wanted to get angry , talk shit on me , and ignore the statement i simplified, in an attempt to find out your reasoning behind the original statement you made on my post.....

                                                so yea i guess this is done, unless you wanna take those happy pills and just discuss it.....
                                                Comment
                                                • Goat Milk
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 03-24-10
                                                  • 25850

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by Ch Br
                                                  So youre comparing something 'situation-ally' where clearly they are not akin in any light because: 1] arizona was the HOME TEAM .... this week the ELITE D is at home -- ->HOU 2] Hou has TWO running backs That are interchangable and as, or more, dynamic than Gore....and no dont try to point to Kendall Hunter [a guy with only 322yrds and 2 tds] 3] Hou is playing for a first round Bye and HOME-FIELD ADVANTAGE to the playoffs.... you seem to think this is an emotional LETDOWN, somehow???? Was it an emotional letdown for the packers when they cheered for winning the NFC championship before they had to play the biggest game of the year?.... how is it not a confidence booster, more than anything, that an NO-NAME, 2nd game, ROOKIE QB LEADS the team to their biggest win????? Not only dispelling the entire media, but erasing all internal doubt and inspiring the team that 'we can still be the dominant team we have been, under this new guy!' ??????????? Because if those are the same situations, then granny smith apples and red delicious come off the same tree in my book
                                                  Tate is better than Gore. Yup.
                                                  Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Jutzu
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 11-24-10
                                                    • 949

                                                    #60
                                                    I like Cleveland, the rest is opposite
                                                    Comment
                                                    • freakydave
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-23-11
                                                      • 1106

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by BigDan
                                                      pretty much heard the same thing last week about playing zona...
                                                      Originally posted by Ch Br
                                                      let me rephrase why i dont think the situations are similar in the matchup this week between Car @ Hou as opposed to the one of SF @ ARI: A] Hou, the dominant defense of the two, is at HOME ii] Hou has a more formidable running attack, with 2 backs that can be available for EVERY down 3] Hou is playing for home field NOW, because they are in contention, not trailing someone else in the Conference so how can you explain that these matchups are 'situaion-ally' the same???? or perhaps explain your definition of 'situation' ....
                                                      The biggest reason this is a COMPLETELY different situation is one was a division rivalry & one non conference.If this was a road game for Houston it might be letdown game but at home I don't think so.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Ch Br
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 12-06-11
                                                        • 425

                                                        #62
                                                        the cool thing is Big Dan and I are not hostile anymore

                                                        He has a lot of good thoughts and insights, which is what i was originally trying to get of him before... was just a miscommunication between us
                                                        Comment
                                                        • KingHustla
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 11-16-11
                                                          • 37

                                                          #63
                                                          coin and paula are you guys done suckin eachother small "pu$$$"??? lol now STFU with ya sorry ass picks.. guys fade these brainless fools and their sorry picks im telling y'all these dumbass said "dallas, ten, and bal" last week.. lmfao while i hit my parley 3 going against them.. lmfao....
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BigDan
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 04-28-11
                                                            • 5104

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by freakydave
                                                            The biggest reason this is a COMPLETELY different situation is one was a division rivalry & one non conference.If this was a road game for Houston it might be letdown game but at home I don't think so.

                                                            the part of the equation that is similar is you have another team full of guys that have never had success at this level turning it around and clinching a playoff birth, in this case the 1st one in the history of the franchise...to me it doesnt matter if this gm is at home, on the road, or on the moon, human nature is to let down in a spot like this against a inferior opponent. ... doesnt necessarily mean they will let down but imo the probability is much more likely than not..

                                                            either way it not like panthers are a easy bet to make cause their run d is fukkin awful....just dont like the spot to be laying a td with Hou here..
                                                            Comment
                                                            • lunchbawks
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 01-31-10
                                                              • 12873

                                                              #65
                                                              Arizona should handle the Browns easily at home.. Any opinion on the Cards -7 +110 nocoin??
                                                              Comment
                                                              • freakydave
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-23-11
                                                                • 1106

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by BigDan
                                                                the part of the equation that is similar is you have another team full of guys that have never had success at this level turning it around and clinching a playoff birth, in this case the 1st one in the history of the franchise...to me it doesnt matter if this gm is at home, on the road, or on the moon, human nature is to let down in a spot like this against a inferior opponent. ... doesnt necessarily mean they will let down but imo the probability is much more likely than not.. either way it not like panthers are a easy bet to make cause their run d is fukkin awful....just dont like the spot to be laying a td with Hou here..
                                                                I understand-------------
                                                                But you confused the issue by sayin that "situationally" this was the same as SF vs ARI & it isn't unless you are saying that SF was in a let down spot vs ARI-SF did not have a letdown vs ARI-they simply got beat.
                                                                anyway I'm out.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • KingHustla
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 11-16-11
                                                                  • 37

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Originally Posted by Rbyrne
                                                                  no i dont want to review your picks or leans...your nothing special..a very average bettor who plays more dogs than favs and create a bunch of use less threads about nothn...i would love to actually meet you in person and see what you look like..im sure i would lmao

                                                                  Good job Rbyrne, slap that fool coin in the face for me.. who in the world would post bullshit week after weeks.. he is actually begging for our help i think cause the mofo is confused as fukkkk lol
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • KingHustla
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 11-16-11
                                                                    • 37

                                                                    #68
                                                                    here are my picks puss$$$$
                                                                    and in the words of that sorry ass paula aka coin bitch, "locked on seahawk, saints, det and all in bal"!!!!!! get it???
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • No coincidences
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-18-10
                                                                      • 76300

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by lunchbawks
                                                                      Arizona should handle the Browns easily at home.. Any opinion on the Cards -7 +110 nocoin??
                                                                      I've been riding Arizona for a while now, but as 7-point faves? No thanks. Cleveland or nothing.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • No coincidences
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 01-18-10
                                                                        • 76300

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by KingHustla
                                                                        Good job Rbyrne, slap that fool coin in the face for me.. who in the world would post bullshit week after weeks.. he is actually begging for our help i think cause the mofo is confused as fukkkk lol
                                                                        You're right -- the NFL has been a real struggle for me.

                                                                        Comment
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