More PropWinners like Cotton Candy

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  • Mr Handicapable
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-23-07
    • 6067

    #1
    More PropWinners like Cotton Candy
    On a 9-1 streak on these babies. There were alot today that jumped out and had to do some work to narrow them down a bit.

    3 star play - Carson Palmer Over 245.5 yards (-115) Palmer has avg. 274 per game starting for Oakland. They'll be in catchup mode which takes away ground-n-pound w/Bush and makes CP throw the ball. GB is near the bottom in pass defense with 342 allowed to Josh Freeman (his season high) & 328 to Sam Bradford.

    2 star play - Johnny Knox Over 2.5 catches (-150) The juice is high but the guy is Hanie's fav receiver with 9 catches in 2 games. They also throw WR screens in Mike Martz's offense which are easy catches even if they don't go anywhere.

    2 star play - Matt Stafford Over 295.5 (-125) MS hit the Vikes for 378 last game and he's avg. 337 in his last 4. The Vikes secondary is a mess but the Williams boy still clog the running game.

    1 star - SD Over 27.5 (-125) Buffalo is all beat up and giving up 33.5 ppg in their last 4 road games

    1 star - Denver Under 20 (-120) I see both teams under 20 in this one with all the running and speed on defense.

    GL
  • rochestertitans
    Restricted User
    • 12-14-09
    • 8149

    #2
    how bout in titans game and ne game
    Comment
    • southpaw74
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 12-21-09
      • 7104

      #3
      Originally posted by rochestertitans
      how bout in titans game and ne game
      You like tennessee +3.5 today roch?
      Comment
      • Mr Handicapable
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 09-23-07
        • 6067

        #4
        Stafford 111 yards with 6 min left 1Q! That guy that gave Detroit -30 @+1100 might be a genius today. Stafford will go Belechick and keep throwing when they're up 38 at halftime.
        Comment
        • Mr Handicapable
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 09-23-07
          • 6067

          #5
          3-2 I guess Did I really lose the Palmer prop by half a yard? 1st & 10 with a minute and a half left and 2 incompletions and a pick? W T F??? Damn Heyward-Bey with the drops in the 1st half for atleast 40-50 yards? Oh well....still on a 12-3 streak with props
          Comment
          • KegKosmo
            SBR MVP
            • 05-13-10
            • 2182

            #6
            i got some props for ya tonight!

            Demarco Murray to score a TD +120

            Dez Bryant to score a TD +140

            Victor Cruz to score a TD +130

            all 3 are going to score.. and all three have great value.. maybe even nicks, TAKE THE OVER as well
            Comment
            • grizzlies1
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 02-17-11
              • 726

              #7
              Carson palmer really needs to get to fukk.
              Comment
              • Mr Handicapable
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 09-23-07
                • 6067

                #8
                4 Star Play Tonite!!!

                Marshawn Lynch Over 100.5 (-130) He's turning into Beast Mode again tonite at home like he did against Philly. ML has avg. 118 ypg over his last 5 and St. Louis allows 140 ypg on the ground on the road (28th). The Ram offense just can't keep the ball so their D gets worn down in the 2nd half. Beanie Wells is less accomplished than Lynch and he just went over 200 against the Rams. Cash this easily imo. GL!!
                Comment
                • swavings
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 01-08-08
                  • 371

                  #9
                  MR H,

                  My props has Lynch at 106.5 for -135.

                  What do you think of that line. Obviously not as great as yours, but you still like it?
                  Comment
                  • Mr Handicapable
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 09-23-07
                    • 6067

                    #10
                    Originally posted by swavings
                    MR H,

                    My props has Lynch at 106.5 for -135.

                    What do you think of that line. Obviously not as great as yours, but you still like it?

                    I can't place mine on my work computer so I went home and got 105.5 (-115) but yours is really ugly? I'd still play it but don't get in too deep. I'd play Bodog or 5dimes for props.
                    Comment
                    • Mr Handicapable
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 09-23-07
                      • 6067

                      #11
                      WINNER WINNER CHICKEN DINNER BABY Carroll had Lynch throwing passes and other stupid $hit but he got it done with a huge 2nd half just like I predicted! Now on a 13-3 streak on props!!
                      Comment
                      • Mr Handicapable
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 09-23-07
                        • 6067

                        #12
                        Should be a prop winner tonite on Matt Ryan's Passing yards. Bodog/Brovada/Benihanas whatever the #%$ they call themselves now haven't posted this one yet but I'm estimating it to be around 270 yards. Matty Ice has avg. 298.5 over his last 6 games with 14 tds/4 picks. Jacksonville's front 7 isn't that bad so Turner won't run wild but they're playing guys off the street or practice squad in the secondary. Atlanta 31-16....I'll be teasing Atl & Over since 11-12 is such a nice number to tease. A smaller parlay -12 and Over 42.5 makes sense too. Look for the Ryan line...another prop winner!!
                        Comment
                        • Mr Handicapable
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 09-23-07
                          • 6067

                          #13
                          Matt Ryan 260.5 passing (-125) even lower than I expected!!

                          3 star play
                          Comment
                          • Mr Handicapable
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 09-23-07
                            • 6067

                            #14
                            13-4 streak on props....found out Carson Palmer actually threw for 247 (bet Over 245.5) which cost me a $747 swing since Bodog/Bovada/Benihanas called it a loser at 245 yards last Sunday. 100% chance they don't pay me? Bad luck w/Matt Ryan too since Jax gifts 2 tds and gets Ryan pulled from the game.

                            Bounce back big tonite:

                            4 star on Felix Jones Over 82.5 rushing

                            Tampa can't stop $hit on the ground (151 ypg rushing in their last 5 games). Morris is about to get fired...Fat Albert is eating donuts on the sideline. Freeman is having his sophomore slump. They'll completely quit tonite after a Romo TD or two early and Jones gets to run out the clock. Felix had some burst last week that he didn't show early this year (106 yards on 16 carries for 6.6 ypc). They really have no one else with Murray on IR and Choice traded away. FJ gets atleast 25 carries tonite. FJ goes for 130 imo!!

                            GL!!
                            Comment
                            • Mr Handicapable
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 09-23-07
                              • 6067

                              #15
                              I got paid for Carson Palmer's 247 yards and Felix Jones will be an easy winner tonite. Thats now a 15-3 documented run on props.
                              Comment
                              • Mr Handicapable
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 09-23-07
                                • 6067

                                #16
                                Todays prop winners (15-3 run)....here we go!

                                3 star play/Matt Stafford Over 265.5 (-125)
                                2 star play/Lions -7.5 (+235)

                                Stafford was one of the 3 losses last week but he avg. 321 ypg on the road. They let off the gas last week when they got up 21-0 early but that won't happen this week. The Lions welcome back Suh and Palmer is ready to start throwing picks again with the slightest pressure. I think the wheels are coming off in Oakland....down 34-0 in both their last 2 games and a bunch of idiots in Halloween costumes won't help today.

                                1 star plays:

                                KC QBs (Orton) Over 220.5 (-115) Orton already put up 270 on GB with Denver
                                AJ Green Over 72.5 (-130) The juice is a little high but I think the Bengals continue to struggle and throw the ball more than expected.
                                Comment
                                • rochestertitans
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 12-14-09
                                  • 8149

                                  #17
                                  ehh dont like green
                                  Comment
                                  • RabidGoat
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 11-29-11
                                    • 232

                                    #18
                                    Fantastic! I love prop bets. Here is what I played today. A $20 play would be a 3-star play in this thread.

                                    #17121 - Ryan Grant/Rushing Yards o59½ (-115) $23.00 $20.00
                                    #17201 - Drew Brees/Passing Yards o334½ (-115) $11.50 $10.00
                                    #17261 - Percy Harvin/Receiving Yards o70½ (-115) $11.50 $10.00
                                    #17321 - Marshawn Lynch/Rushing Yards o81½ (-115) $11.50 $10.00
                                    #17573 - Arian Foster/Receiving Yards o44½ (-115) $23.00 $20.00
                                    Comment
                                    • Mr Handicapable
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 09-23-07
                                      • 6067

                                      #19
                                      17-3 Prop Streak & STILL NO LOVE

                                      Stafford to Megatron....Raiders have no answer....could be 19-3 after the Lions romp!
                                      Comment
                                      • milkncereal
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 12-01-11
                                        • 538

                                        #20
                                        doing good man. you have to be an attention whore to get mad love.
                                        Comment
                                        • Mr Handicapable
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 09-23-07
                                          • 6067

                                          #21
                                          18-4 documented streak now!! I'm quitting sides for now (Phuck you Giants) and college hoops to pound these props since the going has been great. If the weather in Foxboro holds up then I'm looking at a 4 star play on Brandon Marshall vs the Pats. Marshall only avg. 73 ypg so I'm assuming the prop won't be over 80? NE is down to short WRs like Edelman running around in their secondary and now their best pash rusher Carter is on IR. Look at their last few games:

                                          Throwing out Denver/Tebow.....all normal NFL stats need not apply here with their running offense
                                          Washington : Stallworth 96 yards, Gaffney 92, and Moss 81 yards
                                          Indy : Garcon for 150 yds
                                          Philly : Avant for 110 yds and Desean Jackson for 73 with atleast 50 yds lost due to drops...not that Marshall won't drop one on occasion too.

                                          Basically NEs secondary is so bad that they have to leave their safeties deep and give you everything right behind the LBs. They hope to stop you in the red zone or hope your QB screws up trying to match Brady. Marshall is too big and fast for them and easily gets atleast 90 yards. Its kind of crazy to guess lines that come out the day of the game but atleast I'll be prepared. I called Orton's line of 230 several days before the Pack game and it was actually 220.5. I should've hit that value harder.
                                          Comment
                                          • Mr Handicapable
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 09-23-07
                                            • 6067

                                            #22
                                            Double Winner Tonite:

                                            Jacob Tamme Over 25.5 yards (-115) Over 2.5 catches (-115)

                                            Houston has a nice secondary so teams have been using the TEs more against them. The top tight end against them the last 5 weeks:

                                            Shockey 2 for 35 yds (Olson caught 2 also)
                                            Gresham Cincinnati 3 for 45 yds
                                            Tony Gonzalez 7 for 100 yds
                                            Mercedes Lewis 4 for 47 yds
                                            Kellen Winslow Jr. 3 for 33 yds

                                            Dallas Clark is out and Tamme is no joke (67 catches last year)
                                            Comment
                                            • milkncereal
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 12-01-11
                                              • 538

                                              #23
                                              i had the marshall bet...nice to win at half time....
                                              Comment
                                              • milkncereal
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 12-01-11
                                                • 538

                                                #24
                                                anything for mnf ?
                                                Comment
                                                • Matt1144
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 07-25-11
                                                  • 813

                                                  #25
                                                  I like Drew Brees over 325 passing yards tonight. He needs 305 to pass Marino's singles season record and I know he'll blow it out of the water @ home. Only problem is juice is a bot high @ -165 but I think this has an excellent chance of hitting.

                                                  I also like Brees over 2.5 td passes @ -120.

                                                  Overall I think the NO offense is going to be very explosive tonight so I see a lot of NO offense prop bets going over. Let me know what you guys think.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • milkncereal
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 12-01-11
                                                    • 538

                                                    #26
                                                    I like brees too, especially at home in that dome and the falcons secondary is nothing to write home about. but 325 or 330 or whatever the book has is a lot yards to cover even for a godly like passer brees. But breese over 2.5 might get some play out of me
                                                    Comment
                                                    • mngambler
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 08-01-11
                                                      • 2890

                                                      #27
                                                      I locked in Ov 2.5tds @-110 for 1u...also have Saints +3.5 and Ov42 as the second and third legs of a teaser..bol everyone
                                                      Comment
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