Just estimating the chance of a loss in each remaining game. That would give the bet 41.6% to hit. Funny that with those numbers the bet is just an exact match to break even. If you think chances for loss is higher then recalculate from there.
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SteveRyan
SBR MVP
11-15-11
1654
#3
Originally posted by p19101
93%, 80%, 80%, 70%
That looks about right to me. Their last legitimate chance to win a game was vs Carolina.
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Sacamano
SBR High Roller
11-13-11
227
#4
yes 0-16
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Night-Tripper
SBR MVP
12-14-09
3205
#5
Originally posted by Clear2Land
Colts go winless +140
play Ravens, Titans, Texans, Jags
Not worth playing now... shoulda played it a month ago when it was +550.
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p19101
SBR MVP
11-17-11
1419
#6
Originally posted by Night-Tripper
Not worth playing now... shoulda played it a month ago when it was +550.
Nah value was about the same back them, I have kept my eyes on it and it's been correctly priced the wholy time in my opinion.