Thursday Night Football
Cleveland vs Pittsburg
Since i didnt have much going on the last few days, i have looked at this game trying to find a play... IMO this is going to be a game you should just watch, but since we at times are degenerates and need to have some action ~~ this is what i have found to help you in your decision..
Since mike tomlin took over the head coaching job for the steelers , they have had 15 games in which they were DD favorites and most of these have come when they play at home ~ going 7-8 ATS (7-4 ATS at home) ~ the over/under in these games 7o/8u (5-6 at home).... opponents in these games have averaged only 11.5 PPG and only 9.6 PPG in steeler country.... but what is interesting is the the Super Bowl Factor..... Some reason these steelers under Tomlin reign have struggled as big favorites in the year after making it to the super bowl as we see below:
08-09 SB YEAR AS DD FAV
DD HM FAV AGAINST CIN ~~ COVERED/OVER ~~ PITT 27-CIN 10
DD HM FAV AGAINST CLE ~~ COVERED/UNDER ~~ PITT 31-CLE 0
FOLLOWING 09-10 SEASON AS DD FAV
DD HM FAV AGAINST OAK ~~ NO COVER/ OVER ~~ PITT 24-OAK 27 SU LOSS
DD HM FAV AGAINST CLE ~~ NO COVER/ OVER ~~ PITT 27-CLE 14
DD RD FAV AGAINST KC ~~ NO COVER/ OVER ~~ PITT 24-KC 27 SU LOSS
DD RD FAV AGAINST DET ~~ NO COVER/ OVER ~~ PITT 28-DET 20
10-11 SB YEAR AS DD FAV
DD HM FAV AGAINST CAR ~~ COVERED/UNDER ~~ PITT 27-CAR 3
DD HM FAV AGAINST CLE ~~ COVERED/OVER ~~ PITT 28-CLE 10
THIS SEASON
DD HOME FAV AGAINST JAX ~~ NO COVER/UNDER ~~ PITT 17-JAX 13
DD HOME FAV AGAINST SEA ~~ COVERED/ UNDER ~~ PITT 24-SEA 0 (WK2)
DD RD FAV AGAINST KC ~~ NO COVER/ UNDER ~~ PITT 13-KC 9
DD RD FAV AGAINST IND ~~ NO COVER/ OVER ~~ PITT 23-IND 20
So you see, this game is really tougher than you may think whether you take one side or the other as we have seen how CLE offense is this year.... but with past practice of how these steelers perform in the year after making it tho the superbowl can not be ignored..... therefore based on this info i will PLAY AND CHASE CLEVELAND ....
If you are deciding about the over under let me explain a little something about that.... there has been 44 games this season in which a team (cle) is on the road off a home off a road (( road gm then home game and now road game )) ... there has been an under half in 38 of these games and out of the other 6 in which there wasnt an under half ~~ 3 involved games with the packers(2) and patriots(1)..... not to mention that 25 of those 38 went under in the first half.... therefore based on that % alone i will CHASE THE UNDER for something small....
ROOKIEES FINAL THOUGHT
This is by no means going to be a cake walk for the steelers as much as many will think especially with a east coast to west coast trip to san francisco next week on their minds....but the Browns offense has McCoy who doesn't like to throw downfield much, not like the west coast offense does anyway but he checks down almost every play and there are no WRs who can get open downfield.... their offense strength is in tight ends, but they aren't going to be deep threats..... but i think they will create a turnover to keep this game closer to this big number.... either way this game is really about just having action as i find no absolute solid information to lead me to go crazy here...... i do think that this total is just as bad as i believe that there will be some points scored in this game in one half or the other which will make playing the whole game total ~ a gut wrenching roller coaster......
I SMELL SOMETHING BREWING BADLY IN THIS GAME.... VEGAS STANDS TO WIN A BOATLOAD OF MONEY IF CLEVELAND AND THE OVER HIT .... ILL PLAY SAFELY TONIGHT !!!
GOOD LUCK WITH WHATEVER YOU DECIDE AND HOPE THE INFO HELPS IN YOUR DECISIONS !!!
Cleveland vs Pittsburg
Since i didnt have much going on the last few days, i have looked at this game trying to find a play... IMO this is going to be a game you should just watch, but since we at times are degenerates and need to have some action ~~ this is what i have found to help you in your decision..
Since mike tomlin took over the head coaching job for the steelers , they have had 15 games in which they were DD favorites and most of these have come when they play at home ~ going 7-8 ATS (7-4 ATS at home) ~ the over/under in these games 7o/8u (5-6 at home).... opponents in these games have averaged only 11.5 PPG and only 9.6 PPG in steeler country.... but what is interesting is the the Super Bowl Factor..... Some reason these steelers under Tomlin reign have struggled as big favorites in the year after making it to the super bowl as we see below:
08-09 SB YEAR AS DD FAV
DD HM FAV AGAINST CIN ~~ COVERED/OVER ~~ PITT 27-CIN 10
DD HM FAV AGAINST CLE ~~ COVERED/UNDER ~~ PITT 31-CLE 0
FOLLOWING 09-10 SEASON AS DD FAV
DD HM FAV AGAINST OAK ~~ NO COVER/ OVER ~~ PITT 24-OAK 27 SU LOSS
DD HM FAV AGAINST CLE ~~ NO COVER/ OVER ~~ PITT 27-CLE 14
DD RD FAV AGAINST KC ~~ NO COVER/ OVER ~~ PITT 24-KC 27 SU LOSS
DD RD FAV AGAINST DET ~~ NO COVER/ OVER ~~ PITT 28-DET 20
10-11 SB YEAR AS DD FAV
DD HM FAV AGAINST CAR ~~ COVERED/UNDER ~~ PITT 27-CAR 3
DD HM FAV AGAINST CLE ~~ COVERED/OVER ~~ PITT 28-CLE 10
THIS SEASON
DD HOME FAV AGAINST JAX ~~ NO COVER/UNDER ~~ PITT 17-JAX 13
DD HOME FAV AGAINST SEA ~~ COVERED/ UNDER ~~ PITT 24-SEA 0 (WK2)
DD RD FAV AGAINST KC ~~ NO COVER/ UNDER ~~ PITT 13-KC 9
DD RD FAV AGAINST IND ~~ NO COVER/ OVER ~~ PITT 23-IND 20
So you see, this game is really tougher than you may think whether you take one side or the other as we have seen how CLE offense is this year.... but with past practice of how these steelers perform in the year after making it tho the superbowl can not be ignored..... therefore based on this info i will PLAY AND CHASE CLEVELAND ....
If you are deciding about the over under let me explain a little something about that.... there has been 44 games this season in which a team (cle) is on the road off a home off a road (( road gm then home game and now road game )) ... there has been an under half in 38 of these games and out of the other 6 in which there wasnt an under half ~~ 3 involved games with the packers(2) and patriots(1)..... not to mention that 25 of those 38 went under in the first half.... therefore based on that % alone i will CHASE THE UNDER for something small....
ROOKIEES FINAL THOUGHT
This is by no means going to be a cake walk for the steelers as much as many will think especially with a east coast to west coast trip to san francisco next week on their minds....but the Browns offense has McCoy who doesn't like to throw downfield much, not like the west coast offense does anyway but he checks down almost every play and there are no WRs who can get open downfield.... their offense strength is in tight ends, but they aren't going to be deep threats..... but i think they will create a turnover to keep this game closer to this big number.... either way this game is really about just having action as i find no absolute solid information to lead me to go crazy here...... i do think that this total is just as bad as i believe that there will be some points scored in this game in one half or the other which will make playing the whole game total ~ a gut wrenching roller coaster......
I SMELL SOMETHING BREWING BADLY IN THIS GAME.... VEGAS STANDS TO WIN A BOATLOAD OF MONEY IF CLEVELAND AND THE OVER HIT .... ILL PLAY SAFELY TONIGHT !!!
GOOD LUCK WITH WHATEVER YOU DECIDE AND HOPE THE INFO HELPS IN YOUR DECISIONS !!!