This week's leans

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    This week's leans
    Haven't had a chance to look at everything, but I know for a fact I'll be on Tennessee, Arizona and Dallas.

  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #2
    Tennessee +3.5
    Arizona +4
    Dallas -3
    (as long as the hook stays at the sharp shops)

    What I'm feeling so far. I'll add more later.
    Comment
    • therealdealau
      SBR MVP
      • 11-12-10
      • 3227

      #3
      Love the play on Tennesee and Dallas, whats the angle/thoughts on Arizona? Thoughts on Miami/Jets game?
      Comment
      • GSWarriorsFTW
        Restricted User
        • 11-30-11
        • 14

        #4
        Dallas always likes to play with my emotions for some reason
        Comment
        • Vitooch
          SBR MVP
          • 09-26-11
          • 3470

          #5
          Gutsy picks, BOL.
          Comment
          • NeverBackDown
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 11-30-11
            • 543

            #6
            Comment
            • letsgo
              SBR MVP
              • 03-27-10
              • 2204

              #7
              49ers seem to own the Cards.
              Comment
              • Holtgetsback
                SBR MVP
                • 01-04-10
                • 4655

                #8
                Arizona?? What's SF this year? 12-0 vs the spread??

                and you're only getting 4 points??

                Interested to hear your reasoning
                Comment
                • No coincidences
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-18-10
                  • 76300

                  #9
                  Originally posted by letsgo
                  49ers seem to own the Cards.
                  Originally posted by Holtgetsback
                  Arizona?? What's SF this year? 12-0 vs the spread??

                  and you're only getting 4 points??

                  Interested to hear your reasoning
                  I really like Arizona's form right now. Defense and special teams are playing well. Running the ball. They're a QB away from being a very dangerous squad.

                  I realize that SF has been on an incredible run both overall and ATS, but I think the Cardinals keep it tight and I'd gladly take the points and the home dog here in a divisional game.

                  Also considering the Bears at +3.5, even though backing a team without a QB on the road appears to be suicide. Tebow's facing a legitimate defense for the first time in a while -- it'll be interesting to see how he does. Just wish Forte was playing.
                  Comment
                  • burchfield
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 09-23-11
                    • 402

                    #10
                    If Forte was playing the line would probly be alot different
                    Comment
                    • YouHave2outs
                      SBR MVP
                      • 07-02-11
                      • 4448

                      #11
                      Originally posted by No coincidences
                      I really like Arizona's form right now. Defense and special teams are playing well. Running the ball. They're a QB away from being a very dangerous squad.

                      I realize that SF has been on an incredible run both overall and ATS, but I think the Cardinals keep it tight and I'd gladly take the points and the home dog here in a divisional game.

                      I'm not convinced.

                      I really like San Francisco's form right now. They are playing well in all phases of the game. They're a QB away from being right on par, or even better than, the very best teams in the league.

                      I realize Arizona has been playing better as of late, that Willis is likely to be out, and that it is a divisional game. But I'll gladly take the far superior team giving up so few points.

                      See what I did
                      Comment
                      • LolsMcwinsey
                        SBR MVP
                        • 06-08-10
                        • 2660

                        #12
                        LOL at arizona
                        Comment
                        • No coincidences
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-18-10
                          • 76300

                          #13
                          Sincerely,
                          Everyone who was on Dallas last week

                          I was big on Arizona last week. They were my No. 1 listed play. Not quite as convinced this time around, I do believe they have a legitimate chance of covering.
                          Comment
                          • Seaton420
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 08-26-09
                            • 303

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Holtgetsback
                            Arizona?? What's SF this year? 12-0 vs the spread??

                            and you're only getting 4 points??

                            Interested to hear your reasoning

                            He cant help himself. he sucks and i would say 90% of his games he takes the points..Total Dbag
                            Comment
                            • manicart
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 10-10-10
                              • 829

                              #15
                              what was your record last week?
                              Comment
                              • p19101
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-17-11
                                • 1419

                                #16
                                Dallas? Really? I feel Giants being the best bet this week, ML that is.
                                Comment
                                • Jutzu
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 11-24-10
                                  • 949

                                  #17
                                  Arizona won't even score over 13 points and the 49ers will score atleast 20
                                  Comment
                                  • bigsmitty
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 04-12-10
                                    • 3026

                                    #18
                                    Good luck with your picks NC but I would advise you to check out my post about the 49ers being able to set a franchise record on defense for least points allowed per game-dating back to their 1976 team. I think that bit of trivia will equal a ferocious team-wide attitude. At any rate, do your thing just a heads up. Cheers
                                    Comment
                                    • No coincidences
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-18-10
                                      • 76300

                                      #19
                                      Oakland +11.5
                                      Comment
                                      • No coincidences
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-18-10
                                        • 76300

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by manicart
                                        what was your record last week?
                                        Originally posted by Seaton420
                                        He cant help himself. he sucks and i would say 90% of his games he takes the points..Total Dbag
                                        12-5.



                                        Following up 4-1:



                                        3-1:



                                        6-2:



                                        6-3:

                                        Comment
                                        • lunchbawks
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-31-10
                                          • 12873

                                          #21
                                          Input on Falcons/ Panthers?
                                          Comment
                                          • YouHave2outs
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 07-02-11
                                            • 4448

                                            #22
                                            i like dallas as well nc....dunno why anyone would request your record. your threads are usually on the front page, and they are all in the black
                                            Comment
                                            • Goat Milk
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 03-24-10
                                              • 25850

                                              #23
                                              If you put up your "leans" and they do good, you count them as wins. 6-3 in your last week for your leans. if they do bad, they weren't plays anyway they were just leans.
                                              Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                              Comment
                                              • jihadvillager
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-25-11
                                                • 2134

                                                #24
                                                You loving Dallas now that it moved to 4.5? Would be nice to see tenn go to 3
                                                Comment
                                                • No coincidences
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-18-10
                                                  • 76300

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by jihadvillager
                                                  You loving Dallas now that it moved to 4.5? Would be nice to see tenn go to 3
                                                  Comment
                                                  • NeverBackDown
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 11-30-11
                                                    • 543

                                                    #26
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jihadvillager
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-25-11
                                                      • 2134

                                                      #27
                                                      Wonder if Dallas still good at 4.5 only have tenn locked so far
                                                      Comment
                                                      • No coincidences
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-18-10
                                                        • 76300

                                                        #28
                                                        OK, here's what I'm looking at as of now:

                                                        1) Tennessee +3.5
                                                        2) Arizona +4 (if the Titans don't cover, I'll probably double up on this from what I planned on betting -- I doubt very much both the Saints and Niners cover tomorrow)
                                                        3) Oakland +12.5
                                                        4) Dallas -4.5 (would be No. 1 had it not passed over the 4, but I still think it's solid)
                                                        5) Chicago +3.5
                                                        6) Washington +8
                                                        7) Philly +3
                                                        8) Carolina +3
                                                        9) Jacksonville +3

                                                        I'll likely play the top five.


                                                        Haven't locked anything in yet, but that's how I'd rank them at the moment.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • D3 Mighty Ducks
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 12-17-09
                                                          • 11939

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by lunchbawks
                                                          Input on Falcons/ Panthers?
                                                          Going to be a close game. I can see Cam Newton having himself a hell of a game tomorrow. I know the stats show the Falcons has a top Rush defense but Newton will still run all over the field. Newton can beat you both on the ground and air, its next to impossible to stop him. That's unless he turns it over which he hasn't done in the last 2 weeks. The line says it all for this game. I expect it to be a close game and so do the books. Therefore I see somewhat value on Carolina ML at +120. That's a very short price on Carolina ML. Than again this game could get very ugly somewhere in the 2nd half if the Panthers defense doesn't show up. That defense is banged up and awful. If the Falcons are able to stabilize their run game with Turner, Snelling and Jacquizz Rodgers than Atlanta will cover the -3. When the Falcons play their game to their gameplan its to run the ball and put together 14 plays 8 minute scoring drives. I'm a huge Falcons fan and I've watched every single down from them this year, they have that same approach to every game. And when it works, it works.

                                                          I would recommend to pass on this game I think there are a lot better games out there to bet on. Good luck nonetheless man.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • D3 Mighty Ducks
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 12-17-09
                                                            • 11939

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                            OK, here's what I'm looking at as of now:

                                                            1) Tennessee +3.5
                                                            2) Arizona +4 (if the Titans don't cover, I'll probably double up on this from what I planned on betting -- I doubt very much both the Saints and Niners cover tomorrow)
                                                            3) Oakland +12.5
                                                            4) Dallas -4.5 (would be No. 1 had it not passed over the 4, but I still think it's solid)
                                                            5) Chicago +3.5
                                                            6) Washington +8
                                                            7) Philly +3
                                                            8) Carolina +3
                                                            9) Jacksonville +3

                                                            I'll likely play the top five.


                                                            Haven't locked anything in yet, but that's how I'd rank them at the moment.
                                                            I like almost all of them I must say.

                                                            I'm a little weary on the Raiders +12.5 however. I really don't think this Oakland defense would be up to this task in Lambeau field. No one is stopping that high power offense, especially not the Raiders. Its Packers -12.5 or pass for me.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • PAULYPOKER
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 12-06-08
                                                              • 36581

                                                              #31
                                                              4) Dallas -4.5 (would be No. 1 had it not passed over the 4, but I still think it's solid)

                                                              That is why it should be #1,c'mon ,coin you know whats up..........
                                                              Comment
                                                              • No coincidences
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 01-18-10
                                                                • 76300

                                                                #32
                                                                I really, really want to take the Chiefs, but the move from a 9.5 open to 10.5 concerns me.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • No coincidences
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 01-18-10
                                                                  • 76300

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
                                                                  4) Dallas -4.5 (would be No. 1 had it not passed over the 4, but I still think it's solid)

                                                                  That is why it should be #1,c'mon ,coin you know whats up..........
                                                                  Yeah, I figure they'll still be fine and win by at least 6, but a 4-point victory is always a possibility now.

                                                                  Really wish I'd just locked it in at -3.5 earlier this week.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • PAULYPOKER
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 12-06-08
                                                                    • 36581

                                                                    #34
                                                                    It should,this is Jets or a no play............
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • D3 Mighty Ducks
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 12-17-09
                                                                      • 11939

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Do you find it weird that the Vikings/Lions game doesn't have a ML? Detroit -9.5 points which usually is a -475 for the favorite and +395 for the underdog.
                                                                      Comment
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