$6,000 on Vikings this afternoon. Should I be worried about the recent line movement?

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  • sapidoc
    SBR MVP
    • 03-25-10
    • 1273

    #1
    $6,000 on Vikings this afternoon. Should I be worried about the recent line movement?
    I got the ML when it was -120, and now its available for +105

    At first I was going to load up some more at +money but starting to think I should just stick with my original bet.

    Any thoughts?
  • dontbuythehook
    Restricted User
    • 09-23-11
    • 837

    #2
    yeah i would certainly load up if this is the bet of your lifetime. being offered +money now so go for it. Do i think it represents serious injury? Well according to injury report chris cook (cornerback) is out and percy harvin is now questionable due to illness. this would be the likelihood for a 3 pt swing from -2 minny to +1 IMO
    Comment
    • zanman822
      SBR Sharp
      • 06-18-10
      • 322

      #3
      Tebow may have another 4th quarter performance the vikings are a shell right now.
      Comment
      • SportGTI
        SBR MVP
        • 04-05-11
        • 1486

        #4
        Any reason you like the Vikings today? I've been on the Vikings for the past two weeks and I have seemed to like them a lot this year, but they keep letting me down. I really like the Broncos today as they match up well against the Vikings and should actually get a comfortable victory today. BOL to you though
        Comment
        • kcDdegenerate
          SBR MVP
          • 12-07-09
          • 3157

          #5
          Another victim of Tebow...They never learn
          Comment
          • NOboy
            SBR High Roller
            • 11-16-11
            • 235

            #6
            Originally posted by SportGTI
            Any reason you like the Vikings today? I've been on the Vikings for the past two weeks and I have seemed to like them a lot this year, but they keep letting me down. I really like the Broncos today as they match up well against the Vikings and should actually get a comfortable victory today. BOL to you though
            how do they matchup well? vikings are top 5 in stopping the run and that's all the broncos can do...
            Comment
            • crzbrave
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 01-24-09
              • 755

              #7
              I'd be scared shitless to have 6,000 against Tebow with Vikings and no AP... D=
              Comment
              • arsenalxiv
                SBR High Roller
                • 10-11-11
                • 104

                #8
                im a huge vikings fan and even i know not to touch this game against tebow. bol on you bet tho.
                Comment
                • zanman822
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 06-18-10
                  • 322

                  #9
                  All Tebow has done is win since he has started maybe not cover but he wins and as the spreads is only -1 today thats all he needs to do is win.
                  Comment
                  • SportGTI
                    SBR MVP
                    • 04-05-11
                    • 1486

                    #10
                    Originally posted by NOboy

                    how do they matchup well? vikings are top 5 in stopping the run and that's all the broncos can do...
                    Yes, the Vikings are top 5 against the run, but Denver still knows how to run against good defenses. Nobody gave the Broncos a chance against the Jets and their "vaunted" defense and yet they pulled out a win. The thing about denver, they will run the ball whether they are getting yardage or not; they are built to run and will wear down the Vikings for the fourth quarter. I'm no way saying that Denver will put up over 200 yards. They don't need to; they need to be able to wear them down and let Tebow take over. Plus, this is probably the weakest secondary Tebow will have faced which will give him ample opportunity to throw down field.
                    Comment
                    • sapidoc
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-25-10
                      • 1273

                      #11
                      Originally posted by SportGTI
                      Any reason you like the Vikings today? I've been on the Vikings for the past two weeks and I have seemed to like them a lot this year, but they keep letting me down. I really like the Broncos today as they match up well against the Vikings and should actually get a comfortable victory today. BOL to you though
                      I just feel like the Broncos' wins have been on the 'good side' of variance and the Viking's losses on the 'bad side'. These teams are more evenly matched than their W/L record is giving them credit for. I think there is some value in taking Minny at home.

                      The line movement has scared me off putting more money down right now, but if it continues in this direction I might have to add some more. It just seems like a really solid value bet.
                      Comment
                      • tsweers89
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 10-16-11
                        • 20

                        #12
                        5u on denver
                        Comment
                        • sapidoc
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-25-10
                          • 1273

                          #13
                          I was actually expecting Minny -3 for this game so I absolutely loved getting the ML at -120. Now its moved in the complete opposite direction I expected.
                          Comment
                          • Pelt
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 01-17-11
                            • 137

                            #14
                            I wish you luck on your wager sir. IMO difference in this game is Denver D against a rookie quarterback who does not play as well when pressured. Stay with your original wager.
                            Comment
                            • sapidoc
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-25-10
                              • 1273

                              #15
                              Wow! What just happened???? Minny back at -120!

                              I knew I should have pulled the trigger!
                              Comment
                              • dontbuythehook
                                Restricted User
                                • 09-23-11
                                • 837

                                #16
                                ^ ahahah
                                Comment
                                • tokio
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-30-10
                                  • 2150

                                  #17
                                  public all over Tebow. but with no AP, i'd be weary playing viks
                                  Comment
                                  • sapidoc
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 03-25-10
                                    • 1273

                                    #18
                                    Line to -127 now.... well looks like I'm sticking with the original. Good luck guys!
                                    Attached Files
                                    Comment
                                    • Ketch
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 01-16-11
                                      • 145

                                      #19
                                      like den
                                      Comment
                                      • sapidoc
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-25-10
                                        • 1273

                                        #20
                                        I've been Tebowed....
                                        Comment
                                        • arsenalxiv
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 10-11-11
                                          • 104

                                          #21
                                          yea tough loss man. minnys inability to close out a game properly was enough for me to avoid this game. i lose to texans instead.
                                          Comment
                                          • NeverBackDown
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 11-30-11
                                            • 543

                                            #22
                                            Yes you have.
                                            Comment
                                            • grizzlies1
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 02-17-11
                                              • 726

                                              #23
                                              Tough break bro.
                                              Comment
                                              • Love The Action
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 11-08-10
                                                • 10952

                                                #24
                                                Sorry about the loss. I was also on Minny...

                                                What percentage of your BR is $6K?
                                                Comment
                                                • paranoyd androyd
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 10-01-11
                                                  • 6459

                                                  #25
                                                  at least you can laugh about getting tebowned good attitude get the next one gl
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BernardMadoff
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 12-12-09
                                                    • 6679

                                                    #26
                                                    Sorry bro.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BroncosFN
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 05-10-11
                                                      • 357

                                                      #27
                                                      Ouch! I'm a huge Denver fan and even I feel bad for ya...Tebow to your face I guess...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • thebestthereis
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 03-01-09
                                                        • 11459

                                                        #28
                                                        Anyone betting against Denver (unless you are getting 3 or more) is the dumbest human on planet earth. You don't just bet Denver always, but what you can never be doing is betting against them at this point. There isn't one reason anyone can dig up that would back betting against Denver. If you like eating dogshit that might be one reason. No, that isn't even one. Wow, people are stupid.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Delirium tremens
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 02-01-11
                                                          • 173

                                                          #29
                                                          6k on the Vikes?.....really?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • sapidoc
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 03-25-10
                                                            • 1273

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                            Sorry about the loss. I was also on Minny... What percentage of your BR is $6K?
                                                            My BR is fine (thankfully!)

                                                            Originally posted by BroncosFN
                                                            Ouch! I'm a huge Denver fan and even I feel bad for ya...Tebow to your face I guess...
                                                            Directly in the face!

                                                            Originally posted by thebestthereis
                                                            Anyone betting against Denver (unless you are getting 3 or more) is the dumbest human on planet earth. You don't just bet Denver always, but what you can never be doing is betting against them at this point. There isn't one reason anyone can dig up that would back betting against Denver. If you like eating dogshit that might be one reason. No, that isn't even one. Wow, people are stupid.
                                                            I especially liked how you added the "unless you are getting 3 or more" statement to your post. You are my favorite type of poster.

                                                            Originally posted by Delirium tremens
                                                            6k on the Vikes?.....really?
                                                            Really! (and my SBR points are about 2K lighter!)
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BernardMadoff
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 12-12-09
                                                              • 6679

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by thebestthereis
                                                              Anyone betting against Denver (unless you are getting 3 or more) is the dumbest human on planet earth. You don't just bet Denver always, but what you can never be doing is betting against them at this point. There isn't one reason anyone can dig up that would back betting against Denver. If you like eating dogshit that might be one reason. No, that isn't even one. Wow, people are stupid.
                                                              Well thats why youre the best.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • paco
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 05-07-09
                                                                • 62873

                                                                #32
                                                                Sorry Sapidoc, im sure u will make it back
                                                                Comment
                                                                • sapidoc
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 03-25-10
                                                                  • 1273

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by paco
                                                                  Sorry Sapidoc, im sure u will make it back
                                                                  Comment
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