LovetoBet - NFL Thread

[lovetobet]

I've been using a theory, system, whatever the hell you want to call it for years. It has worked very well for 6 years in NFL, so I figure I should start posting here. I've actually had one of the most mediocre seasons to date but have a feeling it's about to pick up and with a 5-2 last weekend, I'm certainly above water. So hopefully I'll finish hot and get to share with some of the people that gave me good advice years ago.

I bet all games at an equal amount 1 unit.

However my units differ and if you were to break it down between the sports I wager on it would look like this:

NFL - 12 Units
College Football - 8 Units
NHL - 4 Units
College Hoops - 1 Unit (first year giving an honest try)

So all my NFL picks will be 1 unit bets but as you can see my profit is in football.

Sometimes I bet close to game time because of my schedule and other factors, when I have a play earlier I will always post it early.

Good luck to all that follow and those that don't, unless you're on the other side of a game I'm on

[lovetobet]

I have 2 morning plays:

Minnesota -2 -110
Texans +1.5 -110

[lovetobet]

2nd Half Bet - New England -7.5 -110

[lovetobet]

Arizona Cardinals +4

[lovetobet]

The 1/2 pt. hook was -140 looks like I should have probably paid the 30 points to play, that one might hurt.

[lovetobet]

Well the hook won't cost me since the Pats have no D at all. Undisciplined play on my part, hopefully doesn't cost me a winning morning. DAMMIT!!!!!

[lovetobet]

Well a stupid half time bet cost me my profit today. With the dumb half time bet I'm 2-2.

Detroit Lions +8.5 -110

[lovetobet]

Daily Record: 2-3 -1.3
Total Record: 2-3 -1.3

Not one of my better days. Oh well back to the drawing board.

[lovetobet]

Prop Bet:

No FG Over 43.5 - 1/3 Unit

[lovetobet]

That works, I'll take the positive units. Actually played 2 additional props tonight and both won but I had family arriving and didn't get them posted in time. Obviously won't include them in my record but I'll list them just so you can see the plays:

Team total Cleveland Under 13.5 -113 1/3 Unit
Colt McCoy Under 19.5 completions -110 1/3 Unit

Again these will not be included in the record.

Daily Record: 1-0 +.33
Total Record: 3-3 -.97

[NeverBackDown]

[lovetobet]

Minnesota +10
Carolina +1
Tennessee +3 +105

[lovetobet]

Redskins -7 -105

[lovetobet]

Arizona +3 +105
Da Bears +3 -105

[lovetobet]

That F*CKING HURTS!!! Not buying 2 hooks cost me today, oh well that's how I bet'em and it bit me in the ass today. Still a breakeven day so far 2-2-2 but that was very close to a big day.

F*ck Marion Barber you stupid D*CK!!! And what can I say lost 2 starting QB's mid game had a ton of close calls and still a breakeven day, should have been a big day but at least I didn't lose a bunch of money, I can handle that. Now lets try and end it right.

Adding:

Dallas -4 -118

[lovetobet]

Flush this weekend, only lost 1 unit but that was a pretty tough weekend, considering I should have been 5-2. Shoulda, coulda, woulda, DIDN'T. Which is all that matters.


Daily Record: 2-3-2 -1.23
Total Record: 5-6-2 -2.20

[lovetobet]

Rams +9

[lovetobet]

Daily Record: 0-1 -1.10
Total Record: 5-7-2 -3.30

[lovetobet]

KC +11.5
Washington +5.5
Carolina +5
Bills Pick'em

[lovetobet]

Vikings +7
Rams +7

[lovetobet]

Cleveland +5.5
Oakland +2.5 +100

[lovetobet]

Denver +7 -105

[lovetobet]

Overall not a bad day. Few things went against us and a few things went for us. Not buying the hook bit me again (happening a lot in the last few weeks in pro), may have to reavaluate how I play some of these. The good news is at the end of the day games we are up 2 Units!!

Onto the night game:

San Diego Pick'em - Even Money

[lovetobet]

Well this turned into a very decent day indeed. Although in the short time I've been posting my plays I've now pushed 3 games and all 3 games were games I didn't buy the hook @ +3 or +7 and pushed. So anyone following me should be aware I typically don't buy these up but it has cost me 3 wins in 24 games, that's a lot. Just a heads up. That's a push a week and thus a unit a week, OUCH!!


Daily Record: 6-3-1 +2.75
Total Record: 11-10-3 -.55

[lovetobet]

Steelers +2.5 Even Money

[lovetobet]

Halftime:

Steelers TT O9.5 -115 2 Units

[lovetobet]

Not good, not good at all. If I don't have a stellar last 2 weeks and playoff run this will be my worst year in the NFL since 2004, OUCH!! Here's hoping that things will even out through the end of the season. At least I'm getting better in college hoops.

Record: 0-3 -3.4
Total Record: 11-13-3 -3.95

[lovetobet]

Lot's of plays tomorrow, hopefully lot's of winning plays!!

Dolphins +9 -102
SeaChickens +2.5 -105
Browns +12 -103
Cardinals +4 -102
Jags +7 +100
Bills +2.5 +100

[lovetobet]

Vikings +5.5 -102
Rams +10 -109

[lovetobet]

Detroit +1 -105

[lovetobet]

Much better, very nice to see a fun and profitable morning. I'll take a 5-2 start any day!!! Not to mention had a very good shot in the Cardinals game, if Doucet doesn't fall would have had a very good shot at going 6-1. No complaining here though, great start.

Now lets get at least 1 of these late games and hopefully NAIL both of them.

[lovetobet]

How great is this Detroit game?? F*cking great to be crushing it like this and I'm up on Seattle. Looks like the worst I'll do today is 6-3 and hopefully we're looking at a monster 7-2 day and a WHOLE SHIT LOAD OF CHEESE WON!!!! YEAH BOY!!!!

[lovetobet]

What a great day of football. Nice to see a very nice day after a few mediocre weeks. This is more of what I'm used to in football. So here's the results:

Daily Record: 7-2 +4.89
Total Record: 18-15-3 +.94

[lovetobet]

Nothing official tonight but throwing some of yesterday's winnings against some props and small plays.

I played for varying amounts, much less than my normal unit plays but enough to still buy some nice presents:

GB -11.5 & Under 41.5 +273
Chicago TO's committed -1/2 -110
GB Sacks QB before Chi. sacks QB -145
GB -13
Under 41 -102
Longest TD over 43.5 -105
TD Scored by Def/ST +145
GB First Half -7.5 -115

[lovetobet]

Nothing official tonight but throwing some of yesterday's winnings against some props and small plays.

I played for varying amounts, much less than my normal unit plays but enough to still buy some nice presents:

GB -11.5 & Under 41.5 +273
Chicago TO's committed -1/2 -110
GB Sacks QB before Chi. sacks QB -145
GB -13
Under 41 -102
Longest TD over 43.5 -105
TD Scored by Def/ST +145
GB First Half -7.5 -115 - WINNER

Lots of bets still out there but seem to have the advantage or even chance in most of them.

2nd Half:

Over 20 -107

Laid this to hedge part of my Under 41 and the under tied into my +273 odd bet. Plus now I can middle it and hopefully win all directions

I won my hoops bet and pulled the 1st half bet and looking good in a few of these, now lets get some more.