Week 12 Play: New Orleans -7

[GunShard]

The New Orleans Saints coming out of the bye week and playing at home is a dangerous combination, which strongly favors the Saints against the NY Giants.

This is the same conditions in the 2009 NFL season when the Saints also played against the NY Giants out of the bye week and at home.

The score for this previous game was Saints 48, NY Giants 27.

covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nfl/results/2009-2010/boxscore26456.html

If Ahmed Bradshaw RB is not playing then the Saints have the edge with Darren Sproles RB. The QB position is no problem between Brees and Manning. The Saints have more weapons the Running Backs and Wide Receivers.


My 2011 Straight Bets: 4-0 ATS

Week 4 Play:
http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-handic...oit-2-5-a.html WIN

Week 5 Play:
http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-bettin...over-49-a.html WIN

Week 6 Play:
http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-bettin...ore-7-5-a.html WIN

Week 9 play:
http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-bettin...cisco-4-a.html WIN

My 2011 Teasers: 0-2 ATS (The Ravens are terrible on teasers.)

Week 7 Play:
http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-bettin...am-teaser.html LOSE

Week 8 Play:
http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-bettin...am-teaser.html LOSE

[WinningIsKeY]

Nice call here .. Was looking into this game as well.. Bol

[GunShard]

Thanks.

I have this play in a 2 team parlay with San Franciso @ Baltimore Under 38.

Looks like it's going to hold. It's up to the Saints now.

[GunShard]

It's important for everyone to get on this line before the Sunday games are played.

Never bet on Monday football games on Monday unless your fading the public, then the lines would favor you.

After the Sunday games are played. The lines on the Monday night games become inflated due to gamblers chasing their losses or it's the only game on that day compared to Sunday's multiple games.

[k13]

It's important for everyone to get on this line before the Sunday games are played.

Never bet on Monday football games on Monday unless your fading the public, then the lines would favor you.

After the Sunday games are played. The lines on the Monday night games become inflated due to gamblers chasing their losses or it's the only game on that day compared to Sunday's multiple games.

Public does not inflate lines. This was -6.5 for a while.

You think this lines goes to -10 or something? Only with some major injuries.

You can bet whatever you want on this game, this line is not moving much. Except maybe down....

[dontbuythehook]

don't like it. g-men are monsters on the road but i love the over in this game

[Big Bear]

did Darren Sharper retire?

[GunShard]

Public does not inflate lines. This was -6.5 for a while.

You think this lines goes to -10 or something? Only with some major injuries.

You can bet whatever you want on this game, this line is not moving much. Except maybe down....

A good example would be the Chiefs @ Patriots game, the public inflated the Patriots line.

I was saying Monday night football games usually gets inflated.

The Saints game could go to -8. Sometimes a point does matter depending on how close the game is.

[fergie's balls]

The G-Men are impossible to handicap because of massive inconsistencies on o-line. Injury/weak linebacker is becoming an issue also. Normally with this team I would say the D-Line + Elis good play makes them a great +7 vs anybody. I still like Giants to keep this one score game.

[GunShard]

The Saints should be able to win this game by 1 touchdown.
If not, then I miscalculated the Giants.

[bigsmitty]

The Saints should be able to win this game by 1 touchdown.
If not, then I miscalculated the Giants.

Agreed, like the thinking. Good luck.

[GunShard]

did Darren Sharper retire?

True but with Ahmad Bradshaw RB injured and not playing, and Steve Smith WR no longer with the team. The outcome of this game still favors the Saints.

[Big Bear]

No i was asking .i havent heard about sharper in awhile i just remember him being awesome a few years ago

[GunShard]

No i was asking .i havent heard about sharper in awhile i just remember him being awesome a few years ago

Oh ok, I misread your comment. I think he is on injury reserve, he was definitely an awesome player.

[Big Bear]

Would u take saints at -7 for -122 or saints -9 for + 110?

[lite1up]

Lang is on the Saints. Take whatever you put on the Saints, double that and throw it on the Giants. You'll thank me later.

[nocturnal012]

Imma go with Saints too. Fresh off the bye week and they're also 4-0 ATS at home. Only thing that concerns me though is Eli getting fired up in the 4th quarter thus pulling off a backdoor.

[Scuba Gooding Jr]

Would u take saints at -7 for -122 or saints -9 for + 110?

Where are you laying that much juice at ?

[lite1up]

Once again, Lang is on the Saints.

Saints could be up 42-0 going into the 4th and they'd STILL find a way not to cover.

Lang mushed his entire card into oblivion this week.

[nocturnal012]

Once again, Lang is on the Saints.

Saints could be up 42-0 going into the 4th and they'd STILL find a way not to cover.

Lang mushed his entire card into oblivion this week.

lol the fukk u talking about. lang hasn't even released his play yet.

[chilidog]

Lang is on the Saints. Take whatever you put on the Saints, double that and throw it on the Giants. You'll thank me later.

Lang hasn't released his play yet. The guy that told you that Lang was on the Saints was lying to you.

[k13]

A good example would be the Chiefs @ Patriots game, the public inflated the Patriots line.

I was saying Monday night football games usually gets inflated.

The Saints game could go to -8. Sometimes a point does matter depending on how close the game is.

That's not the public inflating the line, when a fave moves huge like that it's a lot of sharp action.
Just like with Houston yesterday.

But majority of lines go the opposite way. Cincy was -9, public pounding and pounding them, yet it goes down to -6.5, Public pounding San Diego, line goes from -7 to -5.5, Patriots line got smaller too

This line did move off the key line for now so you are in a good spot.

-7 (-114) is still not that much of move though. We'll see what happens by game time.

GL. I'm most likely passing on this game.

[GunShard]

On a website that shows where the public is on each game.

The Broncos had 55% and the Chargers had 45% of the public on those bets. The -7 to -5.5 you mentioned was because of the public was on the Broncos.

I believe that line movement is moved by public money.

[bigsmitty]

Imma go with Saints too. Fresh off the bye week and they're also 4-0 ATS at home. Only thing that concerns me though is Eli getting fired up in the 4th quarter thus pulling off a backdoor.

Eli is definitely a factor but the NYG have such a minimal run game (even against NO's run defense) that you can blanket the receivers/ignore the play action and give Eli very few options over the course of the game. Turnovers are my biggest concern and the Giants will be keying on them you can bet. Still NO -7 for me. Cheers

[dontbuythehook]

u guys still dont realize it but you are the public. There isn't a population of people in a city called public squares that just make every side/line super juicy for the other team so u can pound it. the people who are on here are all meat for the books and the people who make real money and move lines are all anonymous.

[GunShard]

Congrats to all the Saints backers!
Too easy!

I'm 5-0 ATS on straight bets now.

[WinningIsKeY]

Nice going... Tonight was deff a nice hit 5u all together.. Let real recognize real.. Let our collective minds keep it up!!

[GunShard]

2009 season: Saints 48, NY Giants 27
2011 season: Saints 49, NY Giants 24

Nearly identical scores!

[bengals888]

[canepole]

good pick

[GunShard]

Thanks!