Is Packers -7 a lock? or a trap?

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  • Big Bear
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 11-01-11
    • 43253

    #1
    Is Packers -7 a lock? or a trap?
    smells like a fishy line
  • brewcrew2k
    SBR MVP
    • 01-26-10
    • 1158

    #2
    That is a correct line... Lions are garbage they are getting 3 points for being at home.
    Comment
    • Deol
      SBR MVP
      • 09-01-11
      • 1340

      #3
      No such thing as a lock or a trap. But GB -6 is a lock
      Comment
      • Matt1144
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 07-25-11
        • 813

        #4
        Going huge on Pack ML. They won't lose
        Comment
        • brewcrew2k
          SBR MVP
          • 01-26-10
          • 1158

          #5
          Originally posted by Matt1144
          Going huge on Pack ML. They won't lose
          Be careful with that, the next two games are the games the packers could lose, not easy on the road in the NFL. It would be smart to tease up the lions to 13 with the cowboys
          Comment
          • arsenalxiv
            SBR High Roller
            • 10-11-11
            • 104

            #6
            I think we actually got great value here with Packers -7 after Detroits huge comeback win against Carolina. Ive never been sold on the Lions and have always bet huge against them when they are playing against really good teams (falcons and 49ers). They lost to both of them at home and there is no way they will cover here against arguably the best team in the league. PACKS ROLL! 34-17 BOL
            Comment
            • Serbone
              SBR MVP
              • 09-21-09
              • 1300

              #7
              If you use the word "trap" your gambling mind is all screwed up.
              There is no such thing.
              Bad mentality.
              (Take the Lions + 6, BIG)
              Comment
              • PAULYPOKER
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 12-06-08
                • 36581

                #8
                Comment
                • blankoblanco
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-18-11
                  • 3500

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Matt1144
                  Going huge on Pack ML. They won't lose
                  i don't agree with this approach personally. if the game is within a touchdown the packers are fully capable of losing bc the lions could be the team with the ball last, and packers don't have a defense you can depend on to win the game. the only way to feel sure they won't lose is if they don't get into that situation to begin with, so logically i'd rather just bet the spread than risk significantly more on the ML (and i do like GB -7 as i feel lions are being a bit overrated)
                  Comment
                  • Vitooch
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-26-11
                    • 3470

                    #10
                    Stafford throws picks, rodgers does not. You can't outscore a team like the packers.

                    Its going to take a team like pittsburgh, baltimore or texans (with schaub) with a more well rounded game to beat the packers
                    Comment
                    • chopperocker
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-16-09
                      • 1784

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Deol
                      No such thing as a lock or a trap. But GB -6 is a lock
                      No such thing as a lock or a trap. opened at GNB -6.5 and the early money moves the line around. moved down to GNB -6 and now back to GNB -6.5. that -7 your getting is not the current consensus #.
                      Comment
                      • PAULYPOKER
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 12-06-08
                        • 36581

                        #12
                        the play is DET> ML
                        Comment
                        • loopydude11
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-23-09
                          • 1702

                          #13
                          i'm on DET ML!!
                          Comment
                          • Walulu
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-20-10
                            • 1123

                            #14
                            I believe the Lions have the firepower on offense to keep this close. Tampa does not have the weapons on the offensive side of the ball and they were able to score points last weekend. I have to believe the Lions will do the same especially at home on Thanksgiving. The huge comeback win on Sunday may have them in a let down situation but everyone in the country will be watching. I'm sure they know everyone thinks it will be same old same old - Lions getting crushed on Turkey day. It's potentially their time to prove they are better than everyone thinks. I'm not saying they are but anything can happen any given Sunday (or Thursday).
                            Comment
                            • FU2BH
                              Restricted User
                              • 11-21-11
                              • 16

                              #15
                              Packers - 6.5 is the play Thursday, unless you want to lose some cash.
                              Comment
                              • Big Bear
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 11-01-11
                                • 43253

                                #16
                                I would have thought this line would have been -10. seems like the books are begging you to take the cheesewiz
                                Comment
                                • arsenalxiv
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 10-11-11
                                  • 104

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Big Bear
                                  smells like a fishy line
                                  Just curious...did u bet against NE last night also because they were favored at -17.5? If ever this is a trap toward lions making people feel that lions can even keep it close. I guess you can always gamble and hope lions will pull it off but why bet against a stud QB like Rodgers? Same goes to anyone who didn't cash in last nights game by betting against NE. False hope..
                                  Comment
                                  • dannyt76
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 06-29-07
                                    • 779

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Big Bear
                                    I would have thought this line would have been -10. seems like the books are begging you to take the cheesewiz
                                    -10 on the road against a team many people think will hand the Pack their first loss of the season? No way. Line looks right to me. I think the game stays within one score so it could go either way. Very well could be the team with the ball last wins the game. GL.
                                    Comment
                                    • FU2BH
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 11-21-11
                                      • 16

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by dannyt76
                                      -10 on the road against a team many people think will hand the Pack their first loss of the season? No way. Line looks right to me. I think the game stays within one score so it could go either way. Very well could be the team with the ball last wins the game. GL.
                                      Comment
                                      • MakeitRain
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 10-18-11
                                        • 335

                                        #20
                                        I just put in my bet -6.5 pack. I figure it will go up to 7 by the end of the day.
                                        Comment
                                        • Wrecked
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 05-31-11
                                          • 887

                                          #21
                                          Detroit is the trap.
                                          GB looked faded against TB at home, so everyone and their mother is going to be all over Detroit.
                                          Look you idiots, GB -6 is the play, I would take it to -10 if I wanted to tease that shit.
                                          You're all morons.
                                          I am the football god.
                                          Comment
                                          • d2bets
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 08-10-05
                                            • 39995

                                            #22
                                            How about neither? Maybe 6.5 is a fair line.
                                            Comment
                                            • PAULYPOKER
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 12-06-08
                                              • 36581

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Wrecked
                                              Detroit is the trap. GB looked faded against TB at home, so everyone and their mother is going to be all over Detroit. Look you idiots, GB -6 is the play, I would take it to -10 if I wanted to tease that shit. You're all morons. I am the football god.
                                              I don't know where to start,

                                              this post is wrong on every level,

                                              where are u gettin info from?

                                              a bubble gum machine?
                                              Comment
                                              • MakeitRain
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 10-18-11
                                                • 335

                                                #24
                                                i'm new here but this paulypoker guy is a douche...so i like my chances if he is on the lions.
                                                Comment
                                                • hecameup
                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                  • 11-14-11
                                                  • 50

                                                  #25
                                                  Line moved to 7 1/2. If your locked in at 7 your looking good.

                                                  Good luck
                                                  Comment
                                                  • redrum
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-13-08
                                                    • 1903

                                                    #26
                                                    i like gb 1st half lions start off bad every game
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ManBearPig
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-04-08
                                                      • 2473

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by hecameup
                                                      Line moved to 7 1/2. If your locked in at 7 your looking good. Good luck
                                                      Where do you see this? I see 6.5 everywhere and the only 7 is on BlowDog...no surprise there.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • joedell
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 10-14-08
                                                        • 823

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by ManBearPig
                                                        Where do you see this? I see 6.5 everywhere and the only 7 is on BlowDog...no surprise there.
                                                        5dimes has 7 1/2
                                                        Comment
                                                        • joedell
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 10-14-08
                                                          • 823

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by hecameup
                                                          Line moved to 7 1/2. If your locked in at 7 your looking good.

                                                          Good luck
                                                          yeah got the lion at +7 last night and of course it went up to 7 1/2 today
                                                          Comment
                                                          • PAULYPOKER
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 12-06-08
                                                            • 36581

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by joedell
                                                            5dimes has 7 1/2
                                                            that was a alternate heavy juice tony special
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Serbone
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 09-21-09
                                                              • 1300

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Wrecked
                                                              Detroit is the trap.
                                                              GB looked faded against TB at home, so everyone and their mother is going to be all over Detroit.
                                                              Look you idiots, GB -6 is the play, I would take it to -10 if I wanted to tease that shit.
                                                              You're all morons.
                                                              I am the football god.
                                                              Again, if you use the word "trap", your gambling brain is off kilter. Warped.
                                                              Only conspiracy nut - Vegas controls every game - the public is always wrong - so I am sharp - amatuer loons who are just starting to think they are smart use this term.
                                                              Trap?
                                                              10-0 GB will be flat, maybe hang tough for awhile, but they have playoffs wrapped up, will fade, solid club 7-3 Detroit NEEDS a win, will play 60 minutes like crazed dogs, Suh & Frailey & CO will sack Rodgers up the middle where it changes the whole game. GB OL will struggle with faster AT game, sacks, fumbles, rushed INT's, it is on AT, HUGE difference against a great pass rush.
                                                              Detroit has played a SUPERIOR (# 2 vs # 30) schedule.
                                                              GB "D" is sub par, Detroit has excellent "O". And GB "D" will not be fired up.
                                                              GB is a bit banged up, their only decent RB is very ????
                                                              GB struggled at home against TB, winning by 2 with a few minutes to go! Allowed 26, TB "O" is ca-ca.
                                                              GB is the better team but is in letdown mode.
                                                              If this was 4-5 weeks ago I might have stayed away. But they are 10-0 and Lions are 7-3.
                                                              GB will let down and not cover tomorrow, allow 30-40 pts, probably lose a game or two, then come back and blow out a team or two, then let down for the last two as the playoffs approach.
                                                              Detroit + 6.5 BIG!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Pin Fish
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-28-08
                                                                • 1295

                                                                #32
                                                                if you think Aron Rodgers does not want to go undeafeated as well as the rest of their team....you are sady mistaken....last week they were in let down mode against the Bucs...the Packers are taking te Lions very seriosly..................as was state eearlier in this thread ..how many of you sharps..to KC and the points on Monday night....if the ass reaming felt good to you....take the Lions and the points.......by the way if you do..hurry out to CVS or Walgreens pick up some K-Y that way it wont hurst as much............
                                                                Comment
                                                                • slacker00
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 10-06-05
                                                                  • 12262

                                                                  #33
                                                                  This is going to be the Lions Super Bowl. If there was ever a time for the Lions fans to show up for a game, this is it.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Cobra07751
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 11-19-10
                                                                    • 777

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Serbone
                                                                    Again, if you use the word "trap", your gambling brain is off kilter. Warped. Only conspiracy nut - Vegas controls every game - the public is always wrong - so I am sharp - amatuer loons who are just starting to think they are smart use this term. Trap? 10-0 GB will be flat, maybe hang tough for awhile, but they have playoffs wrapped up, will fade, solid club 7-3 Detroit NEEDS a win, will play 60 minutes like crazed dogs, Suh & Frailey & CO will sack Rodgers up the middle where it changes the whole game. GB OL will struggle with faster AT game, sacks, fumbles, rushed INT's, it is on AT, HUGE difference against a great pass rush. Detroit has played a SUPERIOR (# 2 vs # 30) schedule. GB "D" is sub par, Detroit has excellent "O". And GB "D" will not be fired up. GB is a bit banged up, their only decent RB is very ???? GB struggled at home against TB, winning by 2 with a few minutes to go! Allowed 26, TB "O" is ca-ca. GB is the better team but is in letdown mode. If this was 4-5 weeks ago I might have stayed away. But they are 10-0 and Lions are 7-3. GB will let down and not cover tomorrow, allow 30-40 pts, probably lose a game or two, then come back and blow out a team or two, then let down for the last two as the playoffs approach. Detroit + 6.5 BIG!
                                                                    The Lions gave up 27 points to the Panthers in the first half! They were down by 24, and 21 to the Vikings and Cowboys. They lost a HUGE game at home to the 49ers.

                                                                    The Lions are NOT THAT GOOD!

                                                                    WIth that being said I am waiting to see the line movement tomorrow.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JGetty
                                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                                      • 10-22-11
                                                                      • 70

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Packers are coming off a close one with tampa. They are going to come out smoking. Stafford is read like a book now matthieu and hawk are gonna eat him alive. Packers is the play.

                                                                      SN: lions are good in these thanksgiving games at home. Something to keep in mind with your choice of betting
                                                                      Comment
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