Great fades lines overdone - public perception!

[Koldazzice]

whether you choose to make these plays or not at least consider the line could be over inflated due to recent events and there could be value in the plays.


wash loses to mia looks horrible / dallas kill it looks great
Take Wash +8 in what will be the superbowl for wash in a Rivalry game. (7.5 in some)

Minn gets blown out / raiders look great vs SD
Take Minn at home vs Oak +1.5 (+1 in some)

Balt losses outright to seahags / cinci looks good in loss to pitt.
Take Balt -7 at home in a big AFC game

Bills look horrible vs jets/dallas / Mia winning 2 vs crap teams?
Take the bills (some books u can buy 1/2 to +3 -130) or just ML them.

Bears look awesome in win last 2 weeks / chargers look horrible
Take chargers +4 (some places have 3.5 but you can shop or wait for 4)

Would put the jets in this catagory but its moved to 6 and on a short week on the road in mile high with tebow jesus ---- who knows!

These are my fades vs public perception. Feel free to yell how im wrong but remember 55% is the key

[PAULYPOKER]

I agree with the 1st 3.............

[BennyFang]

Redskins are the right call.

[hydrosmak]

I like your way of thinking!

[loopydude11]

this is how i tend to look at lines too. i took ML on the chargers and bills

[BennyFang]

Hopefully Sunday will be a dog day:

Cincinnati +7
Carolina +7
Washington +9
Arizona +9.5
San Diego +3.5

.....and Monday is a square day:

New England -14.5

[4TH AND STUPID]

i look at lines the same way . and i always look for value on a team that just lost public favor but is still a good team.


the way you are thinking and the mindset you have is as close to sharp it gets on sbr


i wouldnt be surprised if every single one of those hit, and i am on every single one you posted with the exception of cinnci - ravens because that is a big division game and its very rare for a division game between two tied teams to end in 7 or more. both teams will play their heart out and it will be a gutsy defensive, ball control battle that will probably end similar to pitts-cinncy


good luck though and i think many of your picks, and many of the straight out ML for the underdogs you selected will hit

[Koldazzice]

i look at lines the same way . and i always look for value on a team that just lost public favor but is still a good team.


the way you are thinking and the mindset you have is as close to sharp it gets on sbr


i wouldnt be surprised if every single one of those hit, and i am on every single one you posted with the exception of cinnci - ravens because that is a big division game and its very rare for a division game between two tied teams to end in 7 or more. both teams will play their heart out and it will be a gutsy defensive, ball control battle that will probably end similar to pitts-cinncy


good luck though and i think many of your picks, and many of the straight out ML for the underdogs you selected will hit

thx 4rth lets get that value and kill it!
cheers