Square or not i like the chance of this parlay

[georgekobe8]

I what most of you are probably going to say, and yea it probably his the 3 top public pics this week but I got to like the odds of hitting this parlay. This is my first one im doing this season .


PARLAY (3 TEAMS)
[405] ATLANTA -7-110
[415] SAN FRANCISCO -3½-110
[427] GREEN BAY -5½-110

50 / 300


Heres what i think i got going against me on this.
A.The trend seems to be that teams coming off the bye haven't been producing, I don't see this happening with the packers (thought i didn't see it happening with the pats either)
B. The charges are coming off a heart breaking loss, so there either going to be pissed or just plain carry it over.
C. Redskins jump on a quick lead and force the niners to pass the ball
D.I dont really have a reason why the colts might beat the falcon soooo this will probably be the game that ruins the parlay for me.

[dmncnlou]

I like it as well.

[4TH AND STUPID]

there are only three home dogs this week and you bet against all of them.

you're gambling on the wrong sport.

sorry.





and as you mentioned in your own post:

Top NFL Public Bets

#1 405 Atlanta Falcons 88%
#2 415 San Francisco 49ers 83%
#3 427 Green Bay Packers 81%





this thread is an example for you guys who are losing all your money chasing big dreams. learn the sport first then cap.

gg

[billysink]

Cancel that bet. I will book it for a payout of 400.00

^^^^what he said.

[georgekobe8]

Im not really chasing any big dreams, Its just play money. And everything you said was right I dont disagree with you at all just have a feeling its going to cash in. As far as the homedog thing is concerned, washingtons fans arent the greatest in the world so i hardly call it home field advatage. Colts fans are great but there team sucks, my concern with the As for the fans is if they get off to maybe a quick 10 point lead then the stadium will be jumping. And finally the 49'ers I just dont see them loosing by anything less than a TD. I know the browns played them tough last week towards the end but i just dont see the heart in the redskins for them to do so also. I think i got a 40-50% chance of hitting on this bet which is more than I can say for most parlays.

I knew when i made this thread it was going to get this reaction hence the title. But being a square this year hasnt exactly been that bad. I have won roughly 40-50% of my nfl bets this year (if you dont count the drunking 2h bets and stupid prop bets). I bet to add excitement to games that i might not necessarily watch and I have had fun doing it this year. I haven't kept track of my net but I can say confidently im no more than $100 in the red or green.

So the bet may not be the "sharpest" but it has me excited about the games on friday and will see how it turns out.

[georgekobe8]

san fran is 6-0-1 ats this year and skins are 0-3 home ats. Im not a pro capper but im sure it will end up on somes 5* picks of the week.

falcons cots game worries me the most by looking at the numbers so ill just have to wait it out and see what happens on sunday.

chargers vs packers- Charges are 3-0 at home this year but only covered the spread once. Even If chargers offence is firing on all cylinders I still dont think they got what it takes to win a shootout or even come close to the 5.5 points giving to them.

If im wrong about this bet and lose im sure ill get the told you so and whatever, and if i win ill just be looked at as a so called square who are all getting lucky this year. Some of you people amuse me and use these words like its a trend and its cool . You just tail the pro cappers and say what they say and call your self sharps. This is gambling folks, its supposed to be fun not a Career. (i understand it may be to some but for most its a loss)

BOL this week on everybodys bets.

[infamousbacardi]

[/B]Redskins jump on a quick lead and force the niners to pass the ball

Hey man, good luck w/ the picks...they may be shouting "square" and pointing the finger at you...but the bottom line is, none of these games have started, and you have a chance to win all 3 and cash your ticket...best of luck on that!

Although, I do have to ask...are we supposed to assume your quote I put above is you thinking this is a good thing for the Niners??

[billysink]

No big deal GK8 enjoy the games and good luck with your bet.

We all have a different approach to this and if yours works for you who am I to say anything about that.

[georgekobe8]

Hey man, good luck w/ the picks...they may be shouting "square" and pointing the finger at you...but the bottom line is, none of these games have started, and you have a chance to win all 3 and cash your ticket...best of luck on that!

Although, I do have to ask...are we supposed to assume your quote I put above is you thinking this is a good thing for the Niners??

No thats not a good thing for the niners. Thats the only thing im worried about is if the skins get off to a quick lead and the niners have to start passing the ball and getting away from the running game, which is why i think there doing this well in the first place. And there D

[bigsmitty]

Like SF and GB-I don't trust ATL especially on the road. I would probably go ml with that if it was me. Cheers and good luck.

[MOONCRICKET]

there are only three home dogs this week and you bet against all of them.

you're gambling on the wrong sport.

sorry.





and as you mentioned in your own post:

Top NFL Public Bets


#1 405 Atlanta Falcons 88%
#2 415 San Francisco 49ers 83%
#3 427 Green Bay Packers 81%





this thread is an example for you guys who are losing all your money chasing big dreams. learn the sport first then cap.

gg

4TH - YOU AND I WERE THE ONLY 2 GUYS OUT OF WHAT? 50 LAST WEEK ON THAT DUDES THREAD BEGGING SOMEONE TO PLEASE HIT A 3 TEAMER - AND WE ACTUALLY BOTH WENT WENT 3-0 - LIKE BUTTER USING TEAMS LIKE MIAMI AND ST LOUIS.....ALL DAY.

I AM IN THE HILTON CONTEST AND I HAVE ALL 3 MOVES OPPOSITE - I HAVE SKINS, COLTS, CHARGERS, BROWNS, GIANTS --- 5 DOGS A BARKIN' BABY.....WHY BROWNS? CUZ THEY SUCK THATS WHY....THIS IS THE NFL - IF ALL IT TOOK WAS LAST WEEKS BOX SCORE VEGAS WOULD BE A ONE-HORSE TOWN. DID YOU SEE HOW AWFUL THE CHARGERS AND SKINS LOOKED LAST WEEK? IT CALLED PARITY FELLAS. WE TALK ABOUT THAT WORD EVERY YEAR BUT NO ONE EVER WANTS TO RECOGNIZE (sorry just realized i was in all caps) -- and indy really should have beat ten last week. expect a major league effort and a whole lotta my main haitian garcon down the sideline - indy in my opinion is the best bet of the entire weekend - except maybe georgia -32 as they bet nm st by 45 easy.

[riffraff24]

Go with your gut. Last time i laid off a parlay because the forums ripped me for it, it hit.

[PAULYPOKER]

Sorry,your parlay has 0% chance of cashing.........

[Speedy88]

Yeah I don't like your parlay much. I happen to bet on a lot of "square" games, but that is almost "too square." Dogs do well at home. Better off betting on the big boys who are playing at home like Dallas, New Orleans and New England.

[GunShard]

That Green Bay one is a bad spot. San Diego has the pieces to cover the spread.

[MOONCRICKET]

i am having a very bad day - i deserve being told i am a fool - i apologize for littering your thread with my filthy opinion this week - i feel like a real shmuck. BOL.

[drfunkmaster]

hope you hedged

[nomar122977]

7-0 sd

[AdamL2424]

He's gonna hit... What's up with all the fukin haters? I mean damn it's like y'all want him to lose

[AdamL2424]

7-0 sd

14-7 gb

[AdamL2424]

7-0 sd

21-7 gb

[dmncnlou]

Congrats!!

[loopydude11]

chargers got an onside kick it's not over yet!!

[AdamL2424]

Great hit!!!!!

[MOONCRICKET]

congrats - you earned it.

[T4k]

Sorry,your parlay has 0% chance of cashing.........

Well it cashed...

[georgekobe8]

Sorry,your parlay has 0% chance of cashing.........

yea your probably right

i am having a very bad day - i deserve being told i am a fool - i apologize for littering your thread with my filthy opinion this week - i feel like a real shmuck. BOL.

No worries bud

[PAULYPOKER]

[georgekobe8]

Thank you. I still look forward to your insight in your threads

[georgekobe8]

PARLAY (2 TEAMS)
[429] BALTIMORE +175
[430] TOTAL u41½-110
(BALTIMORE vrs PITTSBURGH)

put up 39 to win 163

figured id give it a shot. I like the payout