A ML parlay I'll be playing for Week 9

dmncnlou · 10-31-11, 12:03 PM

I like the giants or bucs s/u cuz 1 of the 4 will lose

No coincidences · 10-31-11, 12:06 PM

Originally posted by dmncnlou

I like the giants or bucs s/u cuz 1 of the 4 will lose

You're willing to roll the dice against Brady at home off a loss or New Orleans after the ugliest loss in the NFL this year in a revenge game at home? Be my guest; I don't see it.

dmncnlou · 11-02-11, 07:19 AM

The Bucs already beat the Saints. Saints and Pats are overrated IMO.

GunShard · 11-02-11, 05:52 PM

I like the Patriots to win SU.

I don't like the Saints play. They sometimes lose to the Bucs either on the road or at home.

meader99 · 11-02-11, 07:22 PM

Bears might beat the Eagles outright. Eagles coming off big emotional divisional win and Bears coming off the bye Big let down spot here. Take a look at what the Bears defense has been able to do against Mike Vick led teams including the beatdown they put on the Eagles last year in Philly.

Big Bear · 11-03-11, 10:09 AM

I like it.

Big Bear · 11-03-11, 10:10 AM

I am considering doing a Chargers ML and Patriots ML parlay.

a lot of juice on the Eagles and Saints but they should win. The Steelers should win too but sometimes those Ravens/Steelers games are close.

No coincidences · 11-03-11, 10:55 AM

Wager type : Parlay

Select #1 : NCAA Football
Alabama 11/5/2011 8:00 PM - (EST)
Money Line -195 for Game
Select #2 : NFL Football
New Orleans Saints 11/6/2011 1:00 PM - (EST)
Money Line -425 for Game
Select #3 : NFL Football
New England Patriots 11/6/2011 4:15 PM - (EST)
Money Line -460 for Game
Select #4 : NFL Football
Pittsburgh Steelers 11/6/2011 8:25 PM - (EST)
Money Line -175 for Game
Select #5 : NFL Football
Philadelphia Eagles 11/7/2011 8:35 PM - (EST)
Money Line -400 for Game

+344 payout.

JMon · 11-03-11, 11:20 AM

The Saints, historically do not play well in this spot...that is as a home favorite against a division rival. They are 13-34-1 ATS since 1989. Ask them to lay 7 or more points and they are a 1-14 ATS and 3-12 under since 1989. They lost SU to TB (17-20) as 14pt favs in 2009 and (13-23) as 7pt favs in 2010 in this particular spot.

Are Saints too rebound after an ugly loss? Not so fast, they are 5-11 SU and 1-14-1 ATS in this particular spot (home fav v. division rival) after a ATS loss and SU loss.

While they may win SU (although not certain by any historical means), IMO the best play(s) in this matchup is on TB +8.5 and UN 50.

In any case.. bol with your play.

jolmscheid · 11-03-11, 11:39 AM

Isn't it a bad idea to play more than 2-team parlays as the payouts reduce significantly??

jolmscheid · 11-03-11, 11:40 AM

But that +344 payout does look nice!

No coincidences · 11-03-11, 11:52 AM

Originally posted by JMon

The Saints, historically do not play well in this spot...that is as a home favorite against a division rival. They are 13-34-1 ATS since 1989. Ask them to lay 7 or more points and they are a 1-14 ATS and 3-12 under since 1989. They lost SU to TB (17-20) as 14pt favs in 2009 and (13-23) as 7pt favs in 2010 in this particular spot.

Are Saints too rebound after an ugly loss? Not so fast, they are 5-11 SU and 1-14-1 ATS in this particular spot (home fav v. division rival) after a ATS loss and SU loss.

While they may win SU (although not certain by any historical means), IMO the best play(s) in this matchup is on TB +8.5 and UN 50.

In any case.. bol with your play.

Interesting. I'm not big on trends from previous years, as the teams were totally different, but thanks for posting it.

cockblocker · 11-03-11, 12:54 PM

I would play the Steelers by them self to since they are -3.

dmncnlou · 11-07-11, 07:55 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

You're willing to roll the dice against Brady at home off a loss or New Orleans after the ugliest loss in the NFL this year in a revenge game at home? Be my guest; I don't see it.

Teams aren't afraid of the Pats anymore. Their lines will remain inflated until the public realizes they're a middle of the road team at best.