Pittsburgh hosts New England in a shoot-out!!!

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

Roethlisberger has been called upon to throw it more often this season (265.4 ypg – 9th) because Rashard Mendenhall and the running game has struggled with just a 117.9 yards per game average (14th).But since the Patriots have been used and abused in the passing game thus far, allowing a league high 322.2 yards a game in the air,the Steelers might flip the script and pass on early downs to set up the run in typical throwing situations.Offensive play out of the shotgun will be advantageous for New England Patriots,The key for the Patriots defensively,give McCourty help over the top and take away Miller and Ward underneath.Right now,Ward is questionable with an injury but I would imagine he’ll play.The Steelers are only 12th in the league in rush defense,I expect the Patriots to use Nate Solder as an extra blocking tight end (if Vollmer is healthy) and pound the ball down the Steelers throats I am taking the Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers Game Total rather then then -3 New England[I think this game should be pick].If the Patriots can produce a similar plan as last year,to produce pressure and shut down the run on defense,while controlling the physical nature of the game on offense,they should find success against Pittsburgh.New England is playing at Pittsburgh for the second straight year.The Patriots survived last year’s trip by outscoring the Steelers 39-26 in a game that was typical for New England’s offense but slightly concerning on defense?I like the Over in this game 50.1/2 [ Patriots 31-24] NOTE> The Patriots' defense has been sporadic this season,too,allowing an average of almost 424 yards per game. But Tom Brady and the offense have been potent enough to carry the Patriots to wins in every game but one so far..This game will be a shoot-out with both teams scoring in double digit numbers.

My record after the 7 weeks 11-4-1... last 6> Lost My Teaser By 1/2 point with Dallas & Denver with a 6 1/2 point teaser. Lost Ravens -7 1/2 against Jaquars. Win with Lions-7 at home Against bears.. Loss taking Minnesota Vikings+3 against the Chicago Bears.. Win with New York Jets over the Miami Dolphins on Monday night -7 Loss.taking the Miami +2 1/2 over Browns. All my picks for 7 weeks of NFL are on threads with SBR NFL FREE PICKS, If you care to view anytime

[gilbert91016]

Denver won and Dallas covered i think you won u r teaser unless I'm missing something

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

~TO GILBERT~ YES I DID COVER THE TEASER .+7 1/2 Denver And Cowboys -6 1/2. However I Pressed all the bet I Won on the Teaser on the Ravens and Lost.. Counting a win on the teaser 12-3-1// I should have Never Pressed!!Oh Well!! I was on Roll and took a Shot Buddy [ if you don't Press A Bet Once In While You Can't Win With a Grind!!! but Gilbert I'am still way of head of books.I'am not Greedy just Needee//lol/lol ..Thanks For Reading My Thread Gilbert and good luck to you this week on your picks buddy

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

Here Are Some Stats on my research of match-up that found on net.... Pittsburgh would never be considered one of the prettiest teams in the league,but its play has been effective enough to carve out a 5-2 SU start (3-4 ATS). After a 17-10 loss to Houston in Week 4 as a four-point road favorite,it has now reeled-off three straight victories in which it outscored its opponents by a combined score of 87-50 The total has gone ‘over’ in four of its seven games this year.The total has gone OVER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 11 games The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 8 games on the road.The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games when playing New England.The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against New England

[pickemtowinem]

pats are 4-7 off bye weeks for what its worth. I initially looked at this as the gimme game of the week, but looking into it deeper, if there is a spot this team (patriots) have a good chance to lose in, its this week vs pitts.

i might tease the steelers up just to play it safe...or may stay away all together.

good luck with your play though!!!! like the write up.

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

THANKS FOR INFO PICKEMTOWINEM AND GOOD LUCK ON YOUR PICKS FOR WEEK 8

[BigDan]

really like the over here Harry....good stuff as usual..BOL this week

[stacks77]

Hey hth kinda of a newbie here, don't you think the cowboys kind of exposed Brady and the pat's 2 weeks ago.Thats why i hate bye weeks because you don't know how a team responds to a win or loss the following week.Cowboys held the pats to lowest stats in all category's 2 weeks ago, correct me if im wrong but Brady and the team had thier worst performance of the year at home against a good run defense and a mediocre overall defense.Steelers are a vet team and because of the lockout are finding thier stride right now.I don't know when the last time pitt was a home dog.I know pats like to spread trips left or right, use welker in slot against pitts d etc etc.Just think pitt is or has watched plenty film of the cowboy game 2 weeks ago and is licking thier chops right now to get back at brady w/ a healthy running game, something that the cowboys lacked 2 weeks ago and almost won the game....appreciate any response or advice before i pull the trigger lol....

[gimpy]

I got your back on the over man. It's in one of my parlays this week.

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-betting/1350757-week-8-5-leg-parlay.html

BOL

[stacks77]

pat's/ steelers way under!!!

I dkn fellas spread vs home dog@+3, who is gonna score the points????Big bet on the under, it was the first unit that caught my eye tuesday overlooking the lines, if im crazy let me know, lol....

[Hilljacademics]

This will be the week an NFL team gets caught looking ahead:

10/30 - NE @ PIT
11/6 - BAL @ PIT, Primetime

PIT just can't help themselves. We'll see.

[Redchevy]

pats are 4-7 off bye weeks for what its worth. I initially looked at this as the gimme game of the week, but looking into it deeper, if there is a spot this team (patriots) have a good chance to lose in, its this week vs pitts.

i might tease the steelers up just to play it safe...or may stay away all together.

good luck with your play though!!!! like the write up.

I'm not sure where you got the 4-7 record for NE coming off their bye week. I believe NE is 8-0 since 2003 after the bye week.

[Smogs]

Like this bet a lot and great write up

[thebestthereis]

unless their is wacky weather in pitt sunday there will need to be odd turnovers for this game to stay under, kinda like the dallas game. other than that i like the over too. pats give up 20+ in their sleep and brady will get 30 for sure. good luck!

[DarkNite]

This game will be very tight, ma be 2 points win-lose.

[JAFO]

i just want to add that i have Pitt Def (and no backup) on my fantasy team

[yD]

This will be the week an NFL team gets caught looking ahead:

10/30 - NE @ PIT
11/6 - BAL @ PIT, Primetime

PIT just can't help themselves. We'll see.

I don't understand. Are you saying the Steelers are going to overlook the Pats, the team that has dominated them like no other? The Ravens game is just as big, actually bigger, but I don't see how you can overlook the friggin Patriots.

BTW, Pats ML is my only play on Sunday.

I'm 9-0 my last 3 Sundays. (Saturday is a different story)

[Hilljacademics]

I don't understand. Are you saying the Steelers are going to overlook the Pats, the team that has dominated them like no other? The Ravens game is just as big, actually bigger, but I don't see how you can overlook the friggin Patriots.

BTW, Pats ML is my only play on Sunday.

I'm 9-0 my last 3 Sundays. (Saturday is a different story)

That's exactly what I'm saying. It's a great situational play for NE......NE by at least 7. You take your ML, I'll take -3(+100) and we'll both be happy.

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

THANKS~ BIG DAN ~FOR YOUR COMMENT AND VERY GOOD LUCK TO YOU THIS WEEK

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

GOOD LUCK GIMPY ON YOUR BET AND THE NFL SEASON

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

THANK YOU ~REDCHEVY ~AND GOOD LUCK ON YOUR PICKS THIS WEEK

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

THANKS AGAIN ALWAYS ~SMOGS~ AND GOOD LUCK ON YOUR PICKS THIS WEEK.

[SonShine]

I'm thinking of taking over as well. Nice info Mr. Harrythehat

[pickemtowinem]

I'm not sure where you got the 4-7 record for NE coming off their bye week. I believe NE is 8-0 since 2003 after the bye week.

well, we are both right.
they are 4-7 ATS off the bye
and 9-1 straight up.

should have clarified.

[bretb27]

i like the under.. the steelers are going to want to keep brady and the pats offense on the sidelines as much as possible. I see a 28-17 type game in favor of the patriots

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

THANK YOU ~SONSHINE~FOR YOUR COMMENT AND GOOD LUCK TO YOU THIS WEEK IN NFL

[pagodo]

I like the Over in this game 50.1/2 [ Patriots 31-24] NOTE> The Patriots' defense has been sporadic this season,too,allowing an average of almost 424 yards per game. But Tom Brady and the offense have been potent enough to carry the Patriots to wins in every game but one so far..This game will be a shoot-out with both teams scoring in double digit numbers.

Great write-up, respect and good luck, sir

Teasing the OVER in this game (to 45) with the Jags@Texans UNDER (to 47).
Already on the Patriots -3.

[Redchevy]

well, we are both right.
they are 4-7 ATS off the bye
and 9-1 straight up.

should have clarified.

Point noted, I still like NE in this spot. They should be at full strength and looking to make a statement here with the Steelers in a down year. NEs' tight ends should loom large in this game, I don't think Pitt. has anyone to cover them. Brady may have a field day against these linebackers.

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

THANK YOU~PAGODO~FOR YOUR COMMENT AND KIND WORDS AND VERY GOOD LUCK TO YOU THIS WEEK ON YOUR PICKS..

[Hilljacademics]

I just wanted to to be in on the fun.

[Rookie-Capper]

New England owns pittsburgh I think there 7-1 in the last 8 meetings they just match up well against them

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

THANKS FOR INFO~ ROOKIE CAPPER~ AND VERY GOOD LUCK TO YOU ON YOUR PICKS FOR WEEK #8 OF NFL

[Sweatyguido]

thats one creepy avatar ya got there, MR. theHAT...

[suicidekings]

I'm not sure where you got the 4-7 record for NE coming off their bye week. I believe NE is 8-0 since 2003 after the bye week.

Road favourites in general, coming off a bye week, are typically a very good bet. Add to that, the Steelers 5 wins have come against teams that are collectively 8-24 at the moment, losing to Houston and Baltimore. The Pats also pounded the Steelers last year (they were 5-2 going into this game in 2010 as well), and Pittsburgh was a much better team last season. Pittsburgh will still score against NE, but the spread for this game does not accurately reflect the matchup. NE rolls, and I'm pretty sure your total flies over as well, Harry.

[dmncnlou]

Its going under.