My 2011 Card NFL- Week 7-Super Bowl

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  • Fanatik
    SBR Sharp
    • 10-18-11
    • 432

    #1
    My 2011 Card NFL- Week 7-Super Bowl
    Note: I am a new member so this is my first week posting on this site. That is why there are no previous picks, but I plan to start here and continue on through the rest of the season. I am big on the NFL and have a good record this season, not so big on college football in the past, but have done my hmwk for this week and am going to continue on with college betting for the rest of the season. (See: my 2011 Card NCAAFB- Week 8- Bowl Games) I will be betting with 16 units a week in a very non- typical way on the NFL. I love this forum, and I love all of your threads, and you all have influence on my picks for NCAAFB. I am very original with my NFL bets however (meaning I follow my own format). I am betting a much different format than most in regards to unit distribution. For real good picks and formats, I suggest you follow anyone else. I bet with a budget every week, it is an extremely affordable budget for me, if I lose every bet it would not matter. I am very responsible with this budget. I bet 16 units each week on NFL and have for a long time. I am just a man who likes football, who loves competition, and who is trying to make NFL a little more interesting on Sundays. I NEVER bet outside of my budget no matter how much of a lock I think something is and I never increase my budget when I win big. And, relevant to my overall budget for my everyday life, my total budget for NCAAFB and NFL combined is less than 5% of my everyday budget. With all this considered and a very high regard to safe betting practices, responsible budgeting, and a just for fun look at all of this, here are my picks. If this is anything more than an extremely affordable weekend hobby for you, please do not put any weight on any of my picks and especially on my unit distribution format.

    Total Units Bet: 16
    Format: Very Risky/Not Afraid To Lose Every Dime I Bet/Strictly Hobbie

    Parlay 1: 3 Units
    Den PK
    Hou/Ten ov44
    Dal -14
    GB -10

    Parlay 2: 3 Units
    Car -2.5
    SD +1
    Chi -2
    Pitt ov 44

    Cover Teaser: 6 Units
    Hou/Ten ov38
    GB -4

    4 Single Unit 1 Team Bets
    Car -2.5
    Hou/Ten ov44
    Den Pk
    SD +1

    Breakdown
    4 Team Parlay Bets: 6 units to win 60 units (1. 3=30, 2. 3=30)
    Cover Teaser: 6 units to win 6 units and break even if every parlay loses and cover bet wins.

    Single Game/1 Unit Picks: 4 units to win 4 units

    Note: Very risky format to follow due to the fact that 4 Teamers are hard to hit and there is always a possibility that the Cover Teaser bet will lose. Better chance that I lose it all than I win or break even... But, when I win, I win big. Win, loose, or draw, the units stay the same each week and the budget does not change; like I said strictly a hobby. I spend the same amount of money doing this as I do golfing each week just to put in into perspective, and I only golf once a week, so this is the way I choose to do it. High risk with an extremely low $ amount relative to my life budget, and high reward relative to my units bet. I'm not trying to get rich; I'm just trying to enjoy the sport of it and to feed my competitive nature... DONT RISK ANY SERIOUS MONEY ON ANY OF MY PICKS....

    Final Note: I will never post another post this big again, I just had to explain myself being that this is my first ever picks thread on here.... Good luck to you all, and play responsibly! Budget your life, your time, and your money; always put God and Family above everything and never risk your spiritual well being or your families well being on anything. Especially Gambling, you will live to regret it if you do! Not to mention, it is so much more fun when losing every dime you bet all weekend long in a lot of different bets doesn’t even cost you as much as a round of golf. I hunt, I fish, I Golf, I play Softball, I wrestle, I give $ to my church every week, and I spend less on NFL and NCAAFB betting, even if I lose it all, than I do on any one of the activities I have listed above. That being said just like anything I do, I do try to do it well. Good Luck to you all!.... God Bless, oNeLoVeFTMA!
  • 7secondsOrLess
    SBR MVP
    • 03-26-10
    • 1576

    #2
    youre a great guy
    Comment
    • Fanatik
      SBR Sharp
      • 10-18-11
      • 432

      #3
      Looking okay, but holding my breath on the cover teaser... Go Pack, Go Cowboys!!!

      Parlay 1: 3 Units
      Den PK W
      Hou/Ten ov44 W
      Dal -14 W
      GB -10 L

      Parlay 2: 3 Units
      Car -2.5 W
      SD +1 L
      Chi -2 W
      Pitt ov 44 W

      Cover Teaser: 6 Units
      Hou/Ten ov38 W
      GB -4 W

      4 Single Unit 1 Team Bets
      Car -2.5 W
      Hou/Ten ov44 W
      Den Pk W (Tebow is the Man!)
      SD +1 L

      Breakdown of Week 7 Picks Outcome:
      4 Team Parlays: 0/2
      Single Games: 3/4
      Cover Teaser: 1/1

      Breakdown of Units win/loss:
      Parlay 1: -3 Units
      Parlay 2: -3 Units
      Singles: +3 Units
      Cover Teaser: +6 Units
      Net: + 3 Units on the week!

      Breakdown of all picks individually:
      Picks Right: 11
      Picks Wrong: 3
      Total: 11/14

      To bad I bet such a stupid format, I could have won a lot more... But, I love this one so I'm sticking to it. See Ya Next week, GB!
      Comment
      • Fanatik
        SBR Sharp
        • 10-18-11
        • 432

        #4
        Not on the game tonight... But, the pick would be Saints -14/Under 49... I wish I was, because I like the idea of parlaying the two, but I am sticking to my 16 unit/wk format... GL Like the tease even better!
        Comment
        • Fanatik
          SBR Sharp
          • 10-18-11
          • 432

          #5
          Week 7, 11-3, Week 8 post coming soon...
          Comment
          • Fanatik
            SBR Sharp
            • 10-18-11
            • 432

            #6
            Sorry So Late... But, here it goes! GL Everyone!

            All the picks I like: (note see next post for actual plays)

            Det -2 (But, GO TEBOW!!!)
            Bills -4.5 (Best Line in a long time)
            Pats -2.5
            Vik +3.5
            NO -13.5
            Den ov41.4
            Sea un37.5
            Tex -9.5
            Cin -1.5
            Card +12.5
            NYG -10
            NO ov47.5
            Colts +9
            Min un47
            Phil -3
            Colts un44
            Dal ov48.5
            Tex ov40.5
            Az ov43
            NYG ov41.5
            Comment
            • Fanatik
              SBR Sharp
              • 10-18-11
              • 432

              #7
              Total Units Bet: 16
              Format: Very Risky/Not Afraid To Lose Every Dime I Bet/Strictly Hobbie

              Parlay 1: 3 Units
              Bills -6
              Det -2 (But, Go TEBOW!!!)
              Pats -2.5
              NO -13.5

              Parlay 2: 3 Units
              Vik +3.5
              Den ov41.5
              Cards +12.5
              Tex -9.5

              Parlay 3: 2 Units
              Bills -4.5
              Det -2

              Parlay 4: 2 Units
              Vik +3.5
              Den ov41.5

              Cover Bet: 6 Units (Not a full cover b/c I loved those two teamers)
              Bills -4.5

              Breakdown
              4 Team Parlay Bets: 6 units to win 60 units (1. 3=30, 2. 3=30)
              2 Team Parlay Bets: 4 units to win 10 units (3. 2=5, 4. 2=5)

              Single Game Bets: 6 units to win 6 units

              GL to everyone, spladle8 bad college day, bill -4.5 is a gift!

              Comment
              • Fanatik
                SBR Sharp
                • 10-18-11
                • 432

                #8
                For what it's worth, even though I didnt play against either of these, I think Vik ov47 and sea -1.5 are SUCKER BETS!!! I dont care what the rest of the country thinks...
                Comment
                • Fanatik
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 10-18-11
                  • 432

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Fanatik
                  For what it's worth, even though I didnt play against either of these, I think Vik ov47 and sea -1.5 are SUCKER BETS!!! I dont care what the rest of the country thinks...
                  Thank you very much!!!
                  Comment
                  • Fanatik
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 10-18-11
                    • 432

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Fanatik
                    Total Units Bet: 16
                    Format: Very Risky/Not Afraid To Lose Every Dime I Bet/Strictly Hobbie

                    Parlay 1: 3 Units
                    Bills -6 W
                    Det -2 (But, Go TEBOW!!!) W
                    Pats -2.5 L
                    NO -13.5 L

                    Parlay 2: 3 Units
                    Vik +3.5 W
                    Den ov41.5 W
                    Cards +12.5 W
                    Tex -9.5 PUSH... (I got this in at -10, wrote the wrong line...)

                    Parlay 3: 2 Units
                    Bills -4.5 W
                    Det -2 W

                    Parlay 4: 2 Units
                    Vik +3.5 W
                    Den ov41.5 W

                    Cover Bet: 6 Units (Not a full cover b/c I loved those two teamers)
                    Bills -4.5 W

                    Breakdown
                    4 Team Parlay Bets: 6 units to win 60 units (1. 3=30, 2. 3=30)
                    2 Team Parlay Bets: 4 units to win 10 units (3. 2=5, 4. 2=5)

                    Single Game Bets: 6 units to win 6 units

                    GL to everyone, spladle8 bad college day, bill -4.5 is a gift!
                    Week 8 Results...
                    4 Team Parlays: 1/1 +12 Units
                    2 Team Parlays: 2/0 +10 Units
                    Cover Bet: 1/0 + 6 Units
                    Net: +28 Units!!!!!

                    Week 8 Individual Bets Within Entire Card:
                    5/2/1

                    Season Totals Since Week 7(Beginning of Thread):
                    4 Team Parlays: 1/3 +6 Units
                    2 Team Parlays: 2/0 +10 Units
                    2 Team Teasers: 1/0 +6 Units
                    Single Game Bets: 4/1 +8 Units
                    Individual Bets Within All Cards(not including duplicate bets): 13/4/1
                    Net Units: +30 Units
                    Comment
                    • Fanatik
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 10-18-11
                      • 432

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Fanatik
                      Sorry So Late... But, here it goes! GL Everyone!

                      All the picks I like: (note see next post for actual plays)

                      Det -2 (But, GO TEBOW!!!) W
                      Bills -4.5 (Best Line in a long time) W
                      Pats -2.5 W
                      Vik +3.5 W
                      NO -13.5 L
                      Den ov41.4 W
                      Sea un37.5 L
                      Tex -9.5 W
                      Cin -1.5 W
                      Card +12.5 W
                      NYG -10 L
                      NO ov47.5 W
                      Colts +9 L
                      Min un47 W
                      Phil -3 W
                      Colts un44 W
                      Dal ov48.5 L
                      Tex ov40.5 L
                      Az ov43 W
                      NYG ov41.5
                      L

                      A Just for fun look at the picks I liked before I made my card, but didnt bet all of them... 13/7
                      Comment
                      • Fanatik
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 10-18-11
                        • 432

                        #12
                        Early looks: I havent made any bets yet, but these are the lines under consideration...

                        Indy +7, NO -8.5, Hou -10.5, Bills -2.5, Jets/Bills ov 44.5, KC -4, KC ov 40.5, SF -4, SF/Wash ov 37.5, Dal -11, Den +7.5, Cin +3, Ariz -3, Pats -9, Pats ov 51, Chargers +6, GB/SD ov 51, Balt +3.5, Chi +7.5, Chi/Philly ov 47...

                        Picks will be posted by 1 am... Got to work at 5, slight chance I will have them by then, but if not, soon after work which is about 1am...
                        Comment
                        • Fanatik
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 10-18-11
                          • 432

                          #13
                          Week 9
                          Total Units Bet: 16
                          Format: Very Risky/Not Afraid To Lose Every Dime I Bet/Strictly Hobbie

                          Parlay 1: 5 Units
                          NO -8.5
                          SF-4
                          Dal -11
                          Pack 0v 51

                          Parlay 2: 1.5 Units
                          Cin +3
                          Bills -2.5
                          KC -4
                          Charg +6

                          Parlay 3: 1.5 Units
                          Bills ov45
                          Cin u42
                          Indy u45
                          SF ov37.5


                          Cover Teaser: 8 Units
                          NO -2.5
                          Dal -5

                          Breakdown
                          4 Team Parlay Bets: 8 units to win 80 units (1. 5=50, 2. 1.5=15, 3. 1.5=15)
                          2 Team Teaser Cover: 8 units to win 8 units

                          Comment
                          • CBASS
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-22-10
                            • 2613

                            #14
                            That cover teaser is solid.
                            On the parlays I like: N.O., Bills, Chargers. I like the Over in Sea/Dal more than the Dallas spread.
                            Other picks I like this weekend: Pitt, Indy, N.E., and Cle.

                            GL to you Fanatik
                            Comment
                            • The Coach's Desk
                              SBR MVP
                              • 04-16-11
                              • 1917

                              #15
                              BOL to you, I like parlay 2
                              Comment
                              • Fanatik
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 10-18-11
                                • 432

                                #16
                                Originally posted by CBASS
                                That cover teaser is solid.
                                On the parlays I like: N.O., Bills, Chargers. I like the Over in Sea/Dal more than the Dallas spread.
                                Other picks I like this weekend: Pitt, Indy, N.E., and Cle.

                                GL to you Fanatik
                                I hope the cover is air tight... B/C There isnt one of those parlay's I am crazy about... Obviously I like #1 more than the others, but we will see. I like the under in indy better than the spread. I like balt a little better than pitt if it is 3.5 or bigger, I like the under in that game more than the spread, I think there is an easier bet out there than NE-9, but that is the side I would be on if I bet it. I hate CLE, I was about to put houston in here and changed it at the very last minute...Third string RB, and hou covered 10 against Jax just last week! GL man, my picks are run of the mill this week at best, I hope you are right! GL

                                And, GL to you Coach!
                                Comment
                                • Fanatik
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 10-18-11
                                  • 432

                                  #17
                                  [quote=Fanatik;12227571]Week 9
                                  Total Units Bet: 16
                                  Format: Very Risky/Not Afraid To Lose Every Dime I Bet/Strictly Hobbie

                                  Parlay 1: 5 Units
                                  NO -8.5 W
                                  SF-4 W
                                  Dal -11 L
                                  Pack 0v 51 W

                                  Parlay 2: 1.5 Units
                                  Cin +3 W
                                  Bills -2.5 L
                                  KC -4 L
                                  Charg +6 L

                                  Parlay 3: 1.5 Units
                                  Bills ov45 L
                                  Cin u42 W
                                  Indy u45 W
                                  SF ov37.5 L


                                  Cover Teaser: 8 Units
                                  NO -2.5 W
                                  Dal -5 W


                                  Week 9 Results...
                                  4 Team Parlays:
                                  0/3 -8 Units
                                  2 Team Cover Teaser: 1/0 + 8 Units
                                  Net: Broke Even

                                  Week 9 Individual Bets Within Entire Card:
                                  8/6

                                  Season Totals Since Week 7(Beginning of Thread):
                                  4 Team Parlays: 1/6 -2 Units
                                  2 Team Parlays: 2/0 +10 Units
                                  2 Team Teasers: 2/0 +14 Units
                                  Single Game Bets: 4/1 +8 Units
                                  Individual Bets Within All Cards(not including duplicate bets): 21/10/1
                                  Net Units: +30 Units
                                  Comment
                                  • Fanatik
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 10-18-11
                                    • 432

                                    #18
                                    Week 10
                                    Total Units Bet: 16
                                    Format: Very Risky/Not Afraid To Lose Every Dime I Bet/Strictly Hobbie

                                    Parlay 1: 5 Units
                                    Bills +5.5
                                    Pitt -4
                                    Den +3
                                    Hou -4

                                    Parlay 2: 1 Units
                                    Balt -7
                                    SF -3.5
                                    Vik +13
                                    Pats +1.5


                                    Cover Parlay: 10 Units
                                    Pitt-4
                                    Balt -7

                                    4 Team Parlay Bets: 6 units to win 60 units (1. 5=50, 2. 1=10)
                                    2 Team Parlay Cover: 10 units to win 25 units

                                    Comment
                                    • Fanatik
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 10-18-11
                                      • 432

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Fanatik
                                      Week 10
                                      Total Units Bet: 16
                                      Format: Very Risky/Not Afraid To Lose Every Dime I Bet/Strictly Hobbie

                                      Parlay 1: 5 Units
                                      Bills +5.5 L
                                      Pitt -4 W
                                      Den +3 W
                                      Hou -4 W

                                      Parlay 2: 1 Units
                                      Balt -7 L
                                      SF -3.5 W
                                      Vik +13 L (Hasnt played yet, dont care, this is a loser!) Sharps say Min and und... Guess that's why I'm not a sharp, I love the over and I think GB covers
                                      Pats +1.5 W


                                      Cover Parlay: 10 Units
                                      Pitt-4 W
                                      Balt -7 L

                                      4 Team Parlay Bets: 6 units to win 60 units (1. 5=50, 2. 1=10)
                                      2 Team Parlay Cover: 10 units to win 25 units


                                      We will see, I lose this week either way, I was a balt sucker and I changed out bills for saints pk at the last minute in my big parlay, so I LOSE!!! Oh well, still going good this season, but I really think GB covers and goes over! I know the shaps are sharp, but there is a reason the casinos are still doing business! just dont see minny stopping Rodgers after he has already seen them once this year. 38-23 Pack
                                      Comment
                                      • Fanatik
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 10-18-11
                                        • 432

                                        #20
                                        Will somebody please show me some love for my previous post??? Hope just one of you tailed and pulled of the Monday Night Chaser Parlay.
                                        Comment
                                        • Fanatik
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 10-18-11
                                          • 432

                                          #21
                                          Week 9 Results...
                                          4 Team Parlays: 0/2 -6 Units
                                          2 Team Cover Parlay: 0/1 -10 Units
                                          Net: -16 Units

                                          Week 9 Individual Bets Within Entire Card:
                                          5/3

                                          Season Totals Since Week 7(Beginning of Thread):
                                          4 Team Parlays: 1/8 -8 Units
                                          2 Team Parlays: 2/1 Even
                                          2 Team Teasers: 2/0 +14 Units
                                          Single Game Bets: 4/1 +8 Units
                                          Individual Bets Within All Cards(not including duplicate bets): 26/13/1
                                          Net Units: +14 Units
                                          Comment
                                          • Fanatik
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 10-18-11
                                            • 432

                                            #22
                                            No plays on my card for Turkey Day... But, here are my leans

                                            GB -6 But still on Det at 6.5 or better
                                            Dal -7
                                            Balt -3 (If no Ray Lewis I go w/ SF) at 3.5 I go with SF

                                            GB/Det Over 56
                                            Dal/Mia Over 44
                                            SF/Balt Under 40

                                            Strongest Plays In each Game IMO
                                            GB/Det Over
                                            Dal -7
                                            SF/Balt Under
                                            Comment
                                            • Fanatik
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 10-18-11
                                              • 432

                                              #23
                                              Early thoughts week 12...

                                              Arizona over 39.5 and +2.5... Titans -3, Hou -6.5, Hou over 37, Chi +3, Sea -3, All strong plays in my opinion...
                                              I also like, but not as much philly +3.5, Den +5.5
                                              As for all the other games, if I had to I would go w/ Buffalo +9.5, Car -3.5, Atl -9.5, Clev +7...

                                              No plays yet, I will post the card in morning...
                                              Comment
                                              • Fanatik
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 10-18-11
                                                • 432

                                                #24
                                                Sorry I'm late... Here is some of my card, will add the rest in a little while

                                                Week 10
                                                Total Units Bet: 16
                                                Format: Very Risky/Not Afraid To Lose Every Dime I Bet/Strictly Hobbie

                                                Single Game Plays
                                                Ariz +3 (bt. hook) 1 unit
                                                Hou -6 (bt hook) 4 units
                                                Car -3 (bt hook) 2 units
                                                Ten -3 1 unit

                                                Parlay 1... 2 units
                                                Ariz/Stl ov40
                                                Hou -6.5
                                                Ariz +2.5
                                                Hou ov 37
                                                Comment
                                                • Fanatik
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 10-18-11
                                                  • 432

                                                  #25
                                                  Single Game Plays
                                                  Sea -3 2 units
                                                  Chi +3 2 units

                                                  Perlay 2: 2 units
                                                  Sea -3
                                                  Sea un37
                                                  Phil +3
                                                  Den +4.5
                                                  Comment
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