I have had a lot of success with 13 point teasers so far in the NFL because there are a lot of situations where I believe a team has a chance to cover that 13 point teaser 90-95+ percent of the time
for example, I love teasing the Steelers - 3.5 to + 9.5. The Steelers haven't lost a game against a bad team by more than 1 possession in something like 4 or 5 YEARS (they've probably played what?? 25 bad teams in that stretch and covered every single one). I loved teasing the Falcons last weekend from - 4.5 to + 8.5 because the falcons haven't lost a home game by more than 7 points to a bad team in Matt Ryan's entire career
the best ones are teams like the ravens or patriots being favored by 3 - 5 points at home because you know they're not gonna lose at home and if they do, it will never be by more than 1 possession
for example, I love teasing the Steelers - 3.5 to + 9.5. The Steelers haven't lost a game against a bad team by more than 1 possession in something like 4 or 5 YEARS (they've probably played what?? 25 bad teams in that stretch and covered every single one). I loved teasing the Falcons last weekend from - 4.5 to + 8.5 because the falcons haven't lost a home game by more than 7 points to a bad team in Matt Ryan's entire career
the best ones are teams like the ravens or patriots being favored by 3 - 5 points at home because you know they're not gonna lose at home and if they do, it will never be by more than 1 possession
